BobbyMcMahon's Blog
by: BobbyMcMahon
Speakers' Corner - the Euro edition responses week 8
Oct 11, 2006 | 7:53AM | report this

henry14 - When l was looking in the group that England is in l have come to terms that Israel can spoil the party and England might be seen scrambling for dear life and now that they are allowed to play in Tel-Aviv, l see them going all the way. They have not lost in 13 internationals and last year they pushed France to the nail. If Croatia can defeat England l see them in hot trouble as they are in a very tricky group and this might be one hell of an upset. Mind you Liverpool were push to a greater extend by a good Maccabi Haifa side so they are a strong side in my opinion. How do you rate the Israelis?

djinima - Bobby, my question for you . . . and this may seem like a dumb one. . . but why is Israel in UEFA? When did they become a part of the body?


Bobby – Initially I discounted Israel, particularly given that they were banned from playing at home. That has now been rescinded. I thought Croatia and Russia would battle it out for second place with England qualifying as group winners. But now I can see how Israel could make it through to the finals. The biggest obstacle that they face is actually winning games and this is a situation where an unbeaten record is actually an impediment. They may be unbeaten in their last 13 qualifying games but seven have been drawn and they have only six wins. In fact if they had traded wins with France or the Republic of Ireland during WC 2006 qualifying instead of drawing, they would have made it to Germany.

Making yourself difficult to beat is one thing, but going out and winning games is something very much different. So although Israel has to receive a lot of respect for coming back seven times during the current unbeaten streak to gain points, they have yet to show that they can beat any of the big countries of Europe.

As for Israel’s place in UEFA - it is politics. Israel has jumped around a number of Federations – including being part of Oceania at one time! Wikipedia has a good rundown of the checkered history.

In the short term it makes it more difficult for Israel to qualify through UEFA but the upside is the standard of Israeli play is going to continue to rise given that the top club teams can also participate in the Uefa Champions League and Cup.


realmadridcffan - Even though it is very early, who do you think has been the biggest surprise and disappointment so far. For my biggest surprise, I would have to say Scotland. Never would I have thought they would win three in a row this early. My biggest disappointment is got to be Spain. They have played brutal thus far. The rate they are playing, they might not even make it to Euro 2008.

Bobby – I think if anyone had said that Scotland would be sitting with a 100% record after three games the barman would have cut them off. But it is early days and the situation could turnaround very quickly – a loss in Kiev against Ukraine, Georgia comes to Hampden in March and defends stubbornly then a trip to Italy and another loss is very possible. Nine points from 3 games in fantastic, but it could easily become ten points from 6 games and third place then becomes a more realistic goal.

I would agree that Spain has to be the biggest disappointment. The only silver lining to their dark cloud is that both their losses have been away from home. But with two losses already they do have their work cut out.

If you look at the UEFA 2006 World Cup qualifying groups, three required the countries to play 12 games (the same as six of the seven Euro qualifying groups), and the other five required 10 games each. Out of the eight WCQ group winners no country lost more than one game and five of them were unbeaten. Poland and Sweden went through as best runners-up after dropping six points each and both finished a massive 9 points ahead of the third place countries. The other countries that went into the WCQ play-offs dropped anywhere between 9 and 12 points.

You can then guess that to make it through Euro 2008 qualifying, countries should be aiming for between 24 and 27 points with it likely closer to 24. That means a country might be able to drop 12 points in 12 games and still make it through as one of the top two finishers. By dropping six points in their first three games Spain can now only afford two more losses or three draws (or a any combination) if they hope to stand a chance of progressing. That makes life very difficult and I think it shows how important a good start is to ultimate success.


