About Me:
I love baseball. In addition to this site, I am the editor of Around The Majors. To check out my work, follow the link http://mvn.com/aroundthema...
About Me:
I love baseball. In addition to this site, I am the editor of Around The Majors. To check out my work, follow the link http://mvn.com/aroundthema...
About Me:
I love baseball. In addition to this site, I am the editor of Around The Majors. To check out my work, follow the link http://mvn.com/aroundthema...
The
Atlanta Braves dealt outfielder Josh Anderson to the Detroit Tigers in
exchange for minor league reliever Rudy Darrow on Monday afternoon.
At first glance, when considering several factors, it appears that Atlanta is on the right end of this two-player swap.
Anderson,
who ended up as the Braves' everyday center fielder down the stretch in
2008, could add some value in the right role with his new team. He
really does not profile as anything more than a marginal fourth
outfielder, though, and is a limited offensive player. Since being
drafted by the Houston Astros out of Eastern Kentucky in the fourth
round of the 2003 draft, he has posted a line of .294/.344/.388 with a
.722 OPS in 2,967 minor league at-bats. Evident in the stat line, he
has shown the ability to hit for good batting averages, but does not
offer much in power or walks. He is a plus runner, though, and his base
running skills and ability to steal bases is perhaps the main reason
why Tigers general manager Dave Dombrowski was so interested in his
services. With his speed, he separates himself from the remaining
outfield candidates competing for backup jobs in Detroit; he combined
to steal 52 bases in 58 chances between Triple-A and Atlanta in '08.
Anderson,
who was out of options, was still expendable as far as the Braves were
concerned, even with their offensive issues in the outfield a year ago.
The big news surrounding this trade is that the departure opens up the
position for top prospect Jordan Schafer, who was impressive in his
Double-A debut upon returning from a performance-enhancing
drugs-related suspension that forced him to miss the first few months
of the spring.
Left-handed-swinging Gregor Blanco is still in
the center field mix, but, since the Braves are serious about competing
in the National League East right away, it does not make sense to start
anyone other than Schafer at the position. Sure, there are arbitration
clock considerations, but, given that Atlanta is going for it, the best
player should see the majority of innings. The 22-year-old prospect is
clearly the best player for the job, and he will likely represent a
major upgrade to an outfield unit that was among the least productive
in baseball in '08. Blanco has some solid on-base skills, but posted a
paltry .309 slugging percentage and OBP-driven 81 OPS+ in 430 major
league at-bats in his major league debut. His lack of power is
obviously a major weakness.
Schafer hit .269/.378/.471 with 10
home runs in 297 at-bats at Double-A Mississippi after returning to the
field. His line is all the more impressive considering that he was
playing his home games in a park that has historically limited
offensive output. He produced a 14.2 BB% and, though he struck out in
29.6 percent of his plate appearances, has an advanced approach at the
plate and knows what he is doing in the batter's box. A great athlete,
he is a plus runner whose speed is an asset both on the bases and out
in center field. He profiles as an above-average defender, in fact,
with excellent range and a strong throwing arm. With minor leaguers, it
is not only about the numbers, but how a player achieves those numbers.
The scouting reports match the on-field results with the promising
young outfielder.
Schafer will surely struggle at times, but
with his impressive spring training performance, he is the odds-on
favorite to win the job outright for Opening Day next week. In fact, do
not discount his chances in a wide-open N.L. Rookie of the Year race.
Regardless of what happens, he is the best man for the role, based on
talent alone, and, with top prospect Jayson Heyward and Gorkys
Hernandez, it is practically a given that the Braves' outfield issues
will soon become a thing of the past.
Thus, it was clear that
the writing was on the wall for Anderson, and is why the Braves should
be pleased with their return for an expendable piece.
Darrow has
had a nice professional career since being drafted out of Nicholls
State in 2006. A sinker-ball, ground ball specialist, he has posted a
2.52 ERA while allowing only one home run in 103.2 innings pitched as a
pro. He has also struck out nearly a batter per inning (101 Ks) to this
point of his career. Although he has had some control issues, he could
end up as a middle relief asset in the Braves' bullpen in short order.
