QB – Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo, Ben Roethlisberger, Donovan McNabb, Jay Cutler
INJURY WATCH: Ben Roethlisberger(PIT), Donovan McNabb(PHI), Aaron Rodgers(GB), Carson Palmer(CIN), Jon Kitna(DET), Gus Frerotte(MIN), Vince Young(TEN)
Start
Matt Cassel (NEP) – Anytime the Patriots are coming off a BYE and they’re playing a questionable defense, you should pounce, like this week when they play the 49ers. I think Bellichik has his players prepared and rested up for this one and you should see according results. They also have this guy Moss to throw to. I hear he’s open. 250yrds, 2 TD’s, 3 for 25yrds
David Garrard (JAC) – He’s affectionately known as the Steeler killer around these parts. While I don’t think Jacksonville wins this game, I do believe Garrard finds the open space in the zone and connects with his receivers on short and intermediate routes. The run game will struggle despite its past success, and that will leave Garrard as the playmaker in this one. 225yrds, 1 TD, 5 for 40yrds, 1 TD
Sit
Matt Hasselbeck (SEA) – Hasselbeck is coming out of his BYE and he’s finally getting his main receivers back, but he’s facing a very tough Giants defense that will be in his face all day creating problems. Plus, Branch and Engram won’t play the entire game and the other receivers are suspect at best. With no big name QB’s on BYE this week, you should be able to do better. 225yrds, 1 TD, 2 INT’s, 1 FUM
Jon Kitna (DET) – Kitna is coming off an injured knee and is facing the Bears this week. I expect a lot of turnovers and sacks and Kitna might not finish the game. While he has the weapons outside to make plays, the lack of a running game and questionable offensive line play make Kitna a poor choice this week. 200yrds, 2 TD’s, 3 INT’s, 2 FUM
RB – LaDanian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson, Brian Westbrook, Marshawn ####, Larry Johnson, Clinton Portis, Frank Gore, Marion Barber, Reggie Bush
INJURY WATCH: Adrian Peterson(MIN), Brian Westbrook(PHI), Willie Parker(PIT), Willis Mcgahee(BAL), Darren McFadden(OAK), Justin Fargas(OAK), Ahman Green(HOU), Laurence Maroney(NEP), Lamont Jordan(NEP), Maurice Morris(SEA), Rashard Mendenhall(PIT), Chris Perry(CIN), Kenny Watson(CIN)
Start
Steve Slaton (HOU) – I’m on the Slaton bandwagon. After a tough Week 1 against the Steelers, Slaton has racked up the yards on the ground and through the air and scored in each of his last two games. This week he faces a Colts defense that surrenders over 150yrds to opposing backs. Gary Kubiak knows that his best defense this week will be to control the ball and keep Peyton Manning off the field. Slaton is flourishing in the same system that produced all of those Denver 1000yrd backs. 125yrds, 1 TD, 5 for 50yrds, 1 TD
Earnest Graham (TB) – Graham has been an odd cat this year, posting solid numbers through the first four weeks or the season, despite being shutout week 3. If you look at Graham’s numbers though, you’ll see he’s had two big runs late in week’s 2 and 4 that got him his big numbers for those games. With Brian Griese continuing to be generous to the opposing team with his constant turnovers, Graham should be the benefactor of a more conservative approach this week. He also goes up against a Broncos defense that nearly surrendered a 200yrd game last week. 100yrds, 2 TD’s, 2 for 15yrds
Sit
Chris Johnson/Lendale White (TEN) – Difficult to normally sit either of these guys, but I think Tennessee struggles this week at Baltimore. I expect a very physical game, where both teams will grind it out on offense and try to put their defenses and special teams in a position to win the game. Baltimore comes in as the number one defense in the league against the run, and I expect them to leave this week the same. Unless you’re a Steven Jackson owner, I’d stay away this week. 50-60yrds each, 0.50 TD’s each, 2 for 15yrds each
Michael Turner (ATL) – While Turner has been potent through his first four games, I expect the Falcons to stall this week in Green Bay. The Packers will load up against Turner and force Matt Ryan to try and beat them through the air. While he may score once this week, I see yardage very tough to come by as Atlanta will be forced to throw later in the game to try and make up ground. 30-40yrds, 1 TD, 2 for 15yrds
WR – Brandon Marshall, Terrell Owens, Reggie Wayne, Larry Fitzgerald, Greg Jennings, Calvin Johnson, Steve Smith(CAR), T.J. Houshmanzedah
INJURY WATCH: Marques Colston(NO), Anquan Boldin(ARI), Javon Walker(OAK), Reggie Brown(PHI), Kevin Curtis(PHI), Jerry Porter(JAC), Joey Galloway(TBB), Sidney Rice(MIN), Bernard Berrian(MIN), Deion Branch(SEA), Bobby Engram(SEA), Donte Stallworth(CLE), Devin Hester(CHI), David Patten(NO)
Start
Robert Meachem/Lance Moore (NO) – Besides Reggie Bush, there’s no one on the Saints left to throw to for at least the next two weeks. Both Moore and Meachem benefited from the absence of Colston, Shockey and a limited David Patten, and they’ll do the same this Monday Night when the Saints play the Vikings. Not that the Saints run all that much anyway, but this game should see even less. Get those Saints WR’s in your lineup. 5 for 100yrds each, 1 TD each
Matt Jones (JAC) – Jones will benefit from the Steelers aggressive blitzing and soft zone coverage, finding the holes much like Derrick Mason did this past Monday Night. If Garrard gets time to set up in the pocket, Jones should be open in a variety of areas on the field. Jones has also had success against the Steelers smaller cornerbacks in the red-zone, often winning many jump balls. 6 for 85yrds, 1 TD
Sit
Donald Driver (GB) – It’s obvious that the torch has been passed in the Green Bay receiving corp. Driver is getting about half the amount of looks that Jennings is receiving right now and there’s no sure bet that Rodgers will play this week. You’d figure that Driver would benefit from the doubles that roll Jennings way, but that hasn’t been the case. There are some good receivers on BYE this week, but Driver should only be used if you’re in a tight spot. 4 for 40yrds