AlexMorph - This is a question that has been in my mind for a long time, and I've discussed it with many to no certain conclusion. Why is it that England cannot control the ball AND attack simultaneously? If they go ahead against weak opposition then they do quite fine to shut them down and pass the ball back and forth, but eventually it will break down and the other team will spring on a quick break. England seemingly have no collective conscience as do teams like Argentina, Brazil, Arsenal, Barcelona, Lyon. Even with some of their more creative players (Joe Cole for example) the attack is more of a one-off flare and not a succession of intricate moves and innate understanding. Lyon is still a fluid team despite Houllier, so why can't England be one now that Eriksson is gone?

kirbym - AlexMorph makes a good point. Even England's victories are so often one-offs, saved by a miracle free kick, an own goal, etc., while the pundits say "They haven't quite gotten started yet," etc. They struggle rather than flow. It goes together with a lucklessness that goes back decades, showing up most often against Latin/Mediterranean teams and in penalty shootouts. Tinkering with lineups and formations doesn't go deep enough--it's something fundamental in their approach that's missing. The spirit is always there: They "go down fighting" but they do go down, unable to string together a real attack when needed. I'll also be interested in hearing Bobby's thoughts on this.

CIAO - I too think England has a great pool of players (minus the keepers) to select from. However, I can see two issues: 1. Most British players remain in England and are not exposed to European football or at the international level; and 2. the game is different in the EPL than in any other league and it takes the national team players some adapting for the international level...

I think the Lampard-Gerrard combo has been tested and it failed. Lampard and Gerrard can't seem to catch the same level they perform with their clubs on the national team -so isn't it time to look at other alternatives? Such as implementing either Lennon or SWP to the right wing. I think the national coach needs to consider that SWP should still be in consideration for a spot given that at Chelsea he is fighting for a spot to play with likes of Lampard, Ballack, Makelele, Robben and the list goes on... Hargreaves and/or Parker as the holding midfielders. How about pushing Ashley Cole up to left wing midfield while Joe Cole is out injured... Which leaves a spot behind two strikers for either Lampard or Gerrard -a little friendly competition never hurt anyone. It's time to go back to basics...

What are your views on the matter?


Bobby – Glenn Moore wrote an interesting article in the independent on “When did England last play well?”

To debate this topic properly would take a very long time. For what it is worth I think it is mainly down to technique. I remember  a long time ago reading that after some initial success Nick Faldo completely rebuilt his swing because he believed his technique that had brought some success would not stand up to the pressure that he would face if he wanted to be the best in the world. He needed to work on a honing his technique to the stage that when he was under intense pressure his swing would not break down and essentially muscle memory would take over. (I read a not dissimilar piece that suggested that the reason Greg Norman failed so often in the majors was that although he had incredible natural talent his technique was flawed and under pressure this flaw was magnified.)

The point I am trying to make is that British players generally are less technically gifted than players from what we consider to be the top continental countries. They generally fail to perfect things like first touch.

The value British fans place on effort over skill compounds the problem. When was the last time you heard an English fan complain that his club just didn’t have enough good players? It doesn’t happen very often. Normally it is put down to lack of effort and the players just not wanting it enough. I don’t think you can be successful in football without effort and organization but at the top level it is not going to be enough on a regular basis if your players are devoid of some basic skills.

The best book I have read lately on the subject is “The Italian Job” by Gianluca Vialli and Gabrielle Marcotti. The book looks at how the game has developed in Italy and England and looks at the some of the reasons why things are the way that they are. It also challenges some of the conventional wisdom and stereotypes that are trotted out on a regular basis. It includes some great insight from the likes of Mourinho, Ferguson, Capello, Lippi and Wenger.


Venti_vidi_vici - I feel that in group format, the object is to do better than your main rivals. Croatia and Russia are England’s main rivals in the group, and they cannot afford to slip up against either; all three teams expect to qualify. If they must have a no-show, better to do it last Saturday, and then come up with a positive result against Croatia. Basically Wednesday’s match is a good old fashioned 6 pointer.

Also, if Scotland is now seriously thinking about qualifying, their match in Kiev is another 6 pointer, because down the stretch it’ll be a four-way battle for two spots (and they know that there is not room for both of them in the top two).
Just like in the domestic leagues, teams have to get results against their main challengers, and equally important, shoot par against the rest.

