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    Prospect

    Racers Race: Pocono Preview

    Friday, June 9, 2006, 07:48 PM EST [General]

    Denny Hamlin is 11th place in the standings, and looking up.

    Within every race, there are over 100 separate races going on. Each driver has something, or someone to race against. In this section I will highlight a few races within this weeks race. The Racers Race.
     
    This week we race in Pocono. The triangle shaped track with fast straights, and dangerous turns. Three seperate turning angles, and three seperate banking degrees on each. Here is a look at what a few of the drivers have in store for them this Sunday.
     
    Racers Race: Pocono
     
    1. Denny Hamlin #11 - (Starting Position: 1st) - Within the last 5 races, Hamlin has 4 top ten finishes. The single race that he didn't get a top ten finish was last week in Dover. Where he finished 11th! Hamlin is a rookie, which means he has never raced at Pocono in a Cup car, or a Busch Series car. (The Busch series does not race at Pocono.) He claims his experience with the track is from his X-box. So, what are his chances? Carl Edwards was in the same position last year, when he raced the track for the first time, and finished with a win. Denny Hamlin just qualified with pole position, giving him another great chance to put his name in the chase. Rookie of the year, is starting to sound like an understatement.
     
    2. Kurt Busch #2 - (Starting Position: 2nd) - He qualified for the outside of the pole. Here is what we know; the Penske team has not had a problem qualifying this year. Finishing, on the other hand? If the race were only two laps, both Busch and Newman would be within the top ten of the league. But qualifying doesn't bring the points, and both teammates have not made a decent enough run to pose any threat. Depending on where Kurt Busch finishes this weekend at Pocono will be the measuring stick on exactly what shape this Penske team is in.
     
    3. Kasey Kahne #9 - (Starting Position: 3rd) - I'm getting sick of talking about how fast a car that Kasey has, but did I mention he has a fast car? He was within the top ten for speeds in the first cup practice, and qualified 3rd for the race on Sunday. Watch him finish the race within the top 5, and everyone will start talking about how he is one of the top three drivers in the league, and an extreme threat for the championship. Then, I will begin to say that I told you so.
     
    4. Jeff Burton #31 - (Starting Position: 5th) - Burton has been on a strong streak, and on the verge of his first win in the cup series since 2001. Expect to see him racing within the top 15 all afternoon, and get a good portion of the spotlight as well. Jeff Burton is currently in 7th place in the standings, and keeping him there is the game plan. He has 15-1 odds for a win on Sunday in Pocono, and I expect him to finish right where he will be starting, within the top 5.
     
    5. Carl Edwards #99 - (Starting Position: 40th) - Starting at the 40th position, Carl Edwards has a lot of work ahead of him at Pocono this weekend. He won this race last year, from starting at 29th. His only other race in Pocono he started 41st, and finished in 4th. He has a better chance then anyone else in making up 39 positions in 500 miles this weekend. In order for him to remain a contender for the chase, he needs to continue his luck at this track.
     
    Honorable Mention - Tony Stewart #20 - (Starting Position: 18th) - No matter where he is driving, expect everyone to keep a close eye on Stewart and his condition of his injury. No doubt, it is going to be a long day of pain for the defending champ. But expect to see some of the other drivers cut him a bit of a break on the track this weekend, and expect to see Stewart racing for the lead at some point. Leading a few laps, with a top ten finish, and Tony the Tiger will remain in the headlines for the next week to come.
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    Chasing The Chase: Halfway

    Wednesday, June 7, 2006, 06:49 PM EST [General]

    NASCAR NEWS

    Chasing the Chase

    Since we hit the midway point to the chase; some driver's seasons are half over, some are in a desperate need of a change, some have used up all their luck, and some are the contenders. No matter which team, they are all 13 races into the season, with 13 races left till the chase. Get-Time! To chase for the cup with the additional last 10 races, you need to be part of a club. They take the top ten drivers of the league, or anyone within 400 points of the league leader, and reset the scores. Ten races to a championship, and the cup is the same distance away from all the driver's in the chase.

    The Contenders

    Jimmy Johnson #48

    Jimmy Johnson #48 - (Rank: 1st) - Let's face it, he is strong right now. 3 wins, and 7 top five finishes, Jimmy Johnson has held the rest of the league at bay for the whole season. The #48 team looks focused and in control of their own destiny. But destiny is the biggest problem JJ and his team has to face. He has a reputation of being strong at the beginning of the season, then falling flat as the season counts down. And crew chief Knaus, has already used up his cheat sheet in Daytona. No driver has a bigger spotlight on him more then Jimmy Johnson, and Knaus works better in the dark.