Andre Johnson (HOU) – I thought you should never sit your studs?!? Hey, these types of calls are why they pay me the big bucks, err… something like that. If you look at what happened last week, you’ll see the reason for this predict. Indianapolis is tops in the league against the pass, (only because they’re last against the run) and Johnson will be paid extra attention this week. Kevin Walter benefited similarly last week, and the Texans are going to run the ball and use short dump offs to keep the pass rush at bay. A touchdown this week, maybe. 3 for 50yrds
TE – Jason Witten, Antonio Gates, Tony Gonzalez, Kellen Winslow, Chris Cooley
INJURY WATCH: Tony Gonzalez(KC), Jeremy Shockey(NO), L.J. Smith(PHI), Randy McMichael(STL), Ben Watson(NEP), Leonard Pope(ARI)
Start
Anthony Fasano (MIA) – The TE is the go to receiver in the Miami offense and Fasano has scored in two out of three games this year. They’ve had two weeks to prepare for San Diego, who also happens to give up more catches, yards, and TD’s to TE’s than any other defense in the league. The Chargers will have to focus on stopping Ronnie Brown, leaving Fasano open in the middle of the field. 5 for 75yrds, 1 TD
K – Nick Folk, Mason Crosby, Stephen Gostkowski, Adam Vinatieri, Rob Bironas, Nate Kaeding, David Akers
Start
Jeff Reed (PIT) – Reed is on the verge of becoming an every week start for fantasy owners. Why? He hasn’t missed a FG yet this season, converting all 7 attempts, including 4 of 40yrds and 1 50yrd. His XP to FG ratio right now is 8-7, which is the minimum you want from your fantasy kicker. I expect Reed to continue to have success as the Steelers offense stalls in field goal range against the tough defenses they face this year. 2 XP’s, 3 FG’s
Carolina Panthers – For the second week in a row I’m touting the Panthers. Though they didn’t create any turnovers last week, they are at home again and will play a Chiefs team that looked a lot better last week than they really are. Look for a low yards and points against and a few turnovers to go along an overall solid performance. There are no high profile defenses on BYE this week, so play your regulars and if you’re a NY Jets defense owner, get the Panthers in there if you need some help. <299 YA, <14 PA, 4 sacks, 1 INT, 1 FUM
(2)Buffalo Bills (4-0). Last: WON 31-14 @ St. Louis Rams. Next: @ Arizona (2-2). You can’t blame a team for the schedule they play. Winning games in the NFL is difficult, just ask the Broncos. Buffalo has a strong lead in the AFC East and the schedule isn’t going to get any harder. As long as they keep their key players healthy and continue to play great defense, they should have no problem winning twelve or thirteen games this year.
(3)New York Giants (3-0). Last: BYE. Next: vs. Seattle (1-2). The Giants will be without Plaxico Burress this week when they play the Seahawks. I don’t think it will be a big deal, as the Giants are very deep at the offensive skill positions. Both teams are coming off their BYE weeks, so they’ve had equal time to prepare for each other. The Giants will have to play excellent defense in the secondary as both Engram and Branch are expected back this week.
(1)Dallas Cowboys (3-1). Last: LOST 24-26 vs. Washington Redskins. Next: vs. Cincinnati (0-4). Divisional games are very tough to win. You play these teams so often that record is always thrown out when these games come around. Dallas was unable to get any kind of ground game started, allowing Washington to concentrate on stopping the pass. Anytime a team becomes one-dimensional, the results are usually unfavorable.
(7)Tennessee Titans (4-0). Last: WON 30-17 vs. Minnesota Vikings Next: @ Baltimore (2-1). The Titans continue to roll along, winning games and scoring in bunches. The offense will be tested yet again when they travel to Baltimore this week to face the league’s number one defense. You have to try and establish a run game against the Ravens to draw the safeties up; the corners are not that good. Kerry Collins will face his toughest challenge to date.
(5)Pittsburgh Steelers (3-1). Last: WON 23-20 vs. Baltimore Ravens. Next: @ Jacksonville (2-2) (Sunday Night). Pittsburgh outlasted Baltimore this past Monday Night to regain the lead in the AFC North. Baltimore dominated the game through three quarters, then a personal foul penalty against Baltimore late in the third swung the game. The Steelers then scored 2 TD’s in 15 seconds and hung on to win in overtime. It was an ugly win, but still a win and you’ll take those against divisional opponents. Redemption will be on their minds this week when they travel to Jacksonville.
(4)Philadelphia Eagles (2-2). Last: LOST 20-24 @ Chicago Bears. Next: vs. Washington (3-1). The Eagles schedule is no joke, nobodies is when you play in the NFC East. There won’t be a team under .500, yet someone will not be making the playoffs. The Eagles are low-man on the totem pole at the moment, though I don’t think they’ll stay there. They’ll have a chance to make up some ground this week against the Redskins. Which defense makes a stop will determine the outcome.
(10)Carolina Panthers (3-1). Last: WON 24-9 vs. Atlanta Falcons. Next: vs. Kansas City (1-3). Carolina finally got the pass game going, and they’ll need it in the next coming weeks. With teams seeing Delhomme, Smith and Muhammed on the same page, the safeties will have to back off, allowing Stewart and Williams the opportunity to break big gains. Carolina needs to remain healthy, a problem they’ve had in the past, to remain in the NFC South race.
(6)Green Bay Packers (2-2). Last: LOST 21-30 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Next: vs. Atlanta (2-2). Green Bay lost to a tough Buccaneers team on the road, but more importantly, may have lost their QB in the process. A shoulder separation of a QB’s throwing arm is no joke and could become a season ender. If that’s the case, I don’t see a pair of rookie QB’s able to step in against this schedule and have success. All will hinge on those all important x-rays and MRI’s to come for Rodgers.
(8)Denver Broncos (3-1). Last: LOST 19-33 @ Kansas City Chiefs. Next: vs. Tampa Bay (3-1). Do they have trap games in the NFL? If so this was the prime example of one, with Denver maybe looking ahead to Tampa Bay next week. Maybe not, but whatever the case, the Broncos looked bad against arguably the worst team in the league. We’ll see how they respond this week to a much better defense and similar run-first offense.