For the price, it was a nice pick-up.
Atlanta has to be happy
about its return, which was obviously a better scenario than simply
losing Anderson for nothing. Plus, if Schafer does indeed beat out
Blanco, the Braves' chances of competing in a deep division increase a
bit. It was a good day for Frank Wren and the franchise. The Tigers
already have a number of fourth-fifth outfielder types, and, outside of
the speed factor, the move does not make all that much sense.
It
has been nearly 16 months since the Minnesota Twins and Tampa Bay Rays
agreed upon a six-player blockbuster trade that ended up having a
dramatic impact on the American League landscape in 2008 and could
continue to have lasting effects in the future. In a rare swap of
promising young talent, the Rays sent former number one overall pick
Delmon Young, infielder Brendan Harris and minor league outfielder
Jason Pridie to the Twins in exchange for talented right-hander Matt
Garza, shortstop Jason Bartlett and minor league reliever Eduardo
Morlan.
Tampa Bay
general manger Andrew Friedman made it a priority to improve his roster
on a run prevention front, forcing him to take on some risk in order to
add a capable defensive shortstop, Bartlett, and legitimate number three pitcher in Garza.
Minnesota,
after losing center fielder Torii Hunter to free agency, was hoping to
upgrade its offensive attack. Rookie general manager Bill Smith had his
eyes on Young, bringing him in to supplement the M&M boys, Joe
Mauer and Justin Morneau.
At the time of the transaction, several analysts labeled Minnesota
as the instant winners. A lot of praise was heaped upon the franchise,
but many within the industry were surprised that either smaller-market
club would take on the significant risk of parting ways with the key
pieces in the trade: Garza and Young.
Garza, the USA Today
Minor League Pitcher of the Year in 2006, was considered one of the
best pitching prospects in the game at the time, but was deemed
expendable by the Twins' front office given the influx of young
pitching talent in the organization.
Young, the runner-up for
2007 American League Rookie of the Year, was coming off a season in
which he played in all 162 games as a 22-year-old and appeared to have
the highest ceiling of any player included. Even with plate discipline
and maturity concerns, he was considered the safest bet to emerge as an
above-average regular at the major league level.
While it is
still early (and a lot can happen, as Young has still only been able to
legally drink for a few years now), the Rays are on the better end of
this right now. By a lot.
Here is how each player fared in the first season in their respective organization (data provided by Baseball Reference and FanGraphs):
Twins:
Harris:
The former William and Mary star had a breakout offensive performance
for Tampa Bay in 2007, hitting .286/.343/.434 with a career-high 12
home runs and 106 OPS+. His lack of range at shortstop, however, proved
to be a major issue for the Rays, who finished the season last in the
majors in defensive efficiency rating. Essentially, he was miscast at
shortstop, a defensive liability for the club and major reason why
Friedman was so intent on upgrading at the position. Overall, though,
he was a valuable player during his brief time with the Rays; he was
worth 2.2 value wins, even though he cost his team 7.8 runs on defense.
Harris'
value quickly suffers once he moves to a corner position-his bat does
not carry third base-but that is exactly where he belongs defensively.
Regardless, he is still versatile and proved to be a nice contributor
for the Twins in '08. He played more than 30 games at second base,
shortstop and third base, posting a -6.4 fielding mark. He did not
produce quite as much as he had down in Florida, but ended up with a
decent enough line of .265/.327/.394 and 97 OPS+-acceptable production
from a utility-type player. He was worth 1.0 value win, meaning that he
still provided good value while making the league minimum.
Pridie: A
throw-in, the former second-rounder had an excellent second half of '07
in his debut at Triple-A Durham. He batted .318/.375/.539 in 245
at-bats, hitting 13 homers and stealing 25 bases. The Rays were not
fooled by what appears to have been a major fluke and a classic case of
getting hot in a relatively small sample size.
