At this time of year, with the NHL Entry Draft weekend and
the start of the league's unrestricted free agency period fast approaching, some hockey fans daydream about the possibility of their
favorite team landing a star player. This season is no different.
- Montreal Canadiens fans have been dreaming of their club
acquiring for local boy and Tampa Bay Lightning star Vincent Lecavalier for
months.
- Many Philadelphia Flyers and Edmonton Oilers fans hope their respective teams will land Florida Panthers defenseman - and impending
free agent - Jay Bouwmeester.
- Minnesota Wild winger Marian Gaborik - like Bouwmeester,
eligible for UFA status on July 1st - has been the subject of trade
speculation linking him to the LA Kings, NY Rangers and the Stanley Cup
champion Pittsburgh Penguins.
- Ottawa Senators winger Dany Heatley, who's requested a
trade, has been linked by trade rumors with nearly half the teams in the
league.
Sure, these players are either carrying expensive long-term
contracts or will be seeking them this summer, and the return to acquire a
player like Lecavalier and Heatley via trade could also prove costly.
No matter to some fans. The Canadiens/Kings need an
established star and Lecavalier or Heatley would be a "perfect fit". The
Penguins need a scoring winger for Sidney Crosby's line so Gaborik is the "best
available" choice. The Flyers need a stud blueliner so pony up the big bucks to land
Bouwmeester.
Whenever I read these suggestions by fans or rumormongers I'm
reminded of an old saying: "Be careful what you wish for, you might get it".
Yes, Canadiens fans, Lecavalier would indeed be the big name
French Canadien superstar the club has lacked since Patrick Roy left town
nearly 15 years ago.
Yes, Flyers fans, Bouwmeester is just the kind of number one
defenseman your team has lacked for some time.
Yes, Kings fans, Lecavalier/Gaborik/Heatley could be just
the established veteran star to help your promising young club return to the
playoffs for the first time in eight years.
Yes, Penguins/Rangers fans, Gaborik/Heatley could be the
perfect linemates for your star playmaking centers.
The risk however that comes with these players could
turn your dreams into potential nightmares.
I'm not disparaging these players but the risks of acquiring them could exceed the benefits.
Lecavalier's new 11-year, $85 million contract, with a
no-trade clause, kicks in on July 1st, and while he's only 28 and
still well within his playing prime he has been dogged by injury the past two
seasons (shoulder, wrist) which have hampered his performance.
The Lightning's asking price is rumored to include a number
one defenseman, something the Canadiens cannot afford to part with (especially
if they lose Mike Komisarek to free agency) nor might the Kings be willing to
pay.
If Lecavalier's recent injuries woes are a sign of things to
come a team could end up parting with assets which might be of better use
to them over the long haul than an obviously talented but potentially expensive, injury-hampered star.
Gaborik is another who falls into that category. Wild fans
must be breathing a sigh of relief he reportedly rejected a rumored long-term,
$8.5 million per season offer from their club last fall after he missed most of
this season to hip and groin injuries.
When healthy Gaborik is an elite talent but the problem is
he hasn't been able to string together many injury-free seasons over his
career.
Hip injuries have the potential to be career-ending
(Alexander Mogilny) or threatening (Rick DiPietro), and having already gone
under the knife for hip surgery one has to wonder if he's worth pursuing if
there's no guarantee he can play a full season.
Bouwmeester is obviously a star defenseman but the knock on
him is he's too quiet, lacks leadership qualities and despite his size isn't a
physical blueliner.
It's been suggested his career has suffered playing for a
mediocre Panthers team and that's true to a degree but it remains to be seen if the
quiet Bouwmeester can handle the heightened expectations of a more demanding hockey
market.
If the Flyers do sign him they'll have to dump salary to
make room for his salary, which could mean moving one or two good young
players, perhaps Joffrey Lupul and/or Scott Hartnell. Suppose he finds it too
difficult? Suppose he cracks under pressure in Philadelphia, one of the most
demanding markets in the NHL?
Heatley does have a lengthy expensive contract but apart
from injuries suffered several years ago in a tragic automobile accident he
doesn't have a significant injury history. He's been consistently among the Senators
and the league's best offensive players.
But he does have a history of trade requests, currently with
the Senators and several years ago with the Atlanta Thrashers. The
circumstances behind both are quite different but it does appear to be giving
him a bad name with some general managers.
If a team gives up assets to acquire Heatley how can they be
certain he'll stick around until his contract expires in five year's time? How
do they know he'll be willing to stay beyond then?
Of course it's possible none of the aforementioned scenarios
could unfold with those players if they move on to other clubs this summer.
They could indeed be the tonic to suit their new teams respective needs.
But one or more could turn out to be disappointments.
Merely acquiring them is not a guarantee that they'll ultimately make a team
even better.
What looked like a good idea could turn into potential disappointment.
Be careful what you wish for....