(12)San Diego Chargers (2-2). Last: WON 28-18 @ Oakland Raiders. Next: @ Miami (1-2). Things looked bad for the Chargers, going down 18 points to the Raiders early, but picked things up, scoring 28 unanswered and winning the game. The Chargers could have trouble this week in Miami (did I just say that out loud) trying to defend Ronnie Brown. They will need to play disciplined defense to have success and cover the TE in the middle of the field, something they failed at this past week.
(9)Indianapolis Colts (1-2). Last: BYE. Next: @ Houston (0-3). The Colts are coming off their BYE and they’ll get to play Houston this week. They key thing was getting time to heal and Manning getting more time to work with his receivers. I expect a lot of Joseph Addai this week to help things along. The defense will have their hands full with rookie phenom Steve Slaton. They’re going to have to stay disciplined and make sure tackles to keep the speedster from breaking big plays.
(14)New Orleans Saints (2-2). Last: WON 31-17 vs. San Francisco 49ers. Next: vs. Minnesota (1-3) (Monday Night). The Saints defense finally gelled and the results were a convincing win against San Francisco. The return of Deuce McAllister really opened things up for Brees down field and he continued his passing domination on the season. Minnesota’s secondary is horrendous, and even without Colston, Shockey, and/or Patten, New Orleans has the depth at receiver and tight end to remain productive.
(15)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1). Last: WON 30-21 vs. Green Bay Packers. Next: @ Denver (3-1). Tampa Bay has looked good, and they’re winning games differently every week. The defense was very strong against the Pack this past week, creating pressure, forcing turnovers, and eventually knocking Rodgers out of the game. The offense should be able to move the ball effectively against Denver this week by running the football and setting up play action. Griese needs to do a better job of taking care of the football for them to continue to have success.
(11)New England Patriots (2-1). Last: BYE. Next: @ San Francisco (2-2). The Patriots have the fortune of the BYE also last week, and they needed probably more than any other team. Their offense just isn’t that good, and their defense was exposed severely against the Dolphins. While the 49ers won’t run the same package this week, expect a heavy dose of a very similar type back in Frank Gore.
(16)Chicago Bears (2-2). Last: WON 24-20 vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Next: @ Detroit (0-3). Chicago beat a very good Philadelphia team this past Sunday Night, and they did it with defense, stopping the Eagles on a fourth and goal from the one. The passing game has looked remarkably different from past years, with Orton becoming more of a playmaker and less o####ame manager. A passing game opens up the run and the Bears are very good at the run.
(NR)Washington Redskins (3-1). Last: WON 26-24 @ Dallas Cowboys. Next: @ Philadelphia (2-2). I want to rank the Redskins higher, but what are you gonna do. A win this week would shoot them up the ranks, I promise. Winning at Dallas is no easy feat, but the Skins have played well against the Boys, beating them in the final game last year to squeak into the playoffs. Back-to-back divisional road games are the ultimate test of a team. Let’s see how they perform this week.
Dropped Out: (13) Minnesota
On the Verge: Jacksonville (2-2)
Bottom Feeders: 32.St. Louis Rams, 31.Detroit Lions, 30. Cincinnati Bengals
BYE WEEK: Patriots, Colts, Dolphins, NY Giants, Lions, Seahawks
QB – Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tony Romo, Ben Roethlisberger, Donovan McNabb, Jay Cutler
INJURY WATCH: Ben Roethlisberger(PIT), Donovan McNabb(PHI), Matt Hasselbeck(SEA), Brett Favre(GB), Damon Huard(KC)
Start
J.T. O’Sullivan(SF) – If you followed my advice from last week, you were rewarded by O’Sullivan to a quality start of 16-23, 189yrds, 2 TD’s, and 0 Turnovers. With a shootout brewing in New Orleans this week, I expect very similar numbers. The defense will concentrate on slowing Gore, leaving a lot of single coverage on the outside. San Francisco has the receivers to take advantage of those situations. 250yrds, 2 TD’s
Trent Edwards(BUF) – Edwards and the Buffalo offense are hot right now, and there’s no reason to see that trend not continuing this week in St. Louis. The Rams are the most dysfunctional team in the league outside of Kansas City and Edwards will be able to take advantage downfield as the defense attempts to contain Marshawn ####. Though Roscoe Parrish will not play this week, Buffalo has the receivers to make the big plays. 225yrds, 2 TD’s
Sit
Marc Bulger/Trent Green(STL) – St. Louis has announced they are going with Trent Green this week. Bulger may quickly become a fantasy afterthought if Green comes out and performs. The Rams can’t do any worse at this point and it’s possible Green can spark something in this offense, relegating Bulger to the bench until Green gets hurt, which seems inevitable at this point in his career.
