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    All-Pro Team by the Statistics

    Friday, December 29, 2006, 10:26 PM EST [NFL]

    I didn't even vote for the Pro Bowl, but I like looking into these topics even if I don't agree with the award selection processes.

    Offense

    Quarterback: Peyton Manning, Indianapolis Colts
    It's no question in my mind that Peyton Manning has once again dominated the competition. Last year, Carson Palmer and Tom Brady hung with him in total value, but his closest challenger this year was Drew Brees.

    Peyton: 7.8 ypa, 29 TDs, 9 INTs
    Brees: 6.7 ypa, 26 TDs, 11 INTs

    Running Back: LaDainian Tomlinson, San Diego Chargers
    Another no-brainer. He started off slow, but how can you argue his performance since week 8?

    Running Back: Joseph Addai, Indianapolis Colts
    Since several teams are going to a 2-RB system, I thought I'd include a second RB. I had a hard time picking among Addai, Larry Johnson, and Brian Westbrook, so I looked at Tomlinson's one "weakness." At Football Outsiders, they use a statistic called Success Rate (successful plays divided by total plays). Tomlinson's success rate is 49%, which is very comparable to Johnson's 45% and Westbrook's 49%. Addai's stands out at 63%. This may be a product of the offensive system (Edgerrin James's numbers from past years are similar), but it's enough of a difference for me to give Addai the nod over the others.

    Fullback: Lorenzo Neal, San Diego Chargers
    He has such a history of blocking for 1000-yard rushers that he's hard to pass up. If Mack Strong hadn't fallen off this year, he would have been another option. If there were more blocking statistics (or more game watching on my part), I'd be able to make a more thorough selection. Since I've enjoyed his work in the past and haven't heard anything to the contrary, Neal's my pick.

    Wide Receiver: Marvin Harrison, Indianapolis Colts
    Once again, he's enjoyed a top receiving season.

    Wide Receiver: T.J. Houshmandzadeh, Cincinnati Bengals
    I know Ocho Cinco gets all the headlines, but on a per-play basis, T.J. has been much more productive this year. Reggie Wayne is another option, but Houshmandzadeh has more reliable hands (72% catch rate to Wayne's 63%).

    Third Receiver: Marques Colston, New Orleans Saints
    Colston has been more than just a fantasy steal this year, going undrafted in most leagues and qualifying at TE in several. Colston would probably crack the starting lineup if he didn't miss three of the last six games.

    Tight End: Tony Gonzalez, Kansas City Chiefs
    I'm surprised there isn't more talk about what Gonzalez is doing at his age. Most TEs are done at this point in their career. On another TE note, can the Chargers get Gates 2 TDs this week to make him the first TE to get 10+ TDs 3 straight seasons?

    Left Tackle: Marcus McNeill, San Diego Chargers
    Two broken hands, no holding penalties, team is first in Adjusted Line Yards on Left End runs and fifth on Left Tackle runs (ALY is explained at Football Outsiders), and the Chargers are 13th in Adjusted Sack Rate with a first-year starter at QB.

    Left Guard: Derrick Dockery, Washington Redskins
    The Redskins are 2nd in ALY on Left Tackle runs and 3rd on Middle/Guard runs, and they are 6th in Adjusted Sack Rate.

    Center: Casey Wiegmann, Kansas City Chiefs
    The Chiefs are 5th in ALY on Middle/Guard runs but only 14th and 32 on Left Tackle and Right Tackle runs, and they are 16th in Adjusted Sack Rate. This is one position I really feel wrong about selecting a player based on stats since the stats available really rely on the guards to a large extent (not to mention their extensive reliance on the tackles, TEs, RBs, etc.).

    Right Guard: Shawn Andrews, Philadelphia Eagles
    The Eagles rank 6th in ALY on both Middle/Guard and Right Tackle runs, and they are 14th in Adjusted Sack Rate for two mobile QBs (mobile QBs tend to get sacked more often, just ask the Falcons).

    Right Tackle: Vernon Carey, Miami Dolphins
    This one surprised me as I thought the Dolphins O-Line was equally bad, but ALY has them 4th and 2nd on Right Tackle and Right End runs. Plus, the Dolphins know this is their line's strength as they've run right tackle/end 37% of the time versus left tackle/end 17%. On the downside, they do rank 21st in Adjusted Sack Rate.

    So there's the offense. I'll be back with the defense tomorrow afternoon.

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