The Boston Celtics just wrapped up their second seven game series victory today with a 97-92 win over the Cleveland LeBrons, er, Cavaliers. The game was really defined by the duel between King James and Paul Pierce, in a scene reminiscent of the famed seventh game duel between Larry Bird and Dominique Wilkins in 1988 (one of the people there for that game; Celts coach Doc Rivers as a Hawk. Go figure). While LeBron scored 45 and kept his team close (many would say unfairly, but still), Pierce came up with a career-defining game at the right time. With Garnett having a quiet double-double (13 points and 13 boards) and Ray allen invisible again, Pierce scored 41 and showed the heart of a champion today.
Now, the Celts advance to the Eastern Finals against the Detroit Pistons, a team that has had nearly a week to rest (especially good for Chauncey Billups) and prepare. Despite the disparity between the teams, both arer playing for their legacies. Boston (and specifically Garnett) are playing for a much-needed title to restore some of the Celtic pride, while the Pistons need a title to stamp themselves as a team to be remembered as more than an interesting footnote. But only one will earn a chance at the ring. With that in mind, let's see where each team stands in matchups:
Point Guard: Doc Rivers finally wised up and played Eddie House over Sam Cassell the last two games of the series, and House played well. He and Rajon Rondo need to step up more against Billups (assuming he's healthy). In the one game the Pistons won over the Celtics, Billups won the game with free throws he drew using his infamous "win it for me, referee!" style. Rondo must take it at Billups (especially early in the series, while Billups is rusty), and as for Detroit, use Rodney Stuckey to spell Billups and perhaps match up on Rondo when Chauncey is out.
Shooting Guard: Hopefully, the Pistons watched how Cleveland neutralized Allen and will use the same style. I think Richard Hamilton has the advantage because Allen will be run ragged at both ends by Hamilton, who was the major key to the Pistons' wrapping up of Orlando in 5 the last round. Maybe the C's will counter by moving Pierce onto Hamilton, but the Pistons win here.
Small Forward: After more than holding his own with LeBron, Pierce faces a different challenge with Tayshaun Prince, who is a much better jump-shooter than King James was. Prince is also a better defender, and won't allow Pierce the space to shoot those jumpers he hit today. Pierce should (and probably will) counter with more drives to the hole, and that will balance things out.
Power Forward: Did you notice that P.J. Brown scored ten points today? Unlike Cassell, Brown has helped a lot in terms of adding toughness and leadership to the front line. Still, all things here begin with Garnett, and the task of defending him will fall to Jason Maxiell and Antonio McDyess. I say let Maxiell be the starter and body him early, then bring in McDyess to take advantage of backups Leon Powe and Glen Davis; he can be a more effective scorer that way.
Center: The biggest key of this series. Why? Rasheed Wallace has the potential to dominate young Kendrick Perkins, who is suseptible to early foul trouble. But it depends on Rasheed's willingness to play a little more on the block; if he's content to hoist awful threes, consider this a wash.
Coaches: This may be the first playoff series where the coaches will have little impact on the series. Niether Rivers nor Flip Saunders is an elite X's-and-O's coach, so it depends on if Rivers sticks with House over Cassell, and if Saunders can stay out of the way of his team.
Prediction: The Celts will win game one because the Pistons are rusty. Then, Detroit wins game 2 (yeah, they'll end the C's home court winning streak). Then, they'll take game 3, but Boston will fight back to win games 4 & 5. The Pistons win game 6, forcing yet another game seven in Boston. Only this time, Billups and Hamilton have big games, and The Pistons win the series in seven games.
Note: I am not homering here; the C's need to win on the road,, and the Pistons aren't a one-man gang (Cleveland) or a weak team (Atlanta). They should win in seven.
Good analysis, I think you may end up being right.
Except I don't see the Celtics winning on the road.
PJ Brown's jumper in the 4th for the 3 point lead might have won the game for the Celts today.
I think Tayshaun's play has been the biggest difference for the Pistons this season/playoffs so far. Last year he couldn't hardly make a shot; this year he can't hardly miss one.
Believe it or not, I see the Celtics winning in 7...
Last edited by nba is the worst on May 18th at 6:44 PM.
Unfortunately, Pierce will not get 40pts on Prince. The Pistons will treat Garnett the same way they did Howard, using all of their big men to foul and frustrate him. That leaves Allen to shake his slump/curse/playoff jitters or whatever he's going through...
Detroit will win game 1 and the series in 6. They will not be rusty...
Coaching matters more in the playoffs, and Boston has me wondering about Doc Rivers.
The word is, though, that Atlanta was a match up problem due to their youth and athleticism, but Cleveland? Is LeBron THAT dominate? Or is Doc a regular season coach?
The Celtics were the best road team in the NBA in the regular season, but Doc hasn't produced that kind of result in the playoffs so far.
Detroit, on the other hand, has won on the road.
I have no predictions for this series. Probably the home team will prevail, following the pattern we've seen so far, but Detroit could steal one.
At any rate, given the success of home teams in this year's playoffs, how important is the regular season in the playoffs?
Tom,
you might be on to something there about Doc being a regular season coach. Here is what I mean by that. Teams in the regular season could have been intimidated when playing the Celtics,especialy when they made there little win streak run. However come playoff time no team will be intimidated at all. Not even the youthful Hawks who had nothing to lose.
It's really a random thing as far as the pick; I feel the Pistons are more balaced than the C's; if not for Pierce, who knows how the game would have ended? But it could work for the C's in the end; I just hope that we don't see the 95% home win percentage (which would be the second best of playoff history; the home team won 100% of the games in the 1964 division finals). But good points made by all.
I am David Downs, and I'm a sports nut who loves basketball and football and am open to good discussion about any sports subject. I am a Detroit sports fan, but I not a homer. Expect frequent vents on subjects that irritate me, and also expect the utmost respect for anybody's opinion, even if they disagree with me. Because, after all, that's what these blogs are all about, aren't they?