Aaron Rodgers(GB) – May be a reach here, but I think Rodgers and the Green Bay offense will struggle at Tampa Bay. It’s hard to sit Rodgers this week with so many high profile QB’s on BYE, but if you have two capable QB’s, I think Rodgers should be benched. Though he has the receivers to make the plays, I expect him to be under pressure all day and scrambling around in the backfield. If he continues to run as much as he has through the first three weeks, he won’t last much longer this season. 250yrds, 1 TD, 2 INT’s, 1 FUM
RB – LaDanian Tomlinson, Adrian Peterson, Brian Westbrook, Steven Jackson, Marshawn ####, Larry Johnson, Clinton Portis, Frank Gore, Marion Barber, Willie Parker, Reggie Bush, Michael Turner
INJURY WATCH: Adrian Peterson(MIN), Brian Westbrook(PHI), Steven Jackson(STL), Willie Parker(PIT), Willis Mcgahee(BAL), Darren McFadden(OAK), Justin Fargas(OAK), Ahman Green(HOU), Deuce McAllister(NO), Laurence Maroney(NEP), Lamont Jordan(NEP), Maurice Morris(SEA)
Start
Jonathan Stewart(CAR) – I can’t see why Stewart won’t receive the bulk of the carries this week against Atlanta. It’s obvious he’s a much better back than Williams, and there has to be something with his blocking that is keeping him from being an every down back. I expect Carolina to continue to be a run first team and pick their spots to go downfield. That means a lot of touches for Stewart and a lot of opportunity to score. 100yrds, 2 TD’s
Jamal Lewis(CLE) – This is the week that Lewis finally gets it going. The Browns are desperate for a win and they can’t afford to fall to last place in the AFC North. They know that if they lose this game, they’re all but eliminated from playoff contention. With Anderson struggling, I expect to see a lot of Lewis to alleviate the pressure on the offense. 100yrds, 2 TD’s
Sit
Philadelphia RB’s – Brian Westbrook might play this week, but I highly doubt it. Even if he does play, given his condition, it will be a time-split and that spells trouble, especially against the Chicago defense. This could end up like last week’s game against Pittsburgh; very low scoring, with defenses dominating. 30-40yrds each, 3 for 15-20yrds each, 0.33 TD each
Edgerrin James(ARI) – I think it’s only a matter of time before James rides the pine or comes off the bench in a relief role. He just doesn’t have it anymore, and the other RB in Arizona seems to be taking more and more away from him with each passing week. Speaking of passing, there’s also going to be a lot of that from Arizona this week. Couple that with the fact that James doesn’t get the goal-line carries and that equals a Fantasy Benching. 50-60yrds, 2 for 15yrds
WR – Terrell Owens, Reggie Wayne, Andre Johnson, Larry Fitzgerald, Brandon Marshall, Calvin Johnson, Plaxico Burress, Greg Jennings, Anquan Boldin (removed: Randy Moss, Braylon Edwards)
INJURY WATCH: Chad Johnson(CIN), Marques Colston(NO), Javon Walker(OAK), Reggie Brown(PHI), Kevin Curtis(PHI), Jerry Porter(JAC), Joey Galloway(TBB), Sidney Rice(MIN), Bernard Berrian(MIN), Deion Branch(SEA), Bobby Engram(SEA), Donte Stallworth(CLE), Devin Hester(CHI), Roscoe Parrish(BUF), David Patten(NO)
Start
Dwayne Bowe(KC) – You wouldn’t know it by his numbers, but Bowe actually leads the league in targets so far this season. Damon Huard is expected to start this week, and that gives Bowe the best chance to succeed in this offense. The Chiefs will have to abandon the run early in this one to keep pace with Denver and that means lots of opportunity for Bowe. This is his week to shine. 7 for 125yrds, 1 TD
Hines Ward/Santonio Holmes(PIT) – The Steelers were embarrassed last week at Philly, surrendering nine sacks and managing zero touchdowns. I don’t see that happening again this week. This is a Monday Night game at home where there’s nobody better than the Steelers. Think back to last year’s first meeting between these teams. Everyone’s going to overrate Baltimore based on their record against two very bad teams. A rookie RB starting will lead to many passing opportunities. 6 for 80-90yrds each, 1 TD each
Sit
Braylon Edwards(CLE) – Again, very difficult to sit such an explosive receiver, but Edwards is at the bottom of the barrel right now in Fantasy points through the first three weeks. Cincinnati did an excellent job of shutting down Plaxico Burress last week and I expect them to do the same to Edwards this week. Until you see something from Anderson, like a good game or him on the bench, I’d wait on Edwards unless the BYE week has made you desperate. 4 for 30-40yrds
TE – Jason Witten, Antonio Gates, Tony Gonzalez, Kellen Winslow, Chris Cooley
INJURY WATCH: Jeremy Shockey(NO), L.J. Smith(PHI), Ben Watson(NEP)
Start
Billy Miller(NO) – With Shockey, Colston, and potentially Patten on the sidelines for a while, Miller becomes a strong option this week with six teams on their BYE. This would be a great opportunity for a Shockey, Dallas Clark, or Anthony Fasano owner to make up those lost points. San Francisco has been generous in its defense this season and Brees is going to be slinging the ball all over the place. 6 for 40-50yrds, 1 TD
K – Nick Folk, Mason Crosby, Stephen Gostkowski, Adam Vinatieri, Rob Bironas, Nate Kaeding, Robbie Gould
Start
Phil Dawson(CLE) – I think the Browns get back on track this week because they need to. That still doesn’t mean they’re going to score a lot of touchdowns, but I do think they’ll score a lot of points. Cincinnati did a good job of slowing down the Giants last week, stalling many drives in field goal range. 3 FG’s, 2 XP’s
Carolina Panthers – Though the Panthers are a little ####ed up, I expect their game-plan this week will be to control the ball and keep Michael Turner off the field. Their secondary will limit Roddy White and pressure Matt Ryan into making rookie mistakes. By shortening the game and scoring, they should force Atlanta into throwing late and taking advantage of the situation. This figures to be one of the lower scoring games this week and if you’re in a pinch for a defense, Carolina could pay good dividends. <300 YA, <17 PA, 4 sacks, 2 INT’s, 1 FUM
(1)Dallas Cowboys (3-0). Last: WON 27-16 @ Green Bay Packers. Next: vs. Washington (2-1). Dallas won for the first time Green Bay. Dallas is going to be difficult to beat. Especially when the defense plays up to its potential like it did against Green Bay. The offense wasn’t spectacular, but it didn’t need to be, it just needed to be efficient and get points. They have a big divisional game this week, though it is a home, and Washington has come on strong after their dismal showing in week one.
(4)Buffalo Bills (3-0). Last: WON 24-23 vs. Oakland Raiders. Next: @ St. Louis (0-3). Buffalo squeaked out a win against Oakland, and that is good and bad for this team. It’s bad that they were in that position, especially being at home. But it’s good in that they had to come from behind, make big plays and nail a field goal with time expiring to win. These types of games are character builders for teams, and Buffalo continues to grow.
(5)New York Giants (3-0). Last: WON 26-23 vs. Cincinnati Bengals. Next: BYE. The Giants also struggles this past week, needing overtime to beat the Bengals. Cincinnati finally showed what type of team it could be, and I don’t think the Giants were quite prepared for that. Like the Bills, it is critical for teams to win tight games and overtime games to learn how to handle those types of situations. These learning experiences are vital to any team wanting to contend.