Pridie struggled
through a disappointing offensive campaign in his new organization,
coming back down to earth. He struck out in 27.1 percent of his plate
appearances (152-to-30 K/BB ratio) as his line dropped to
.270/.305/.435. Making an out nearly 70 percent of the time is just not
going to cut it once he jumps to the highest level. He is a nice
athlete and adequate outfield defender, but his contact and plate
discipline issues will prevent him from ever being more than a fringy
fourth outfielder, at best; with the Twins' logjam of more athletic
outfielders who fit that description, he is unlikely to be given a real
opportunity.
Young: With his talent and youth, a number
of scouts felt that Young had a chance to make the trade seem lopsided
down the road. For the Twins. Hyped up since he was 12 years old, he
was only a year removed from being named Baseball America's number one professional prospect when he was sent packing.
Young
was runner-up to Dustin Pedroia in the Rookie of the Year voting in
'07. He hit .288/.316/.408, leading A.L. rookies with 93 RBIs and
finishing second with 186 base hits. In addition to his hot hitting
with runners in scoring position, he showed off his tremendous arm
strength on numerous occasions, drawing rave reviews for his defense
and debut as a whole in some circles. However, his plate discipline,
also weak during his time in the minors, was again a major issue; he
produced a terrible 3.8 % walk rate and struck out in 19.7 of his plate
appearances. Essentially, he hit a fairly hollow .288, responsible for
making far too many precious outs; in fact, he led the league in outs
made. To make matters worse, he was benched in the final series of the
season for failing to run out a groundball against the Toronto Blue
Jays, one of many reports of insubordination.
Despite the big
arm, Young was actually a liability in right field for Tampa Bay as
well. He was worth -3.9 fielding runs, bringing his value win total to
0.5. Even still, the Twins thought that they were getting a huge upside
player when they pulled the trigger and parted ways with a potential
front-line starting pitcher like Garza.
Well, let the
second-guessing begin. Young was even worse as a sophomore, as the
"prodigious power potential" has still yet to translate and show up in
games. In fact, it took him nearly two months to hit his first home run
in a Minnesota uniform, as he ended up with only 10 homers in 623 plate
appearances; his .115 Isolated Power figure was among the lowest marks
for an everyday left fielder in all of baseball. He improved his strike
out and walk rates a bit, though his approach can still can be
considered a major cause for concern; he drew only 35 walks against 121
strikeouts.
Overall, Young batted .290/.336/.405 with a 102
OPS+, but do not be fooled by the batting average. Nearly all of his
hits were singles, and he obviously did not (and likely will never)
provide much in the walk department while continuing his hack-tastic,
out-making ways. Defensively, the switch to left field did not go
according to plan, either. He posted a -16.4 UZR total, one of the
worst figures of any player at the position. When factoring in
positional considerations, he was worth -0.5 value wins, costing the
Twins $2.4-M for just giving him so much playing time.
Earlier
this winter, Ron Gardenhire took some heat for his comments on Young
and his status in the Twins' outfield mix. Well, with Michael Cuddyer,
Carlos Gomez and Denard Span fighting for at-bats, he truly could end
up as a platoon player. At 24. The talent is still there, but he has
just not been able to make adjustments as a hitter, still showing signs
of immaturity on and off the field. The fact that the organization
would even make him available via trade shows how much they have soured
on his skill set, perhaps admitting that the blockbuster was a costly
mistake.
The Rays, a common theme under Friedman, again sold high at the right time, it seems.
Bartlett: Bartlett
had the worst defensive statistical performance of his career; a knee
injury limited his range, once a major plus. His UZR dropped from 8.2
to 1.9, but he still represented a major upgrade at the position. The
Rays made a historic turnaround, going worst-to-first in defensive
efficiency while riding a strong bullpen, starting rotation and team
defense to the American League Championship.
Bartlett played a
big part in the defensive improvement, earning Team M.V.P. honors
despite a line of .286/.329/.361 and 82 OPS+; granted, objectively he
was not actually deserving, but perhaps the local chapter of the BBWAA
were voting for him as a symbol of the tremendous defensive improvement
for the team. He was worth 1.8 value wins, providing nice value while
making the league minimum. With a healthy knee, he has the chance to be
even more valuable defensively, again solidifying one of the best
defenses in the league.