Although it is so difficult to gain any sort of momentum in these group matches (because of the drawn out schedule), can Scotland carry their high into Kiev and come away with something on Wednesday?

Bobby – Well we will find out in a few hours. The six pointer comment is spot on and it reinforces how important it is to get full points off the lower teams. If you can get full points and your qualifying rivals stumble it places pressure on your rival in the head-to-head encounters forcing them more often than not to push for a win.
Perhaps the simple formula is Max points at home + max points versus minnows = Euro 2008 Finals – easily stated but not so easy to achieve!


bigdavedisaster - I am a young man but to me that is the worst loss in the history off modern Irish football. Why is the FAI still backing Staunton? My only hope is that the 3 goal loss to Cyprus....Cyprus!! is rock bottom and we can only move forward from here. I have always thought that Ireland has been able to rise to the challenge when playing the great teams of the world and tends to play down to other "lesser" competition but this is something completely different. It’s an embarrassment plain and simple and I don’t think Staunton is the man to right this ship.

Bobby – I was surprised when the FAI hired Staunton given his lack of managerial experience. It would have made more sense to have Sir Bobby Robson in charge with Staunton as the heir apparent. However, with Sir Bobby’s illness it would have made little difference. You look at the line-up and there were some very good players starting for Ireland so that isn’t an excuse. The game against the Czech Republic today is a must win. Otherwise Ireland will be sitting with 8 or 9 points dropped with only three games gone and they will never catch Germany, the Czech Republic or perhaps even Slovakia.

I think Staunton is done even if Ireland beats the Czechs. It was a boneheaded move by the FAI. 

ascoli - You put it well when you point out that England has yet to learn from its lessons. It is a good team with good players, but they all need to just relax and keep perspective. Congratulations on Scotland's big win. I would have loved to have seen that game. Were the ball boys as much a factor as the French Coach claimed?

Bobby – As I watched the game I was concerned that the ball boys were returning the balls too quickly. I read an interesting piece that said that Craig Brown a former Scotland manager had mentioned to Wattie Smith that the “ball boys” at the France – Italy game in Paris in September were considerably older than the ones you would normally see.  The point was that France wanted to play a high-tempo game and wanted the ball back in play quickly hence the more mature ball retrievers. If the story is true then Domenech might have a point – even it is one that makes him sound a bit silly. The French had their chances and they didn’t take them. I don’t see how that could be the fault of the ball-boys.

 

14 Comments | Add a comment   categories: England, Croatia, Israel, Liverpool, Macabi Haifa, Russia, Scotland, Spain, Poland, Sweden, Raymond Domenech, Craig Brown, Walter Smith, Joe Cole, Republic of Ireland, Steve Staunton, Sir Bobby Robson, Nick Faldo, Greg Norman, Cyprus
 
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henry14
Oct 11, 2006
9:29 AM
Bobby l saw the players which marclaren wants to use in his 3-5-2 on skysports and l have to say it is a 5-3-2 a formation expected of san marino, g nevile and a cole are said to be the wingers and l doubt them beating any world class full backs for skill let alone pace, and if they lose today they can be sitting third with israel and croatia ahead of them , do you see marclaren calling becks at such a point

BobbyMcMahon
Oct 11, 2006
9:53 AM
If Beckham cannot get a regular game for Real Madrid then I cannot see how McClaren could even contemplate recalling him let alone doing it.

henry14
Oct 11, 2006
11:58 AM
I have to say bobby l being english this is a terrible perfomance, l honestly feel maclaren is not the man for the job, it just shows how overrated our players are.Bobby what is the difference between calling becks and calling SWP at chelsea.there is a limit to patriotism today they tested mine to the limit

Last edited by henry14 on October 11th at 1:41 PM.

BobbyMcMahon
Oct 11, 2006
1:53 PM
The difference is 5 or 6 years and more importantly McClaren never dropped SWP.

MrRedDevil
Oct 11, 2006
3:01 PM
That was one of Sven's greatest blunders from the WC squad. He dropped SWP because he was not getting enough playing time at Chelsea and he picked young Theo, who didn't know what the inside of a premiership stadium even looked like. Sven had never even met the kid. LOL.