(6)Philadelphia Eagles (2-1). Last: WON 15-6 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers. Next: @ Chicago (1-2) (Sunday Night). The Eagles outlasted the Steelers in this heavyweight fight, but paid a bit of a price in the area of personnel. Tony Hunt(RB) was knocked out of the game on the first series and never returned. A series or two later, Brian Westbrook left the game after stepping on his own teammate. While Westbrook’s injury is being called a strain and not considered serious, the Eagles have quickly become thin in the backfield.
(2)Pittsburgh Steelers (2-1). Last: LOST 6-15 @ Philadelphia Eagles. Next: vs. Baltimore (2-0) (Monday Night). The Steelers got beat in the score, in the mental, and in the coaching game this past week. Big Ben was battered around all day to the tune of 8 sacks, 2 fumbles and an interception before leaving the game midway through the fourth quarter. It was a very physical game for both teams, so check injury reports to see who survived. I’d like to see some changes on the offensive line, but I doubt anything will happen. A win this week at home gets them back on track and back in first in the AFC North.
(3)Green Bay Packers (2-1). Last: LOST 16-27 vs. Dallas Cowboys. Next: @ Tampa Bay (2-1). The Packers lost to arguably the best team in the league, but Green Bay fan shouldn’t fret. I’m guessing that most teams will lose to the Cowboys. It’s all about how the Pack responds to losing. They face another challenge on the road this week against and aging, but solid defense. This game is important because it could decide playoff seeding and a game at home during those playoffs. I think this game shows us how good Green Bay really is.
(10)Tennessee Titans (3-0). Last: WON 31-12 vs. Houston Texans. Next: vs. Minnesota (1-2). Tennessee continues to win, playing solid defense and controlling the ball and the clock on offense. This is a much better passing game now with Collins, and he’ll have the ability to bring the team back if they fall behind. The Titans will face their mirror team in the NFC in the Vikings, who want to do the same things on offense and defense. Tennessee was gouged by much lesser of a running back in Steve Slaton, and will have to face A.P. Not taking anything away from the rook from WVU, but the Vikings have a better offensive line.
(13)Denver Broncos (3-0). Last: WON 34-32 vs. New Orleans Saints. Next:@ Kansas City (0-3). The Broncos lead the NFL in scoring through the first three weeks of the season and they’ll need to keep that trend going if they want to continue winning, because they’ve also given up the third most points in the league. They should continue to win this week at least as they visit Kansas City and the worst coached, worst offense in the league.
(8)Indianapolis Colts (1-2). Last: LOST 21-23 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars. Next: BYE. The Colts lost a heartbreaker to the Jags on a last second field goal this past week, so I can’t drop them too far, but they need to turn things around fast to stay in the AFC race. Luckily they get their BYE this week and it comes at a perfect time. Manning will get a week to rest and work on getting his timing back with his receivers. They’ll also get a chance to sure up that porous run defense, yikes.
(9)Carolina Panthers (2-1). Last: LOST 10-20 @ Minnesota Vikings. Next: vs. Atlanta (2-1). The AFC South is going to be tight this year, and the Panthers are going to be in the hunt. They have a huge divisional game this week against Atlanta, and they’ll need to get the passing game going to keep Atlanta from loading the box. This is a winnable game for Carolina, but the Falcons are out to prove something.
(7)New England Patriots (2-1). Last: LOST 13-38 vs. Miami Dolphins. Next: BYE. This game against the Dolphins will represent the rest of the season for New England in my opinion. There should be no possibly way the Dolphins rack up that many points on the Pats, which in case you forgot, Tom Brady is on IR. Wait a minute, Brady doesn’t play defense, wow. The Patriots get their BYE at the right time, and I expect The Devil(Bellicheck), to have his team ready to play. I still don’t think they’ll win more than eight games this year.
(14)San Diego Chargers (1-2). Last: WON 48-29 vs. New York Jets. Next: @ Oakland (1-2). The Chargers looked good Monday, easily disposing of the Jets while scoring big points, with turnovers, pressure, and a score from the defense as well. Tomlinson appeared to be okay but lacked explosiveness in his run that he normally carries in his game. He still scored two TD’s, while he actually didn’t do the work to get down there, he still converted, and that’s what mattered. San Diego has dominated Oakland in the past and I expect them to even up their record this week to get back in the hunt for the AFC West.
(16)Minnesota Vikings (1-2). Last: WON 20-10 vs. Carolina Panthers. Next: @ Tennessee (3-0). The Vikings finally finished the game in the win column this year, and they needed it badly. They honestly can’t afford to lose many more games this year if they want a chanced at a wild card spot, considering how well the NFC East is playing. They’ll get tested again this week when they travel to Tennessee. Hopefully A.P. is ready to go, because the Vikings will be counting on him to win the game.
(11)New Orleans Saints (1-2). Last: LOST 32-34 @ Denver Broncos. Next: vs. San Francisco (2-1). The Saints are getting close, but the defense is not holding things together long enough to help win games. They’re pretty ####ed up right now, and it might get worse before it gets better. There could be another shoot-out in the dome this week as Mike Martz comes strolling into town with his pass first, pass second, pass third philosophy. Drew Brees has a great game despite only throwing for one TD against Denver. There’s no confusing who’s going to have to win games for this team.
(NR)Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1). Last: WON 27-24 @ Chicago Bears. Next: vs. Green Bay (2-1). Tampa Bay makes their debut in the Power 16 this week after winning an overtime knock-down, drag-out with the Bears in the windy city. The defense and lack of ground game scares me about this team. When you run the ball a total of 10 times, you don’t win many games. They’ll need to run and sure up the defense this week when the Packers come to town.
(12)Chicago Bears (1-2). Last: LOST 24-27 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Next: vs. Philadelphia (2-1) (Sunday Night). Despite the overtime loss to Tampa, the Bears have to feel a little better about their passing game. They will at least realize they have one now, and it may be featured when they play Philly this coming Sunday Night. The Eagles are pretty ####ed up on offense right now, but the Bears will have to find a way to beat the every-play blitzing defense to give themselves a chance.
