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Selections - 4/1/2007
Apr 01, 2007 | 8:49AM | report this

Yesterday: 3 - 1

Overall: 199.8 - 191

NBA (97 - 79)

Grizzlies at Warriors - Under 223: In the four games since injuries to Mike Miller and Damon Stoudamire, the Grizzlies have scored 87, 88, 96, and 93 points. These point totals came against relatively weak defensive teams (Suns, Lakers, Blazers, and Sonics). Although the Warriors have scored 100+ points in four of their last five games, the Grizzlies' current offensive ineptitude should prevent the total from reaching 223 points. You have to remember that when totals are set this high, you need a group effort to reach it.

Wizards (-3.5) at Bucks: The Bucks are 1-4 ATS without Andrew Bogut and Charlie Villanueva in the lineup, and they're 1-5 ATS in their last six games. Meanwhile, the Wizards are now at full strength with Caron Butler back in the lineup, and they nearly beat a good Raptors squad on Friday night before losing in overtime.

Cavs (-7) at Celtics. The Cavs are only 6-12-1 ATS on the second night of back-to-backs, but the Celtics are in a worse situation, as Paul Pierce's lingering elbow injury could force him to miss the rest of the season. The Celtics are just 11-24-1 ATS at home, while the Cavs are a respectable 19-16 ATS on the road. Moreover, this game has playoff implications for the Cavs, while the Celtics would be better off losing the rest of their games in order to have a chance at landing Greg Oden or Kevin Durant.

Bobcats at Raptors (-7): In their last five games, the Raptors have shot a 47.4 FG%, while allowing a 39.8 FG%. They've also outrebounded opponents by 5.6 rpg. Plus, the Raptors are 6-3 ATS in their last nine games, and they're 22-13-1 ATS at home this season. Meanwhile, the Bobcats have also been playing well ATS in their last ten games (7-2-1), and they've won both games since Emeka Okafor's return from injury. However, these wins came at home against the Hawks and Bucks. Even though the Bobcats have been improving as the year progressed, a superior Raptors team that plays well at home should be able to cover this spread.

Spurs (-8.5) at Pacers: The Pacers have lost their last four games SU and ATS, and they're just 16-23-1 ATS following a loss. Also, Jermaine O'Neal is doubtful for tonight's game, and the Pacers struggle mightily without their main offensive weapon. On the other hand, the Spurs have won six straight games SU (4-2 ATS), and they're 21-16 ATS on the road this season. Also, they've posted excellent efficiency numbers in the last five games: 50.7 FG%, while allowing a 41.5 FG%.

Nuggets (-4) at Sonics: The Sonics have won three straight games SU and ATS, but two of these wins came against the hapless Timberwolves and Grizzlies. The other win came at Denver (100-97), so the Nuggets will be trying to return the favor tonight. The Nuggets have lost five of their last six games SU (3-3 ATS), and they've allowed a 52.4 FG% in their last five games. As a result, they should be focussed on remedying their defensive woes tonight, and that shouldn't be a foreboding task against a Sonics team that's missing its best offensive player (Ray Allen).

Add a comment   categories: NBA, betting, handicapping, Memphis Grizzlies, Golden State Warriors, Washington Wizards, Milwaukee Bucks, Cleveland Cavaliers, Charlotte Bobcats, Toronto Raptors, San Antonio Spurs, Indiana Pacers, Denver Nuggets, Seattle SuperSonics, Ray Allen, Andrew Bogut, Charlie Villanueva, Paul Pierce, Boston Celtics, Greg Oden
 
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Chrispi
As an amateur sports handicapper, I'm going to publish my analysis and picks for free. This forum provides me an easy method of keeping track of my handicapping record. Plus, if my picks are above 52.5% correct (above 50% on baseball moneylines), then I'm helping people beat the sportsbooks, and that's all the reward I need. Here are my records from each sport: NFL: 122-95 (56%) NBA: 119-100 (54%) College Basketball: 102.8-112 (48%) MLB: 76.7-67.3 (53%)
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