(apologies for the poor formatting, it isn't doing well coming over from Word)
This is getting silly. When a team loses to a bad opponent, even if they are ranked high at the time why is it so hard to drop them out of the poll? I have done it several times this season with #5 Michigan, #15 UCLA and now #8 Penn State. The reason is pretty simple. The Nittany Lions haven't beaten a team outside the bottom 40. When they start registering some wins, perhaps starting this week against Illinois, they can claw their way back in.
This almost bothers me as much as a team beating another team early in the season only to be ranked behind them even though both are otherwise undefeated. It happened with Kentucky sitting behind Louisville last week, and was only corrected when the Cardinals fell to Syracuse.
A similar situation is occurring with Georgia #15 ahead of #16 South Carolina in the AP poll. Remember that 16-12 win from the Gamers? I guess not. They only recall one week back, and apparently losing 28-16 to the #2 team in the country, on the road is really damning. On a side note, the Bulldogs don't have LSU on their schedule.
Last week's ranking in ( )'s. NR = not ranked. W = watch list. At the end I will list three numbers in ( )'s which will be AP, USA and Harris rankings for comparison.
#1 (1) LSU (4-0): It wasn't a perfect effort against South Carolina, but they completely shut down the run and were never in danger of giving up the lead in the second half. Next week they can rest up while whooping Tulane for the October 6 showdown against Florida. (2, 2, 2)
#2 (2) USC (3-0): The offense was nearly unstoppable. In 10 drives they had a pair of Booty interceptions and otherwise scored on every possession. To be fair one of those was a drive that went backwards after a turnover and ended in a field goal. However, they are taking turns dominating via the pass and run. This week it was in the air where Booty was 80% on 35 throws with 279 yards and 4 touchdowns. The defense stuffed the run and they never punted. What more do you want? (1, 1, 1)
#3 (3) Florida (4-0): It looked like they would pull away from Ole Miss when they opened up a 27-9 lead, but then let the Rebels close to within a field goal and left the game in doubt until the end. The only positive was that once that gap was 27-24 they allowed just 24 yards on 11 plays in stifling Mississippi's final two drives. Yes it was a sare, but no need to drop them over this. (4, 3, 4)
#4 (4) Oklahoma (4-0): Do we really know more about this team after they blasted Tulsa 62-21? They like to run up the score. Having already built huge leads they have now posted 16, 20 and 20 points in the 4th quarter. They would have looked really bad for scoring again during their 54-3 win over Utah State which is the exception. Still, their defense has given up more than we're accustomed to. Tulsa has a high powered offense, but it's a mid-conference version. Speaking of which we can now eliminate Conference USA from BCS busting consideration since all of their teams lost within their first three games. (3, 4, 3)
#5 (5) West Virginia (4-0): They absolutely drove the ball at will against East Carolina. White was nearly perfect passing (20/22) and accounted for 4 touchdowns. Slaton chipped in 153 yards, just your average day. There was no let down or "look ahead" to this week's crucial Friday night affair at South Florida. (5, 5, 5)
#6 (6) California (4-0): It was impossible for them to look past Arizona to Oregon next week having lost to the Wildcats last year and they didn't. After a failed first drive they went 50, 77 and 47 yards on three touchdown capped possessions in a total of just 17 plays to build a 21-3 lead. After that they simply coasted. Their defense allowed a lot of underneath yardage which is their strategy. This week in Oregon is a huge game in the Pac-10 race. (6, 6, 6)
#7 (7) Ohio State (4-0): Squashing Northwestern 58-7 proves they are right where I expected them to be at this point. The defense has been going well all year and now the offense is starting to catch up. The schedule laid out perfectly for them to warm up. It is starting to look like they will quietly coast to a spotless record until November. (8, 8, 7)