Dropped Out: (15) Arizona Cardinals (2-1)
On the Verge: Washington(2-1), Atlanta(2-1), Baltimore(2-0), San Francisco(2-1)
Bottom Feeders: 32.Kansas City, 31.St. Louis, 30.Detroit
Week 3 of the NFL is in the books, and it will be a forgettable one for a lot of teams, I’m sure. There are still six undefeated teams to go along with the six winless teams. Things are starting to shake out like many thought they would with some glaring exceptions in the AFC South and East. Things in that conference are pretty much up in the air right now, with some very unexpected front runners heading up their respective divisions. And in the era of the salary cap and the infamous parity that exists; the NFL surely considers all of this good and bad.
GOOD
The New England Patriots lost, excuse me, got pounded at home by the hapless Miami Dolphins. Note to the league, the Patriots are a shell of their former selves without Tom Brady at QB. It also didn’t help that Maroney and Jordan both missed this game with some kind of injury. Why this is in the good column, because everyone outside of Boston and its surrounding areas was cheering when they saw what was happening in Foxboro. People love to hate Bill Belichick and the Pats, and this season is shaping up to be one big love-fest.
The Browns and Bengals both lost their games this past week, leaving them scraping at the bottom of the AFC North and winless at 0-3. This is shaping up to be a one and a half pony race for this division. Oh yeah, they play each other this week, so someone's gonna be 0-4, ouch.
BAD
The Steelers lost their first game of the season this past Sunday in ugly fashion, getting outscored and out-coached by the Philly Eagles. It’s no new news that Pittsburgh hasn’t won in Philly in quite some time. This was a very winnable game in my mind, but the Steeler coaching staff made no attempt to adjust to the all-out blitz Philly ran on EVERY play. There were no draws, no screens, and only the occasional quick hitter to a wide receiver that produced results. The one deep ball that was thrown was intercepted, albeit early in the game, but there wasn’t another ball thrown deep again. It was a hard fought game, and one that was totally winnable. I’m not sure why Max Starks did not make an appearance at RT or another position. In that situation, what’s the worst that could happen; he’d give up a sack?
Fantasy Note
I got crushed in my Fantasy Game this past week, against what I believe is the best team in our league. I managed a measly one touchdown from my players, that coming from Drew Brees. The yardage was okay, but when you only get 4 total points from Brian Westbrook, Earnest Graham, and Andre Johnson, you’re going to be in trouble. Yes, Westbrook was injured in that game, but the production still needs to come from the other players and needs to be more than that. My bench almost outscored my starters, scary. So this was my worst game of the year, I expect to bounce back next week. I’ll be without Calvin Johnson this week as the Lions go on their BYE, but I believe I will be able to find a suitable replacement for him. You can keep track of me this season at the below link.
(1)Dallas Cowboys (2-0). Last: WON 41-37 vs. Philadelphia Eagles. Next: @ Green Bay (2-0) (Sunday Night). The Cowboys offense continues to be a juggernaut, scoring at will against a good Philly defense. I’m a little worried that they gave up 37 points, but they did make stops when it mattered most. They’ll be tested again this week in Lambeau, facing another potent offense, but this time, in a very hostile and unpredictable environment.
(2)Pittsburgh Steelers (2-0). Last: WON 10-6 @ Cleveland Browns. Next: @ Philadelphia (1-1). Maybe it wasn’t the most glamorous of wins, but a win it was all the same. Anytime you have weather issues, especially wind, like they did in Cleveland, there’s not going to be very many big plays. Granted, the Steelers made them when it counted, the Browns did not. The schedule toughens now, but having a two and a half game lead over the Browns after week two of the season is pretty darn good. A win at Philly this week, something they haven’t done in a long time, would really put this team at the top of the AFC.
(7)Green Bay Packers (2-0). Last: Won 48-25 @ Detroit Lions. Next: vs. Dallas (2-0) (Sunday Night). The Packers jumped up early on the Lions and never looked back. Aaron Rogers is erasing all doubts of whether or not he can lead this team back to the NFC Championship game. They’ll get their shot to solidify themselves as the team to beat when they face the Cowboys this coming Sunday Night.
(4)Buffalo Bills (2-0). Last: WON 20-16 @ Jacksonville Jaguars. Next: vs. Oakland (1-1). Buffalo continues to perform against quality opponents, beating their second straight 2007 playoff team. I’m now a believer in this team because of the defenses play and the ability of Edwards to lead this team very efficiently in the passing game, not turning the ball over, and making big plays when the team needs it. Couple these things with a Tom Brady-less Patriots and one of the easiest schedules in football, and the Bills are smelling an AFC East title.
(5)New York Giants (2-0). Last: WON 41-13 @ St. Louis Rams. Next: vs. Cincinnati (0-2). The Giants continue their road winning ways, albeit against probably the worst team in the league. I like the fact that they can win games in grinder mode or by putting up big points. They haven’t played a good team yet, so we’ll see what happens when the time comes. The time will not be this week when Cincinnati comes to town. Expect a similar outcome to last week in this one.
(3)Philadelphia Eagles (1-1). Last: LOST 37-41 @ Dallas Cowboys. Next: vs. Pittsburgh (2-0). Philly was on the short end of a Monday Night shoot-out, but you still have to consider them one of the better teams in the league. I’m not sure what DeSean Jackson was doing when he dropped the ball prior to the end zone, but I’m sure he won’t be doing that again anytime soon. Pittsburgh comes to town this week and they haven’t been very successful when doing so. I’m expecting a little more defense in this one, but it should be another great game.
(8)New England Patriots (2-0). Last: WON 19-10 @ NY Jets. Next: vs. Miami (0-2). The Patriots won again, granted it has been against a couple of the worst teams in the league, and not by convincing margins. They get Miami this week, and if your MVP QB happens to get knocked out for the year, this isn’t a bad way to get your backup some work before they actually have to play teams that can beat them.