Garza:
Garza was easily the crown jewel in the trade on the Rays' end. The
Fresno State product has excellent stuff and the chance to turn into a
special pitcher, under team control at an affordable rate, in St.
Petersburg for a long time. He threw his fastball 72.2 percent of the
time in '08, averaging 93.2 MPH on the gun. He also mixed in a mid-80s
slider (85.3 avg. MPH, 13.0 percent of the time), change up (7.9%) and
mid-70s curve ball (6.9 %). His first full season went fairly well, as
he made several dominant starts throughout the year and appeared to get
his act in gear after a heated in-game confrontation with catcher
Dioner Navarro in an outing against the Texas Rangers back on June 8.
Garza
posted an 11-9 record with a 3.70 ERA and 118 ERA+ in 30 total starts
for the Rays. His drop in strikeout rate was a bit concerning (6.24)
and some of his other peripherals were less than stellar; in fact, his
xERA was nearly a full run higher and his 4.14 FIP was nothing all that
spectacular. Also, he clearly benefited from pitching in front of such
a strong defensive unit. Consistency was an issue for the big
right-hander as well, but he emerged as a big-game pitcher during the
postseason and was much more effective after his spat with Navarro and
a meeting with sports physcologist Ken Ravizza. He was worth 2.9 value
wins, again providing excellent value for the cost-conscious Rays.
With
his pure stuff, talent and second-half progress, it would not be a
surprise to see Garza build off his late-season performance and
continue to enjoy success while pitching in front of such an
excellent-fielding team.
Morlan:
Morlan was considered one of the premier relief pitching prospects in
the Minnesota farm system when he was sent to Tampa Bay. He had posted
excellent strikeout rates throughout his minor league career, having
struck out 222 batters in 176.0 innings across three levels between
2006-'07. He battled injury issues over the first few months of the
spring, but held his own after reporting to Double-A Montgomery. He did
not miss bats at the same standout rate, with his K/9 rate dropping to
8.62, but he had his moments.
Morlan, drafted out of Coral
Gables High School back in 2004, was left off of the Rays' 40-man
roster early this offseason. One of the sleeper names eligible, he was
then selected by the Milwaukee Brewers in the Rule 5 draft back in
December. Given his once-promising upside, it was telling that Tampa
Bay chose not to protect him and then select another reliever, Derek
Rodriguez, in the process itself. There were concerns about his
conditioning habits and weight, as well as a major drop in velocity in
Winter Ball.
Well, all the effort turned out to be for naught.
Morlan, after failing to stick in the Brewers' bullpen, was sent back
to Tampa Bay last week; Rodriguez was offered back to the Chicago White
Sox. He is a nice guy to have in the system, with the chance to add
some value in a bullpen role down the road. Recap:
Obviously,
the Rays ended up on the better end of the trade for '08. From a
dollars earned/made standpoint, the Rays spent $0.8-M on Bartlett and
Garza, who combined to provide $21.2-M worth of on-field production,
according to FanGraphs' value wins metric. The Rays, therefore,
received $20.6-M in value, which is crucial for an organization with
limited financial resources.
The Twins, on the other hand, spent
$1.8-M on Harris and Young, who, with the latter posting a mark in the
red, combined for a total worth of $2.1-M.
Tampa Bay, in year
one alone, ended up with a gain of$18.5-M for making the trade.
Although Garza has some issues that need to be worked out and Young may
finally put it together on a power standpoint, odds are the dollar
values are only going to get worse for Minnesota.
The Twins have
done a fine job of building competitive rosters from within, excelling
at player development and scouting to stay competitive with finite
resources themselves. The Minnesota front office, however, is one of
the few left in the game that has yet to build an advanced statistical
analysis department. That lack of the right blend of objective and
subjective analysis (scouting/stats) has come back to haunt them at
times, from the insistence to keep running out Livan Hernandez due to
his fluky win total last summer and seeming failure to see Young's
rookie season for what it was really worth. Not much.