    Matt Kenseth #17

    Matt Kenseth #17 - (Rank: 2nd, -74 points behind) - Strong and steady. It was looking like this last week in Dover; we should have seen Kenseth slip in the standings. He had wrecked 3 out of the last 4 races on the Monster Mile. But he dominated late, passing teammate Jamie McMurray with three laps left for the win. With 2 wins, and 9 top tens, he would be the league leader right now, if it weren't for the late race comeback from 42nd to 5th from Jimmy Johnson in Dover. 

    Tony Stewart #20

    Tony Stewart #20 - (Rank: 5th, -293 points behind) - Last years defending champ, has been exactly that. Bad boy, turned Bad-Ass of NASCAR, has looked poised as the strongest veteran of the league. If he can hold off everyone through his injury, he is going to be the biggest threat for the championship, by reputation alone. I would have to put the Talladega race this year as the shinning example of just how focused Smoke has become. He raced well back from the leaders, avoiding all the reckless drivers, along with the big one, (the term for the multiple car crash that plagues restrictor plate racing,) and finished in 2nd. Where there is Smoke, there is fire, and Tony Stewart's fire has turned into his love for racing.

    Kasey Kahne #9Kasey Kahne #9 - (Rank: 6th, -296 points behind) - Fresh off his Sophomore Slump, Kasey's third year in the cup has started with one of the fastest cars in the league. His Dodge has dominated the track for weekends at a time. He has three pole position starts, and has tied the league leader with three victories. I wouldn't be surprised to see him double those numbers by the end of the season. And see Kasey take his position as a top five driver for years to come. He is one of the smartest drivers in the league, with one of the fastest cars. His points have proved it. Proving it for the rest of this year is the first step.

    Mark Martin #6Mark Martin #6 - (Rank: 3rd, -216 points behind) - Mark Martin is a legend. Not for winning championships, but for his strong performance week in and week out. He has 8 top tens, including two top 5 finishes, and has looked strong as ever. His story remains just a few small steps away from becoming a favorite for this years chase. He also has room for a few mistakes along the way, but he can't afford any more pit problems. He will make the chase, and he will be the sentimental favorite. But to step it up in this league, you have to get some luck with a few people slipping down.

    The Bubble

    Danny Hamlin #11Denny Hamlin #11 - (Rank: 11th, -519 points behind) - The way it looks right now, Hamlin is the rookie of the year. He has two top 5 finishes, and almost got away with a victory in Richmond. He is shinning in the Busch series this year, with two wins, but that doesn't help his chances for a championship in the Cup series. Just to make the chase this year, would be victory enough for this young gun. I like his chances, but he is going to need  at least 7 or more top ten finishes in the next 13 races. He has no room for error within his learning curve.

    Dale Earnhardt #8Dale Earnhardt Jr. #8 - (Rank: 4th, -282 points behind) - Anything would be an improvement from last year, and it looks like the tough times may be behind the team. Beating out his good friend Denny Hamlin in Richmond snapped his 27 race winless streak. With three additional top 5 finishes, Dale Jr. is within the top 4 of the league. But history proves it's shaky from the 5th position down to the top ten. To remain in the chase for the #8 team, they still have a lot of work ahead of them. With every great race he has had, he also has suffered some slip-ups. Focus, could be his biggest factor for the remaining 13 races to the chase. That, and getting along with his crew chief cousin.

    Jeff Gordon #24Jeff Gordon #24 - (Rank: 9th, -428 points behind) - Focus, focus, focus! Between vacationing this year, Gordon has fit in a few races. Although he has 4 top five finishes, he only has a single additional top ten finish.  He has also seen his share of the garage. He has used up all of his mistakes, bad luck, mulligans, excuses, etc. Nothing less then perfection, and he will miss the chase for his second year in a row.

    Greg Biffle #16Greg Biffle #16 - (Rank: 12th, -524 points behind) - Don't call it a come back! He has been racing with the leaders all year. If it was not for some rotten luck, he would easily be in the top 5. He has a win, an additional top 5, and an additional 4 more top ten finishes. As long as he is still running at the end of the remaining races to the chase, he will be in the chase. No one has anything to say otherwise.