Bobby, I agree with your previous comments that the English fans and press getting too upset or too happy about EVERYTHING. They should be embarassed about today and the Macedonia match. But every time they beat somebody like Cyprus they claim they are well on their way to winning a World Cup. They need to calm down.

By the way, I can't help but feel bad for Staunton. There's no way that Ireland should have lost to Cyprus, but they got hammered.

One last thing, how great is Wikipedia? I love the internet.

Last edited by MrRedDevil on October 11th at 3:09 PM.

djnima
Oct 12, 2006
9:30 AM
Bobby,
Steven Cohen and Nick Geber from the other show on FSC have suggested that internationals at the top level have to play so many matches ie. champs league, euros, FA cup, carling cup etc that the Euro qualifying campaign should be based more on the UEFA champions league format.

Thoughts?

BobbyMcMahon
Oct 12, 2006
9:59 AM
Did they mean pre-qualifying for the group stage?

The idea of a qualifying tournament was something a tossed in as an idea on the blog after the September round of games. There was a very article that detailed the format and it looked good to me.

bigdavedisaster
Oct 12, 2006
4:40 PM
Bobby
the lads made a much better showing against the Czechs but could not get the full 3 putting qualification for Euro 08 unlikely to say the least. Sadly, I think its time now to look towards South Africa by giving younger players as much real competitive experience as possible in games that count not just friendlies. I think you have to decide now who will still be around when WC 2010 qualifying starts.

ascoli
Oct 12, 2006
7:46 PM
Bobby,

I think your point about British fans placing more value on effort than skill is interesting. The bottom line is that despite the fact that FIFA keeps ranking England so high, England had posed no real threat to win any major tournament in a long long time. Now I'm not saying Beckham should still play for the Three Lions, but I do admit that I miss him. I think he was magic because he was highly skilled and his deft dead ball accuracy rivaled and bettered most any other player's on the world stage. He also brought a certain dignity and grace to a team that seems devoid of either at this time.

Last edited by ascoli on October 12th at 7:47 PM.

USAenglandfan
Oct 13, 2006
7:58 AM
I think there was something of a collective feeling that England were going down on Wednesday. I agree wholeheartedly with the comments on antsy England fans, and Pearce's comments about the 'blame culture'. The fact is that in its current incarnation, the Lions will always be up against it when facing teams ranging anywhere from 'stubborn if unspectacular' to 'world class'. That's not a shot at the coach or the players... it's bigger than that. They don't string passes together and they don't make meaningful movements, but most importantly, their lack of confidence is ubiquitous and their unease is clear in nearly every game. Watch press conferences and interviews with these guys. You can smell the fear through your TV. In part, this is a result of the scrutiny they receive. Wayne Rooney flips off an #### fan or carries one touch a little too far, it's all over the papers. They are grilled constantly with meaningless questions like "Do you think 3-5-2 will work?" or "Do you think you can play with Peter Crouch up front?" I'm rambling here but that's because Englands problems are many, and they pervade every level of the sport from the fans to the press to the coaches to the school kids at the academies. England cannot be considered a top 5 or even 10 team right now, but I still think they can win Euro and I still support them. After all, people still love and support Inter Milan.

BobbyMcMahon
Oct 13, 2006
8:14 AM
I think we would all agree that the pressure from media and fans as well as expectations are excessive. But I wonder are the likes of the Italy, Brazil, Argentina and Germany treated any differently. They all haverecords that are far better than England in terms of international success.