#8 (10) Oregon (4-0): Let's face it, after building a 21-3 lead heading into the second quarter they got caught looking ahead to Cal. Stanford burned them for 4 unanswered touchdowns. Then the Ducks decided enough was enough, closing the half with a field goal and outscoring the Tree 31-0 in the second half. Dixon proved he isn't just a scrambler, completing 75% of his 36 throws for 367 yards and 4 touchdowns without a turnover. Stewart had 160 yards on the ground at 8.4 per carry. Now it's all on the line in one game. (11, 12, 10)
#9 (9) Boston College (4-0): More Matt Ryan with 356 yards passing and 3 touchdowns. It is hard to get excited about their efficient offense considering the opponent was Army. Their opponents won't be any tougher in the coming weeks. (12, 11, 11)
#10 (11) Texas (4-0): For once I wanted to see a team run it up and they did with 557 total yards in 3 quarters before shutting down the engine against Rice. They still don't look like a team capable of beating rival Oklahoma, but at least they look worthy of hanging around the top half of these rankings for a change. (7, 7, 8)
#11 (14) Rutgers (3-0): Do they really need a week off after three blowouts? It does prepare them for tougher competition (Maryland, Cincinnati) and give their season ticket holders a free weekend in middle of 5 straight home games. There is nothing they have done thus far to make me believe they will not lose at least two this year. However, they are undefeated and until I know more I have to push them up. (10, 10, 12)
#12 (16) Clemson (4-0): They piled up a ton of offense, 611 yards in fact, to humble N.C. State. These next two games playing Georgia Tech (road) and Virginia Tech will either expose them or validate the hot start. I am leaning towards them stumbling, but I will position them in place to prove me wrong. (13, 13, 13)
#13 (13) South Carolina (3-1): It's impossible to beat LSU when losing the turnover battle 3-1. Blowing coverage on a fake field goal attempt ending in a touchdown doesn't help either. Two of LSU's TD drives were 30 and 32 yards. Offensively SC was 8/16 on third down against a very stout Tiger D. Dare I say this might be replayed in the SEC Championship? There, I said it. In fact I'd be surprised if it wasn't. No reason to put them down for a loss like that. (16, 18, 17)
#14 (18) Georgia (3-1): In a game that featured 5 drives of 30+ yards for each team I figured the overtime could be a back and forth affair. Instead the Bulldogs stopped the Tide cold. Then they took care of business with a touchdown instead of trusting a kicker who had missed twice. It was a rugged road victory for a team that needed it. (15, 16, 15)
#15 (12) Wisconsin (4-0): I have just about had enough of their antics. The Badgers were down in the fourth quarter against Iowa at home. Iowa? The defense played well, holding the Hawkeyes to 2/18 on third downs and 46% completions in the passing game. P.J. Hill was mediocre running the ball, but pivotal in the drive that gave them the lead. They feel like a ticking bomb ready to go off. It might happen this week against Michigan State. (9, 9, 9)
#16 (17) Hawaii (4-0): No Brennan, no problem in a 66-10 win over Charleston Southern. Two backups combined for 363 yards and 5 touchdowns to lead the way. Defensively they stopped the run against an overmatched team. I don't know Brennan's status, but they might not need him at Idaho or versus Utah State. (19, 17, 18)
#17 (19) Kentucky (4-0): Their 42-29 win at Arkansas was not easy, and certainly not decisive. Defensively they really turned it on in the second half, limiting Arkansas drives to no more than 29 yards or 6 plays. Their own offense covered 80, 53, 62 and 68 on various drives although they scored just 14 points due to a fumble and missed field goal ending those possessions. Ultimately they made fewer mistakes (barely) and at least for another week (Florida Atlantic) they can keep dreams of an SEC title alive. Then it's at South Carolina prior to LSU and Florida coming in. (14, 15, 14)
#18 (21) South Florida (3-0): There was no looking past North Carolina. They stifled the Tar Heels 37-10, allowing just 161 total yards and a garbage time touchdown. The moment of truth is against West Virginia this week and until there this is nothing else to say. Friday night everyone will know who the Big East favorite is. (18, 18, 20)
