I know I said a few days ago that I wouldn't succumb to the seemingly endless Lakers vs Celtics previews that would spring up. I guess I just couldn't resist! So, I decided to jump in on the fun and give my preview of the most anticipated Finals matchups in years; the renewal of the NBA's greatest rivalry, Lakers and Celtics. I'll give my positional breakdown, then give a prediction.
Point Guard: I love this matchup; something old (Derek Fisher) & something new (Jordan Farmar) vs something borrowed (Sam Cassell) and something blue (Rajon Rondo). Or is it green? After dealing with Tony Parker in the conference finals, Fisher will need to be on his guard with Rondo and his penetration. Expect Doc RIvers to go with whoever is hot as Rondo's backup, as Eddie House could return to the rotation after he was benched because he couldn't handle the Pistons' pressure D. Advantage: Even
Shooting Guard: Before I begin, I'll give Ray Allen credit for finishing solidly against Detroit, and that, in good matchups, he can thrive. Just not against Kobe Bryant. You know Kobe remembers 2004, and with his first post-Shaq title on the horizon, he'll play possessed. Good luck defending, Paul Pierce! Advantage: Lakers in a runaway
Small Forward: Likewise, Pierce has a huge advantage on Vladimir Radmanovic, who isn't a good defender (to say the least) and who is way too streaky to be relied on. Pierce has huge advantages over Vlad and Luke Walton, so expect Kobe to get the defensive work. Advantage: Celtics
Power Forward: Welcome, Kevin Garnett, to your first NBA Finals! How will Garnett match up with Pau Gasol (since the L.A. Times said Lamar Odom would guard Kendrick Perkins)? A leopard never changes its spots, so expect Garnett to work his game on Gasol, which could be a good thing for Gasol if he avoids foul trouble. Gasol will likely work on Perkins, which means both centers must avoid fouls to keep their team from being at a major disadvantage. Advantage: A razor thin edge to the Celtics
Center: Odom was a dud against the Spurs for most of the series, but now he gets Perkins to work on. The Celtic front line is much quicker than the Spurs' front line, though, so Odom must get his jumper working early and have the C's respect his shot before he slashes to the rack. Perkins needs only to be steady (he doesn't need to have a game 5 like performance, but he does need to assert himself on the boards) and the Celtics will live with that. Advantage: Lakers
Benches: The Laker bench was solid against the Spurs. Expect Sasha Vujacic (there, I finally spelled it!) to keep shooting, and I think Trevor Ariza could be a factor on defense if they employ him; he can't be much worse than Walton, can he? The Celtics will counter with James Posey (their defensive stopper and good 3-point shooter) and P.J. Brown (ditto except for threes), but they need some contributions from either Cassell or House to give them some balance. Advantage: Lakers
Coaching: Let's see: Phil Jackson, 11 Finals appearences, 9 titles as a coach, 2 as a player, one of the greatest (if not the best) coaches ever. Doc Rivers: first appearence in Finals as player or coach, no titles, road teams' coattails to Finals. Eh, Advantage: Lakers by a lot
Prediction: The Celtics had a much tougher road to the Finals than the Lakers; the C's have played just one game under the max to get here. They do have home court, though, but both teams will have been rested. I give game 1 to the Lakers, and as far as the series goes, I predict the Lakers win the title in six games. Yes, you heard it; for only the second time ever, an opposing team will celebrate a title victory in Boston. And who gets Finals MVP? Luke Walton! Just kidding! Kobe wins MVP if the Lakers win the title.
For this series, based on match-ups you almost need to combine PF and Center to determine who has an advantage. When you pit Gasol and Odom against KG and Perkins, it evens out. Perhaps even goes the Lakers way? We'll find out over the next 2 weeks.
Boston has home court advantage, but a split in first two games shifts that advantage back to the Lakers.
I also think that the Lakers have more X-factors...an overused term, but the Lakers have more players that can carry the load on offense.
To be clear, Hoffman, I didn't mean tougher road in terms of opponents; L.A. certainly had the tougher opposition. I meant that the Celtics had a longer road to travel (mostly of their own doing) than L.A.; Boston has played 20 playoff games (out of a maximum 21), while L.A. has played 15 games. Fatigue could become a factor in this series.
I find the Lakers more matured & seasoned than the Celtics and it will be the X-factor we're looking for. This Lakeshow's team offense appears much stable now than before and I find their defensive execution adequate to compete with the Celtics.
I assume, playing with the defending champs Spurs & the very physical Jazz and defeating them in a series is much a harder task than competing with this Celtics team.
Love the "Old, New, Borrowed, Blue" line. Its classic.
I agree with Innocent about the forward/center advantage.
Love Doc Rivers, but a guy that plays "by feel" against Phil Jackson, is going to be in a world of hurt.
The Celtics havent played anybody close to the Lakers level in these playoffs.
I think the Lakers will use the Farmar, Vujacic, Kobe lineup against them like they did against the Spurs.
If Vujacic or Radmonovic can make their shots, the Celtics are going to be in a world of hurt because they load up on the strong side.
I am predicting a sweep. I dont think the Celtics are going to get off. None of the "Big Three" have ever been on this stage. This is Kobe Bryants playground, heck, this is even his drive-way.
The Celtics fear the Lakers. Kobe has instilled a piece of his relentless drive in every single player on his team.
I am David Downs, and I'm a sports nut who loves basketball and football and am open to good discussion about any sports subject. I am a Detroit sports fan, but I not a homer. Expect frequent vents on subjects that irritate me, and also expect the utmost respect for anybody's opinion, even if they disagree with me. Because, after all, that's what these blogs are all about, aren't they?