USAenglandfan
Oct 13, 2006
9:52 AM
Interesting question, and one that I've struggled with. To me, though my awareness of the subject is admittedly limited, it seems that the media in England is much more obsessive. 'Paparazzi' is an Italian word, but I'd venture to guess that the English have thoroughly perfected the 'art'. I know that Klinsmann and Domenech were varitable body bags for blows from the media and German/French public before the WC, and I know what happens to any Brazilian coach when he doesn't win the whole darn thing, but it just seems like EVERYTHING, not just the results, are under the microscope in England. Every damn person has an opinion about everything (formations, coach staff, haircuts, wives and girlfriends), and the sel####efeatist culture seems to yield endless negativity. Of course, like I said, just a part of a much greater problem. As you can tell I have little to no grasp of this greater problem, but it really helps to discuss it and put in words what you think is happening, especially with an endlessly knowledgable and world-wary person like yourself.

At this point I think the biggest problem is confidence, not the EPL playing style as many suggest. Italy won its 4th WC, but is the playing style in Serie A all that "free-flowing" and attacking? The playing style in La Liga is lauded around the world, but how are things for La Furia Roja?

BobbyMcMahon
Oct 13, 2006
12:29 PM
USAenglandfan – Don you really think a lack of confidence is the problem? Given how much these players are lauded I would have thought that over confidence might be closer to the mark perhaps.

Greece 4-0, Andorra 5-0, and Macedonia 1-0 – all the World Cup problems had been forgotten – or conveniently set aside – and England were going to be European Champions. Peter Crouch was going to break Bobby Charlton’s scoring record and the defense was the best in the world. It would be nice if someone like Terry, Gerrard or Lampard stood up and said “look we have won ####-all for forty years and until we do we are going shut up and treat every game as if we are an underdog”.

As a partial aside - I don’t want to get into the blame game but McClaren (not a good selection on my book to begin with) is beginning to look like a man with all the sincerity o####ames Show Host. The Beckham decision was done to show that the link with Eriksson was gone while his reaction to the last two results seem to be based on controlling the spin and deflecting issues rather than owning up.

When the subject of 3-5-2 came up last Friday I commented on the FSWR that if we are going to see a change then we can expect it against Macedonia rather than risking it against Croatia. Who in their right mind would implement a new system against a team that had lost at home in a donkey’s age after coming off a poor performance? Surely the logical response to a bad display is to return to basics. Set up a formation that everyone is comfortable in and go out and start winning the individual battles.


Last edited by BobbyMcMahon on October 13th at 12:31 PM.

USAenglandfan
Oct 13, 2006
1:50 PM
I gotta say, its one thing to publish articles, but another thing entirely to hold discourse with us. I speak for all of us when I say it is much appreciated

re: McClaren, you're absolutely right. The "3-5-2" (5-3-2) was brought out in the wrong game: Away to the toughest opponent in the group. Inexplicable. I do feel, though, that McClaren is under some pressure to deflect issues and control the spin, and therefore be wholly insincere, because people were/are inevitably going to be calling for his head. That said, I don't think the world of the guy, but what did people think of Klinsmann or Dunga as coaches before they were hired?

I have to stand by my assessment of England's confidence. Look at any number of interviews before the away game to Macedonia. "Hostile atmosphere" this and "real test" that. Of course, interviews can be misleading, but I got a very strong sense of unease and "man, I hope we don't lose" from the entire team and staff. Once they escaped Skopje with a narrow 3 points, Macedonia became a real worry. They played them terribly at home, and I think that was partly due to the lack of real confidence. I would describe the pre-Croatia feeling as "sh**-scared". May have all been in my head, and my mind could be changed on the subject, but thats how I saw it.

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ABOUT ME


BobbyMcMahon
I am the soccer analyst for the Fox Soccer Report and appear twice a week - every Monday and Friday at 10:00 EST. I have also been a regular contributor to the Fox Soccer Channel website since the summer of 2004. Over the last twenty years I have contributed to various radio and television programs throughout North America as well writing about the game for newspapers, magazines and websites. Thank you to all who take time to visit this blog and especially to those of you who post your comments and thoughts. PS - If you have questions please post them on the regular Monday blog. I am unable to answer e mails posted to the inbox on this site. And one more thing. If you have questions or complaints or compliments about programming please contact Fox Soccer Channel or Fox Sports World Canada directly. I have no control over what the stations televise.
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