The Rays,
on the other hand, have excelled in both areas under the
statistical-savvy Friedman regime, giving them the chance to compete in
the majors' most competitive division despite large financial
restraints and a limited market to work with. This trade proves exactly
why they have been able to have so much success.
Smith-and the
Minnesota organization as a whole, for that matter-needs be open to all
types of information, because, regardless of the source, if there is
data at hand that could help him and his staff do their job more
effectively, he should use it. That or refuse to answer the phone when
he sees Friedman's name come up on caller-ID, at least.
Tyler Hissey is a co-host of Minor League Notebook Weekly on BlogTalkRadio. Click here to listen to Tyler and Doug Gray discuss prospects with Kevin Goldstein of Baseball Prospectus. He is also the editor of Around the Majors on MVN.com.
To hear Tyler preview the 2009 Cleveland Indians, use the media player below.
Join the staff ofAround the Majorsfor another radio show tonight at
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Topics include:
Cleveland Indians 2009 Preview
Curt Schilling Hall of Fame debate
Teams headed for a potential improvement/regression on a defense front
Curt
Schilling, one of the best pitchers (and baseball-playing bloggers) of
his generation, officially retired earlier this week.
As soon as his post hit the web on 38pitches.com, the Schilling Hall-of-Fame debate hit the front burner.
So
in case you didn't get your fix of Schilling debate, I asked the staff
of Around The Majors and a few other bloggers/writers to chime in on whether or
not the always-entertaining right-hander is indeed deserving of an
induction into Cooperstown.
Here are their responses:
David Bloom, Around The Majors: Just like Tom Hanks said in the movie Forrest Gump,
"Life Is like a Box of Chocolates, you Never Know What You're Gonna
get!" That sentiment proved true during the 1990 offseason, when the
Houston Astros received a package of prospects for veteran slugging
first baseman Glenn Davis.
A throw-in player, Curt Schilling
was one of the prospects included. He quickly joined the mix of young
players who the Astros had on board already in their system, such as
outfielders Eric Anthony and Kenny Lofton, pitcher Darryl Kile,
catchers Tony Esubio and Scott Servais and infielders Ken Caminiti and
Jeff Bagwell.
When you have so many young players in the mix,
sometimes a good one gets away. That was the case when Curt Schilling
joined the Philadelphia Phillies after spending his first year in
Houston as a reliever. The rest, as they say, is history. The
hard-throwing right-hander went on to become one the best pitchers in
baseball. His individual career milestones included over 3,000
strikeouts, going over 300 strikeouts in a single season three times,
and winning more than 20 games three times in his career as well.
Although
Schilling never won the Cy Young award, he was an integral part of
several World Series teams as well, with several big-time signature
pitching moments. He will best be remembered for the gut-wrenching
comeback from a severe injury that helped the Boston Red Sox win the
World Series for the first time in a century. He does not have the
cumulative number of 300 wins--the barometer to the hallowed doors of
Cooperstown for many writers. However, if you want to use the Joe
Montana rule of championships, he certainly should be in the discussion
for the Hall Of Fame, and should get in eventually.
Evan Brunell, President: Most Valuable Network, LLC/Fire Brand of the American League: Curt Schilling is a Hall of Famer because of his postseason pedigree.
It's an astounding 11-2 with a 2.23 ERA. Couple that with his 216
regular season wins, and in this day and age of a five-man rotation,
that's more than enough to ensure induction. Should he be a
first-ballot Hall of Famer? No, certainly not, but he'll be in before
his time runs out.