#19 (15) Alabama (3-1): With the pressure on in the fourth quarter down 20-10 they mounted two huge drives. The first went 61 yards on 14 plays for a field goal. The second lasted 10 plays, covered 88 yards and tied the game with a touchdown. Then came overtime and the wheels came off with a 0 yard drive resulting in a field goal. This isn't an overnight process. They will need to be prepared for a trip to Florida State this week. (22, 24, 22)
#20 (23) Cincinnati (4-0): They bullied Marshall all day, even getting some backups into the act. I don't like the third down conversions (2/9) but they only punted twice (0/2 on fourth down contributed to that). With a lot of offense this is a team I see giving Rutgers plenty of trouble in two weeks to start Big East play. (24, 27, 27)
#21 (28) Arizona State (4-0): They spotted Oregon State a 19-0 lead before unleashing their offense. It was 44-13 from there and in the fourth quarter the outcome was never in doubt. The game was won on turnovers, a 6-2 edge by the Sun Devils who were out gained 514-396. They won't be able to dig out of holes like this against many conference foes, but could stay undefeated in trips to Stanford and Washington State followed by a home game against Washington. (23, 26, 23)
#22 (W) Missouri (4-0): The offense rolled right over Illinois State, but the defense gave up their fair share as well. Not just in the fourth quarter of their 38-17 win either. With some high scoring teams in the Big XII to contend with it won't be long before their record is blemished, probably multiple times. (20, 20, 21)
#23 (W) Virginia Tech (3-1): Their offense is going to cause them at least two games before their season is over. Even in a 44-3 win over William & Mary they put up only 282 yards. Their schedule is not daunting, and the Coastal division is weak so we'll rank 'em to see what happens. I'm obviously not as convinced as the pollsters. (17, 14, 16)
#24 (W) Kansas (3-0): Seven of my ranked teams losing to unranked teams gives me the chance to have some fun by propping up the Jayhawks. How does 214-23 strike you for a total margin of victory this season? Their victories over Central Michigan and this week's 55-3 destruction of Florida International were both by more impressive margins than Purdue (now 4-0) and Miami, FL over those respective teams. (33, 31, 30)
#25 (22) Nebraska (3-1): Their defense played like the USC Trojans were still on the other side of the ball. I suppose the important thing is winning the game, but giving up 606 total yards and 9/15 third down conversions against a team that escaped Navy 34-31 last week is a red flag. Sam Keller made a lot of big throws to lead the comeback and now we'll see how they do in Big XII play. (25, 22, 24)
#26 (W) Miami, FL (3-1): Wow. It doesn't say much for the depth of the Big XII when one of their better teams comes into the Orange Bowl and gets cracked by a Hurricane team just trying to stay afloat in the weak ACC. Let's give some credit to Miami too. They picked it up offensively and benching Kyle Wright seems to be the spark he needed because he was sharp (21/26 277 yards 2 TD, no INT). I still say they lack the offensive firepower by far of the teams we are used to them fielding, but this was a very nice win for them. At 5-1 after beating Duke and North Carolina (road) we might be talking about them as a threat for the ACC title game. (27, 29, 28)
#27 (NR) Connecticut (4-0): At what point do we start taking the Huskies seriously? Next week is Akron, and then they have an off week. Undefeated in mid-October? I don't think they have the muscle to hang with the better Big East teams, but they do get Louisville, South Florida and Rutgers at home. The bad news is that these games com on consecutive weeks. (36, NR, 35)
#28 (20) Michigan State (4-0): Suddenly they are a factor in the Big Ten and will stay that way if they can win at Wisconsin this week. Their play thus far this season has been relatively uninspired against suspect competition so it will be a big litmus test. It was a bit of a black mark for them to allow Notre Dame's offense their first two touchdowns of the season. (28, 23, 25)