     

    Carl Edwards #99Carl Edwards #99 - (Rank: 14th, -557 points behind)- Carl needs a win. It just goes to show that even 4 top five finishes is not enough at this early point of the season to feel comfortable. Cartwheeling Carl needs to stay racing within the top ten, to have a chance for the chase. He may have little more room then some of the rest to work with, but even the smallest mistake could send him down within the Kurt Busch ranks of the league.

    Casey Mears #41Casey Mears #42 - (Rank: 13th, -537 points behind) - The beginning of the year looked promising for Casey, but from the third race on, his best finish has been 14th. If you were to ask Casey about his 13th place in the standings, he would be the first person to tell you that he is lucky to be there. He is only 100 points out of the top ten, but anything less then a complete turn around for the #42 team, and the Vegas odds will remain against him.

    Get the Hook Ready

    Ryan Newman #12Ryan Newman #12 - (Rank: 19th, -709 points behind) - I'm not calling him out of the chase quite yet, but what is wrong with the #12 team? He has had a strong career, but this season is shaping up to be one of his worst. Everyone was convinced he would turn it around at Dover this last week, since he had won there 3 out of the last 6 races. It looked like he would after he won the pole. But a 14th place finish has convinced everyone that something is really wrong within the Penske team. Maybe it's not Newmans fault. #12 can find his way into victory lane on almost any given week. But if the Penske team doesn't get their act together soon, they will have plenty of time to get it together later. The same time everyone else is racing for a championship.

    Elliot Sadler #38Elliot Sadler #38 - (Rank: 20th, -709 points behind) - Sadler needs a few breaks. Breaks from the spotlight, breaks from his team, breaks on the race track. If he doesn't start driving in the top 15 for the next 13 races, he will have all the breaks he needs.

     

    Dale Jarrett #88Dale Jarrett #88 - (Rank: 17th, -649 points behind) - Forget about him leaving for Toyota next year, forget about his first lap wreck in Charlotte, Jarrett still has a great chance. He has a strong reputation for picking up positions, but I think his starting spot maybe his problem. If they can get him qualifying well, it's up to himself to make his way into the top ten. Without engineering help, Jarrett is an old school driver. Class is in session Mr. Jarrett! 

    Kurt Busch #2Kurt Busch #2 - (Rank: 18th, -704 points behind) - Your probably wondering why I didn't write about his brother. Although Kyle has a much better chance at making the chase then his older brother Kurt, I don't think a championship is in the cards for either of them. Kurt got his only win this year from bumping Kenseth in the last four laps at Bristol, and he only has an additional top ten finish. At this point, most everyone has a score to settle with both brothers. Expect to see them both into the wall more often then victory lane.

    Stick a Fork in Them

    JJ Yeley #18JJ Yeley #18 - (Rank: 27th, -818 points behind) - Granted he is a rookie, and didn't have much of a chance to begin with. But people like him. He is a smart driver, and has crazy potential. With a single top ten finish this season, and a 11th place finish in Talladega, it's safe to say that he belongs in the cup. He needs to work on some strong finishes to get a leg up on next year. Regardless of what happens the rest of this season, JJ Yeley will be a contender down the road. Joe Gibbs Racing is a perfect fit for this up and coming star. Let's just hope he can avoid the sophomore slump.

    Michael Waltrip #55Michael Waltrip #55 - (Rank: 35th, -1083 points behind) - Not too many other drivers are in as much dire straits then Waltrip. He owns his own team and has fallen out of the top 35 in owner's points. Which means he is forced to qualify on speed alone. Any given weekend, he can be sent home early. It happened at Lowes, but Waltrip purchased a qualifying car to meet his contact regulations. It cost him a ton of money, but not as much as he would have lost if he had to pay the penalty for not meeting his sponsor obligations. For the remainder of the season, Waltrip will be racing for owner points. Next year he will be driving a Toyota, and falling out of the top 35 of owner points will be unacceptable for the manufactures first year in the big leagues. Sponsors don't like paying big bucks for a car that doesn't make it on the track for 36 races a year. Waltrip is on the hot seat!

    Brian Vickers #25Brian Vickers #25 - (Rank: 26th, -795 points behind) - In his third full season, Hedrick Motorsports was expecting big things from this team. He has three top ten finishes, including a top 5 this season, but being 795 points down from the league leader makes for a ton of work in 13 short races. Nothing short of a miracle, and he will have a snowballs chance in Vegas.