Jake Cohen, Around The Majors:
A Hall-of-Famer, to me, is someone who dominates his era, and Curt
Schilling did exactly that. Yes, it's true that if you compare his
numbers to those of Bert Blyleven, Orel Hershiser and David Cone (who
are all not in the Hall, of course) they look oddly similar. The
difference between Schilling and these other guys, however, is two
fold. One; Schilling did his best work in the heart of the steroids
era, and two, his statistics in the postseason. It's truly amazing how
drastically the standards for pitchers have fallen recently. If you
just take a look at the league right now, outside of Pedro Martinez,
Tom Glavine and John Smoltz, who are all on their last legs, it's hard
to pinpoint any active pitchers who are locks for the Hall of Fame. Tim
Hudson? Well, Hudson has only 146 wins at 33 years old and is injury
prone. Johan Santana, widely considered the best pitcher in the league,
is 30 and sits at only 109 wins. Roy Halladay and Oswalt are each 31,
but have both had their fair share of injury concerns and remain 69 and
71 wins shy of 200, respectively... It just goes to show how impressive
Schilling's numbers were in this day and age.
John Connelly, Around The Majors:
Curt Schilling is a Hall of Famer in my book, but it might take some
time for him to get elected. Some voters will be hung up on his "low"
win total of 216, some will not vote simply because they do not have a
clue what they are doing (case in point: Rickey Henderson not being a
unanimous selection back this fall).
The rather large wave of
All-Star talent from the 1990s into the 2000s starting to retire now
might push back his induction too. Statistically speaking, this should
be a no-brainer. Of those who qualify, Schilling will retire with the
second-best career K/BB ratio, 13th in K/9, 15th in strikeouts, and
43rd for ERA+. His 83 career complete games and his postseason success
should only further bump the case for him. With voters, though, you
just never know.
Doug Gray, Minor League Notebook/RedsMinorLeagues.com:
What is a Hall of Famer? The answer is different to just about anyone
who you ask. To me, though, a player is a Hall-worthy if he was one of
the best at his position for a 10-year period of time and still good
after that. To me, that makes Curt Schilling an absolute lock.
Looking at the numbers, Schilling stacks up well. He has 216 wins, he
has the fourth-best strikeout rate (K/TBF) of any pitcher since 1970
with 2,000 or more innings in the majors. He has the best
strikeout-to-walk ratio of the same group of pitchers. His WHIP is the
fifth best rate of all of those pitchers as well, despite his pitching
in an offensive era. While I personally don't think postseason stats
should be relevant to one's Hall-of-Fame argument, some do, so I should
point out he has three World Series Rings, an 11-2 postseason record
and 2.23 ERA over 133.1 innings. Tyler Hissey, Around The Majors:
Schilling is indeed worthy of induction into the Hall of Fame. For
some, it will be hard to look past his career win total of 216.
Win-loss record is an overrated statistic, however, since it is so
dependent on influences outside of a pitcher's control. In the
peripheral statistics that really count, his numbers are
more-than-enough to merit serious consideration for Cooperstown, from
his excellent strikeout rate and career K/BB ratio. When you consider
that he was playing at the height of the steroid era when run-scoring
was so prevalent, his career is all the more impressive.
While
there were many great pitchers who also succeeded with the same
conditions as Schilling--Roger Clemens, Tom Glavine, Randy Johnson, Greg
Maddux and Pedro Martinez--he was without a doubt one of the best
starting pitchers of his generation. And, though I do not like give too
much credence to postseason performance (since many great, Hall-worthy
players never had to the chance to show their stuff in October), it is
hard to ignore the special moments; his postseason performance for the
Philadelphia Phillies in 1993 gets overlooked, but deserves serious
attention. And, of course, there is the infamous Bloody Sock game, fake
blood or not, where he helped pitch the Boston Red Sox to the Promised
Land in a thrilling victory over the New York Yankees. It will probably
take some time for him, as the aforementioned shoe-in, first ballot
pitchers will likely fill the ballot during his first few years
eligible, prolonging the process. When it's all said in done, though,
he will get his chance to make what should-be one very entertaining
speech on a July afternoon in upstate New York. Deservingly so.
11-12 with a 3.27 ERA in 35 postseason games. 4-7 with a 3.50 ERA in 19 postseason games. 0-1 with a 1.64 ERA in two postseason games 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA in zero postseason games
Pretty
unimpressive, right? Those are the career postseason numbers of Greg
Maddux, Randy Johnson, Robin Roberts and Ferguson Jenkins. The BBWAA
did not, will not, nor should have considered their postseason body of
work when the time arose for HOF consideration. The postseason is a
team accomplishment, the HOF an individual honor designed to
permanently recognize the truly greats throughout baseball history.