(10)Indianapolis Colts (1-1). Last: WON 18-15 @ Minnesota Vikings. Next: vs. Jacksonville (0-2). The Colts were very close to starting 0-2, but made some plays late in the game to erase a fifteen point deficit to pull out the last second win. Still, this team does not look right. The ground game needs a major spark, and I think Manning’s injury is prohibiting them from running the stretch play that they’ve made so successful. This is a big divisional game coming up and they’ll need to slow Jacksonville’s run game to win.
(12)Carolina Panthers (2-0). Last: Won 20-17 vs. Chicago Bears. Next: @ Minnesota (0-2). Carolina has now won two huge games to open the season, and they haven’t had their best player in doing so. That changes this week as Steve Smith returns from his suspension. The chemistry of the team will come into question, but I think they’ve got the mentality to hold things together. Jonathan Stewart is a beast, and I think he makes the offense more versatile when he’s in the game. If the defense can shut down AP, they’ve got an excellent chance to steal another game on the road.
(13)Tennessee Titans (2-0). Last: WON 24-7 vs. Cincinnati Bengals. Next: vs. Houston (0-1). Tennessee all of a sudden has a passing game thanks to Kerry Collins. The Titans have announced they will stick with him even when Vince Young returns from injury. I don’t think this is a bad thing. The run game has always been good. But now with the passing game, especially Justin Gage, posing a threat, the run game will be that much better. Collins just needs to remember to play within himself and realize he doesn’t need to win the game; he just needs not to lose it.
(6)New Orleans Saints (1-1). Last: LOST 24-29 @ Washington Redskins. Next: @ Denver (2-0). I think New Orleans needs to scrap the idea of Reggie Bush being the only one in the backfield. I think a two-back system, incorporating Pierre Thomas as the primary runner, would greatly benefit this team. Without a run game, defenses are keying on Drew Brees, making their vaunted passing attack less threatening. The loss of Marques Colston probably doesn’t help things either.
(11)Chicago Bears (1-1). Last: LOST 17-20 @ Carolina Panthers. Next: vs. Tampa Bay (1-1). I think Chicago will struggle this week offensively. This will be another grinding, low scoring game, with the team making the fewest mistakes coming away with a W in the win column. With Devin Hester bogged down by an injury, Chicago’s explosive special teams become merely mediocre. They’ll be at home this week, and Chicago’s weather always seems to be a mess. Hopefully these factors can help the Bears pull this one out.
(NR)Denver Broncos (2-0). Last: WON 39-38 vs. San Diego Chargers. Next: vs. New Orleans (1-1). There’s no team hotter than the Broncos right now. They’ve won big games to open the season and are in the driver’s seat in the AFC West. They have to face another high powered offense this week, and shutting down Drew Brees and Reggie Bush will be a priority. The defense needs to find a way to stop teams for Denver to truly be a playoff factoring team. Man, Brandon Marshall is awesome.
(9)San Diego Chargers (0-2). Last: LOST 38-39 @ Denver Broncos. Next: vs. NY Jets (1-1) (Monday Night). The Chargers plunge on the Power 16 this week due to the horrendous play of the defense and the injury to L.T. The Chargers will find solace this Monday Night when the J E T S Jets come calling. While they were technically cheated out of a win against Denver, they still had numerous opportunities to put the game away and failed. Somebody on the defense needs to step up and fill the leadership role now that Merriman is done for the year. Somebody better do something, and fast.
(NR)Arizona Cardinals (2-0). Last: WON 31-10 vs. Miami Dolphins. Next: @ Washington (1-1). So Arizona pounded Miami this past weekend, who hasn’t? I needed a team to represent the NFC West and they’re just as good as the next, plus they haven’t lost yet, so here they are. Kurt Warner looked much better this week and the receivers made the plays to blow the game open. The running game looks solid now that there is a truly viable backup to The Edge in Tim Hightower. If the defense keeps playing well, the Cardinals will going places, and it won’t be to the golf courses in January.
(14)Minnesota Vikings (0-2). Last: LOST 15-18 vs. Indianapolis Colts. Next: vs. Carolina (2-0). I think Minnesota is much better than their 0-2 record shows. They get another upstart team this week and will have to deal with Steve Smith. Jake Delhomme is not Peyton Manning, and if the Vikings are up 15 in the fourth quarter again, they’re won’t lose this time. I would look into this whole thing called scoring touch downs though. That would probably help.
Dropped Out: (15) Jacksonville Jaguars, (16) Atlanta Falcons
Dallas Cowboys (1-0). Last: WON 28-10 @ Cleveland Browns Next: vs. Philadelphia (1-0) (Monday Night). What’s not to like about the Cowboys. They were efficient on offense and smothering on defense, holding the supposedly “high-powered” Browns offense in check all game. Marion Barber left the game earlier, and that’s a concern, but they are the clear favorites to come out of NFC. I’m looking at this week’s game as a potential NFC Championship game preview.
Pittsburgh Steelers (1-0). Last: WON 38-17 vs. Houston Texans. Next: @ Cleveland (0-1) (Sunday Night). Yes, this may be a little high, but was there a more dominating victory this past weekend? (Hold that thought until the #3 team). This is a huge divisional game for the Steelers considering the schedule to come. If the defense can maintain this pace for the season, the schedule may not matter considering San Diego, Indianapolis, and Jacksonville all looked bad in losing their first games. This week will be a more accurate portrayal of where this team is.
Philadelphia Eagles (1-0). Last: WON 38-3 vs. St. Louis Rams. Next: @ Dallas (1-0) (Monday Night). Okay, here’s the answer to the question above. Donovan McNabb will be in the running for MVP if he can stay healthy, which is always a concern. DeSean Jackson should be starting regardless of who else they may have at WR. He’s the biggest little man in the league. They travel to Dallas this week, so we’ll see how good this team really is. I think Brian Westbrook will need to be more involved for the Eagles to be able to pull the upset.
Buffalo Bills (1-0). Last: WON 34-10 vs. Seattle Seahawks. Next: @ Jacksonville (0-1). I’m putting Buffalo up there with the impressive win group this week. I know Seattle has like 10 injured receivers, but the defense was supposed to be the strong point for that team. The Bills scored every which way conceivable in this game and their defense thoroughly frustrated the Seattle offense. With Brady being out for the season, the AFC East is Buffalo’s for the taking. A strong run game, a QB that manages the game, and a defense that dominates; these are the core ingredients to a playoff team.