     

     The Nascar Nextel Cup Series is heating up. Some drivers are feeling the heat more then others. Sound off on a few drivers I missed, or get in a word about some of them I mentioned above. Gentleman, start your engines. Let's Go Racing!

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    Racers Race: Dover Preview

    Friday, June 2, 2006, 02:52 PM EST [General]

    Greg Biffle is looking outside of the top ten

     

    Within every race, there are over 100 separate races going on. Each driver has something, or someone to race against. In this section I will highlight a few races within this weeks race. The Racers Race.
     
    With the new chase format of the Nextel Cup Championship, every driver within the top ten, or 400 points of the leader of the league with ten races left, make the chase. When the season comes to the point of only 10 races left, the championship contenders point totals are erased, and the new point total race begins. At this point in the season, the 10th place driver, (Kyle Busch,) is 449 points behind the league leader, (Jimmy Johnson.) Thus, it looks like the chase may be made up of only the top ten drivers.
    Racers Race: Dover
     
    1. Greg Biffle #16 - Any NASCAR fan can tell you that Biffle has been a strong contender all year.  Along with a win from the Dodge Charger 500, and 4 additional top ten finishes, he has had some rotten luck. He has run out of gas, got thrown to the wall by one the Busch brothers, has had engine failure, you name it. What is also well known about Biffle, is he has lead a ton of laps thus far this year, and has been a threat for most every race. At this point, Biffle is ranked 13th, and 521 points behind the league leader. Biffle won this race last year, and he is my pick to win it again this year. But winning is not everything at this point of the season. Look for Biffle to try to lead a few laps, (leading a lap gives 5 extra points to the team,) and place at least in the top 5. Putting himself back in the hunt.
     
    2. Tony Stewart #20 - Smoke's race may be a quick one, since he is injured, and is believed that he is going to start the race, then be replaced by a backup driver, Ricky Rudd, just to gain the points necessary to stay within the top ten. Not much of a race, but he has been the headline grabber of the week, and expect to hear a ton more about it. He had wrecked twice last weekend, in the Busch Series on Friday night, and in the Nextel Cup the next night. Two trips to the hospital, and a broken shoulder later. No one but myself thinks he will race beyond the first caution. If he does continue to finish the race, you can bet he will be posted on the front page for next week as well.
     
    3. Elliot Sadler #38 + Dale Jarrett #88 - The whole Yates team has been under a microscope for most of the year. These two teammates have been the escape goat for most of it. True insiders will tell you that it's an engineering problem, and has nothing to do with Jarrett leaving the team next year for Toyota, but you won't read that in much of the things written about the Yates team. Dale Jarrett was wrecked last week within the first lap, and slipped from 12th to 16th place as a result. What's most important for these two drivers is to place within the top 15 this week. They are both in 16th and 17th place thus far, and anything but bad luck would be good news for both of them.
     
    4. Jeff Gordon #24 - Even though Gordon is ranked 7th in the league, he has only a 39 point cushion from the 10th place driver. He really needs to put his muscle where his mouth is this week in Dover, and get a strong finish. Anything less then a top ten finish, and we are going to start hearing a ton about why Gordon is going to miss the chase. This weeks race may not be a deal breaker for Gordon, but it IS about how fast the rumors are going to spread around the garage.
     
    5. Ryan Newman #12 - The Penske team has been on the brink of a downward skid in the Nextel Cup, and they are in desperate need of some good news, (smooth sailing for them in the Indy league.) Teamate, Kurt Busch #2, is 19th in the standings, and Newman is currently in 22nd place. Both are in a dangerous position at this point in the season. Each week has now become critical for them making the chase. Newman has a history of being strong in Dover, winning 3 out of the last 6 races at the track. Anything less then a top 5 finish, and most people are going to be writing them off as finished.
     
    Honorable Mention - Matt Kenseth #17 - Kenseth needs to do nothing different then what he has been doing every race this season. He has been solid, and has ran up front for most of the year. Currently in 2nd, Kenseth is pretty much a sure-in for the chase. A strong finish in Dover, and everyone will start talking about how Jimmy Johnson has to start looking in his rearview mirror for a speeding Kenseth hot on his tail. He has been a highlight to watch, and has become one of the top respected driver this season. Except, maybe within the Tony Stewart camp.
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