Curt
Schilling had a very good and very rewarding major league career, but
he simply was not in the category of the four pitchers listed above,
and is not deserving of enshrinement in the hallowed halls of
Cooperstown.
Pat Lackey, FanHouse, Where Have You Gone, Andy Van Slyke?: I think that any discussion of Schilling is incomplete without
talking about Bert Blyleven and Jack Morris as well. Schilling is
often compared to Morris because of his good post-season resume, but
he's much more similar to Blyleven. They were really good pitchers who
were never really dominant in their era, and they both spent some time
on bad teams, which drove their win totals down and creates more debate
about their candidacy.
In the end, though, I think Schilling has to get the nod. His
career strikeout rate was 8.6/9 innings and over the course of his
career, he had seasons with an ERA+ of above 130 nine times, including
four seasons of better than 150. Schilling's problems aren't really his
fault; he missed a considerable amount of time to injury in his career,
he pitched for some middling teams in Philly after their World Series
appearance in 1993, he lived in Randy Johnson's shadow in Arizona, and
he's best known for pitching a few games with a hobbled ankle in
Boston, not the Cy Young level season he put together there in 2004 at
the age of 37.
If you strip away all of that stuff, I think the answer is clear:
Schilling was a great pitcher and he deserves to be in the Hall of
Fame.
Tommy Rancel, DRaysBay:
If you look at just the 216 wins, then, no, Schilling does not appear
to be a Hall of Famer. However, I'm one of those who can look past the
wins and losses. If you look at the peripheral numbers you'll see that
Schilling was easily one of the best starters of his generation.
Schilling's K-to-BB ratio over his career is an amazing 3,116
strikeouts to just 711 walks. That's a career K/BB of 4.38. Schilling's
postseason resume is that of a legend. Lowest post season ERA (min. 15
starts), highest winning percentage for a pitcher (min. six decisions),
a bloody sock and three world titles. When you think of the best
pitchers of the 1990s & 2000s, you think a few names: Greg Maddux,
John Smoltz, Tom Glavine, Roger Clemens, Randy Johnson and Pedro
Martinez. You also think Curt Schilling, a future Hall of Famer.
Jake Russ, Around The Majors: Will Schilling make the Hall of Fame?
I
certainly think he will, but he's not a first-ballot guy. Nay-sayers
are obviously going to point out the fact that he's "only" got 216
wins. Nowhere near the 300 mark that is holding back Bert Blyleven. The
300-win pitcher is a dying breed, and soon to be extinct, probably
permanently after Randy Johnson and Tom Glavine join Greg Maddux in
retirement.
Schilling's case for the Hall is similar to the case
of Sandy Koufax. Even at his peak Schilling still wasn't close to
Koufax's talent, but the latter made the Hall on the strength of his
dominance over a relatively short, six-year span. Schilling played for
20 years, but he really only had six or seven seasons of real dominance
as well. Another parallel is Schilling's career ERA+ of 127, similar in
magnitude to that of Koufax's 131. In Schilling's defense he pitched in
one of the most offensive eras ever. One sticking point for me still is
that Schilling never broke through and won a Cy Young Award. Topping it
all off is that the Hall of Fame voting process is not a fair system,
never will be, and the people he needs on his side the most, the
writers, are people who Schilling treated with disdain. It also
wouldn't surprise me if Schilling made like Roger Clemens or Brett
Favre and tried to "comeback" with some team in contention later this
season if they'd have him.
What are you doing tonight at 8:00 Eastern? If you don't have any plans, listen to Around The Majors on BlogTalkRadio. We have a great show in store for you. The show will feature a round table discussion from the staff of on MVN.com on several important MLB issues. Use the media player below to listen live or to the archived version of the show. Call in at (646) 929-1960 to ask a question. I will try my best to get to you.