I see an argument being addressed on which conference is the strongest and that the National Championship Game should help answer this question. The article, written by Jeff Svoboda of Scout.com, appears in today’s NCAA FB section on the Fox Sports web site, takes both sides of the question.
I personally don’t see the relevance of this in the least. Whether LSU or OSU wins that game doesn’t prove a thing concerning whether the Big Ten or the Southeastern Conference is stronger. The only accurate way to answer that question is to look at each conference’s members, how they each fared against the competition they each played, and finally (since everything boils down to the polls) how they are ranked according to the pollsters.
Given these criteria, here is how each team fared:
Big Ten…………………………………………Rankings
School………….Record……….SOS……Fox…..AP……BCS
Illinois……………9-3………...36.83…….12……13……..15
Indiana……………7-5………..72.75…….51……--.….…..--
Iowa………………6-6………..69.33….…65……--…..…..--
Michigan………….8-4………..54.25….…20……30……...--
Michigan State……7-5………..46.17….…31……--…..…..--
Minnesota………..1-11………..90.75….…97……--…..….--
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Northwestern……..6-6…………72.33……50……--…..….--
Ohio State……….11-1…………33.08…….2……..1….…..1
Penn State…………8-4…………51.50..…22……35…..…--
Purdue……………..7-5…………64.42…..52……--……...--
Wisconsin…………9-3………….51.58…..17……18…....18
Total……………..79-53
Average………7.18-4.82………..58.45….38.19
Non Con. Opponents…………….96.99
The Big Ten has five teams in the AP Top 35 and three in the BCS Top 25
Two undefeated teams passed into the never land of lost dreams last week. The match-ups for the three remaining teams with unblemished records (Ohio State vs. Illinois, Kansas @ Oklahoma State, and Hawaii vs. Fresno State) should not present problems and I expect to see the same teams sitting on their perch next week. If this continues, the BCS process will once again fall under intense scrutiny, and I believe rightfully so. It is not an accurate measure.
As stated before, these rankings are based upon the USA Today/Coaches NCAA Preseason Top 50 football team rankings and are determined by taking each of these teams’ opponents rankings from the weekly AP top 25 Poll and the Fox Sports 119 ranking. So, if your team played X, Y, and Z and each was ranked as follows when each played your team: 45, 21, and 55, your Strength of Schedule (SOS) rating after three games would be (45+21+55) / 3 = 40.33. The lower the number, the tougher the schedule played.
The weighted H/A feature explained:
Since the lower number results in the higher ranking, the following system has been used-
Home win against Division 1A opponent – 0 points (There is no reward for this)
Home win against lower division opponent – 1 (These are not being rewarded, they actually result in a small penalty)
Home loss against Division 1A opponent – 2 (Home losses result in a large penalty)
Home loss against lower division opponent – 3 (Home losses against lower division = big penalty)
Road win against Division 1A opponent- -2 (Good reward)
Road win against lower division opponent- 0 points (There is no reward for this)
Road loss against Division 1A opponent- 0 points (There is no penalty for this)
Road win against lower division opponent- 1 (No glory in this. Small penalty)
These results are then multiplied by 3 across the board and totaled. Once the original SOS is determined, the home and away total is added in.
Example- 2007 Ohio State
Wk.__Date__Opponent_______Result____H/A Result
2 Sat., Sep 1 Youngstown State W 38-6 _____1
3 Sat., Sep 8 Akron__________W 20-2 _____0
4 Sat., Sep 15 @Washington__ W 33-14____-2
5 Sat., Sep 22 Northwestern___W 58-7_____ 0
6 Sat., Sep 29 @Minnesota____W 30-7____ -2
7 Sat., Oct 6 @Purdue________W 23-7 ____-2
8 Sat., Oct 13 Kent State______W 48-3 ____ 0
9 Sat., Oct 20 Michigan State__W 24-17____0
10 Sat., Oct 27 @Penn State___W 37-17___-2
11 Sat. Nov. 3 Wisconsin_____W 38-17____0
Total multiplied by three_______________-21.00
Added to normal SOS rating___________ +57.09
New Ohio State SOS H/A rating_________36.09
This process was carried out across all 120 Division 1A teams.
Here is the weekly SOS Top 25, once again, I’m now basing this on the BCS Top 25, rearranged using each team’s Strength of Schedule, H/A, and win / loss record:
Rank____Team________SOS__W___L
1___Ohio State _______36.09__10___0
2___Kansas _________ 62.20___9___0
3___Hawaii _________ 92.56 __ 8___0
4___Oregon__________23.89___8___1
5___ LSU ___________27.50___8___1
6___West Virginia ____37.44___7___1
7___Arizona State_____41.20___8___1
8___Oklahoma _______42.40___8___1
9___Missouri ________46.70___8___1
10__Boston College ___49.60___8___1
11__Connecticut ______54.90___8___1
12__Boise State_______75.60___8___1
13__USC____________35.80___7___2
14__Virginia ________ 44.64___8___2
15__Virginia Tech_____48.10___7___2
16__Georgia_________ 49.50___7___2
17__Clemson ________50.90___7___2
18__Michigan________52.27___8___2
19__Texas___________53.27___7___2
20__Tennessee _______34.40___6___3
21__Florida__________44.40___6___3
22__Alabama ________54.10___6___3
23__Auburn _________54.91___7___3
24__Penn State_______58.55___7___3
25__Kentucky _______59.90___6___3
Ohio State's got a new playmate... What do you think?
The Top 25 BCS teams ranked strictly on SOS and H/A:
SOS__BCS
Rank_Rank___Team_______SOS__W___L
1_____3_____Oregon______23.89__7___1
2_____2__ ___LSU _______27.67__7___1
3____24___Tennessee _____34.40__ 6___3
4____ 17 ____ USC _______35.80__ 7___2
5_____1__ Ohio State______36.09__10___0
6_____7__ West Virginia___40.11___7___1
7_____9__Arizona State____41.20___8___1
8_____5__Oklahoma_______42.40___8___1
9____15____Florida_______44.40___6___3
10___19___Virginia_______44.64___8___2
11____6___Missouri ______46.70___8___1
12___11__Virginia Tech ___48.10___7___2
13___10___Georgia_______49.50___7___2
14____8__Boston College__49.60___8___1
15___21___Clemson______50.90___7___2
16___12___Michigan _____52.27___8___2
17___14____Texas _______53.27___7___2
18___22___Alabama______54.10___6___3
19___13__Connecticut_____54.90___8___1
20___18____Auburn ______54.91___7___3
21___23___Penn State_____58.55___7___3
22___25___Kentucky______59.90___6___3
23____4____Kansas_______62.20___9___0
24___20__Boise State______75.60___8___1
25___16___ Hawaii _______92.56___8___0
For the third week running, an Oregon – LSU match-up is indicated.
And to the best mascot go the spoils!
Pay attention to the difference here between the BCS rankings and the adjusted SOS ratings. It's called FUBAR when you look at the undefeated teams! Ohio State is the only school with a half decent SOS rating with the home and away system added in. Without that system, the Buckeyes slip clear down to 12th on SOS alone. Kansas and Hawaii remain firmly planted in the 23rd and 25th positions on SOS alone.
I've been around a few years and would like to make some observations about the status of sports in America. These comments may not appear flattering to some, but that's the way it goes. I do not tolerate unfairness. If you can't be successful on an even playing field then what's the point? I try to see through hype and look for what is right. My favorite teams may not be the ones with the most wins. They are the ones with the most wins playing in a tough, fair manner against competitors that are the same. I truly believe that what goes around comes around. Where does your team fall?