New York Giants (1-0). Last: WON 16-7 vs. Washington Redskins. Next: @ St. Louis (0-1). The defending Super Bowl champs deserve a little respect I think. While I don’t think they’ll be this high later in the season, the defense showed me that it can overcome some major losses and still perform at a high caliber level. I still believe Eli Manning is overrated, and the schedule will make it tough to get back to the playoffs this year. The Giants are missing the ingredient of QB as a game manager, and that will ultimately be their downfall this year.
New Orleans Saints (1-0). Last: WON 24-20 vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Next: @ Washington (0-1). Love the Saints. This was one of harder games on the schedule for them, a divisional no less and they hung in there, made plays when they needed, and came away with a big victory. Drew Brees is going to lead the league in all passing categories this year, so get used to seeing him at the top of the weekly statistics boards. The defense will be the break point for how far this team can go this season. They made a lot of free agents moves this year, and I see them paying off. They need to establish more of a running game though, to keep other defenses off balance.
Green Bay Packers (1-0). Last: WON 24-19 vs. Minnesota Vikings. Next: @ Detroit Lions (0-1). The Packers squeaked by the Vikings this past Monday Night, but that’s a bad thing. Aaron Rogers was very efficient throughout the game, accounting for two TD’s. The defense “held” A.P. to just over 100yrds and a TD and played a bend but don’t break style that lead to field goals early for the Vikings. The Packers are in control and the team to beat in the NFC North.
New England Patriots (1-0). Last: WON 17-10 vs. Kansas City Chiefs. Next: @ NY Jets (1-0). I have a word for you all to look up in the dictionary, Karma. And while I’ll never root for anyone to be injured, let’s just say I won’t lose any sleep over what happened. The Patriots are finished and that’s a fact. They should have lost to the Chiefs who are easily one of, if not the worst team in the league. Who knows, maybe the Pats bring in a veteran QB who leads them back to the Super Bowl. Maybe they stick with their next system quarterback and see what happens. The bigger question: How long before Randy Moss implodes? Karma.
San Diego Chargers (0-1). Last: LOST 24-26 vs. Carolina Panthers. Next: @ Denver (0-0). They lost, probably should have won. A last second TD pass to lose the game stings, but not being able to shut down a Steve Smith-less Carolina offense stings even more. It was nice to see San Diego throw to someone other than their TE. Speaking of which, the injury there won’t hurt the team as bad as most people think it will. If Shawn Merriman can’t play, that’s a different story. Philip Rivers looked good, L.T., not so good.
Indianapolis Colts (0-1). Last: LOST 13-29 vs. Chicago Bears. Next: @ Minnesota (0-0). They lost, and deserved to lose. It just goes to show how important the QB position is in the NFL. New England will prove that point in the upcoming weeks, and Peyton Manning’s injured knee proved it this past week. Not being able to stop the run will also lead to a healthy beat-down as well. It doesn’t get much easier for the Colts in the coming weeks and Manning needs to develop that timing with his receivers to get Indy back on track.
Chicago Bears (1-0). Last: WON 29-13 @ Indianapolis Colts. Next: @ Carolina (1-0). Yes, I know they beat the Colts, and yes they’re still behind them in the power rankings, get over it, it’s my column. Look, I’m not discounting the Bears, I just think that Indy is a better team overall and will finish with a better record in a harder conference. The Bears look like they’ve got that ferocious defense back and the run game looked as good as it’s been in past years. While I don’t think Kyle Orton is the answer, as long as he doesn’t lose games for them, he’ll be serviceable enough to push for a Wild Card spot.
Carolina Panthers (1-0). Last: Won 26-24 @ San Diego Chargers. Next: vs. Chicago (1-0). It’s the same deal here people. Carolina is good, but I’m still not sold on just how good they’re going to be. They’ll get a chance to prove it this week against the Bears. I like Carolina’s defense and I think it’s better than most people believe, but Philip Rivers should not be able to throw all over you. A healthy Jake Delhomme is the deal breaker here. If he’s healthy, he has the weapons around him to challenge New Orleans in the NFC South.
Tennessee Titans (1-0). Last: WON 17-10 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars. Next: @ Cincinnati (0-1). I’m still not sure what to think of the Titans. Vince Young is out 2 to 4 weeks, but I don’t that hurts the team. Collins is a much more accomplished passer, and that’s what this team needs. We know they can run the ball, but what happens if they get behind in a game. The defense is solid again and should carry this team as it did by shutting down a potent Jaguars rushing attack.
Minnesota Vikings (0-1). Last: LOST @ Green Bay 19-24. Next: vs. Indianapolis (0-1). The Vikings came out on the short end of their key Monday Night divisional match up. We knew if was going to be a difficult game for them and winning in Green Bay isn’t easy for anyone. The Vikings will need to get better play at the QB position and to Jackson’s credit; he performed much better later in the game than at the onset. Adrian Peterson looks poised for another big year as long as he remains healthy, something he hasn’t been able to do since his freshman year of college.
Jacksonville Jaguars (0-1). Last: LOST 10-17 @ Tennessee. Next: vs. Buffalo (1-0). I don’t think this team is as bad as they looked this past week, but I could be proved wrong this week when the Bills visit town. The defense did what it could, holding the Titans ground game in check most of the day, but they were on the field way too much to be successful. The offense failed to control the ball, and couldn’t sustain any kind of consistency. Speaking of which, their Kicker needs to find some. An NFL kicker should not be missing field goals under 40yrds.
Atlanta Falcons (1-0). Last: WON 34-21 vs. Detroit Lions. Next: @ Tampa Bay (0-1). Okay, so this may be a one week thing, but I think the Falcons need to be shown some props given what’s happened to the organization over the past two years or so. Is Michael Turner a stud or what? Yeah it was against the Lions, but anytime you run for over 200yrds in the NFL, that’s special. Can he do it every week, I don’t know. While I don’t think Atlanta is in a position to contend yet, they’re still going to make some noise this year and upset some good teams.