#29 (W) Purdue (4-0): Defense is definitely optional for the second tier teams in the Big Ten and the Boilermakers are no exception. Painter had 338 yards passing and 3 touchdown tosses. The team has averaged 48.5 points per game which certainly bodes well for them beating offensively challenged Notre Dame this week so I should just rank them now in advance. Then it's Ohio State and we find out where they are. (26, 25, 26)
#30 (W) Illinois (3-1): This week against Penn State and next week against Wisconsin the Fighting Illini have a chance to stir up the Big Ten race. This is certainly a conference without a lot of strength beyond Ohio State so perhaps it is ripe for the picking. (NR, NR, 41)
Dropped out:
#8 Penn State (21, 19, 19)
#24 Louisville (NR, 33, 33)
#25 Texas A&M (31, 30, 32)
#26 Arkansas (32, NR, 34)
#27 Air Force (NR, 42, NR)
#29 Texas Tech (NR, NR, 43)
#30 Washington (NR, NR, 44)
Watch list:
Boise State (2-1) NR, 32, NR
Florida State (2-1) 34, 36, 37
Michigan (2-2) 30, 34, 31
Mississippi State (3-1) NR, 43, NR
UCLA (3-1) 29, 28, 29
Virginia (3-1) 38, 37, 36
Wake Forest (2-2) NR, NR, NR
EIGHT GAMES TO WATCH:
Southern Miss (2-1) @ Boise State (2-1): We might look back and call this the biggest out of conference game between two non-BCS teams. Conference USA is an embarrassing 12-23 against outside competition. That leaves Southern Miss in good position to possibly run the table. If they can tack on a win over a team capable of winning the WAC it might be an interesting storyline to follow. Their lone loss was 39-19 at Tennessee, a team who could rally in the SEC. Boise State is in basically the same position, only they have the benefit of being able to beat Hawaii late in the year to pad their bowl resume. This will be a good one to watch on Thursday.
West Virginia (4-0) @ South Florida (3-0): The way Louisville's defense is playing and considering how we're not sure if Rutgers is really that good (see next game) this might wind up being the game to decide the Big East. Last year the Bulls went up and smacked the Mountaineers 24-19. It was a sneak attack, and this time West Virginia will be ready. Including this game South Florida has a much friendlier conference schedule, facing Cincinnati and Louisville at home while West Virginia still has to travel to Rutgers and Cincinnati.
Maryland (2-2) @ Rutgers (3-0): I just don't believe in the Scarlet Knights yet. It's fine that they are dominating bad teams early. Penn State was too and look what happened to them in Michigan last week. The Terps failed their first two tests against good teams, losing 31-14 to West Virginia and 31-24 at Wake Forest the past two weeks. However, they will be by far the best team Rutgers has played this year.
Penn State (3-1) @ Illinois (3-1): I have decided the Big Ten has one "A" team in Ohio State. After that are a bunch of teams fluttering between "B-" and "C-". This game will decide which team is ready to fight among the six or seven such teams trying to finish in the top half of the conference behind the Buckeyes.
Alabama (3-1) @ Florida State (2-1): The ACC is on the ropes and the Seminoles have a great opportunity to score a win. They had a week off and face a really tired Alabama team coming off an exhilarating 41-38 win over Arkansas and 26-23 overtime loss to Georgia. Could Florida State sneak up and bite them?
Michigan State (4-0) @ Wisconsin (4-0): If the Badgers want me to, well, stop badgering them they need to win this game and do it convincingly. The Spartans meanwhile have a golden opportunity to step into the national spotlight with a road victory. They weren't even close to the top 4 discussion before the season began with Wisconsin, Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State (in some order) expected to top the conference. Now it is wide open from #2-#7.
Kansas State (2-1) @ Texas (4-0): The Longhorns have already had two scares this season and now face possibly the best team on their schedule thus far. Making matters worse is the possibly of looking past the dangerous Wildcats towards Oklahoma next week. From Kansas State's point of view this could be a monster win because they don't face the Sooners in conference play. They also don't get the toughest games (at Nebraska, Missouri) until their final two Big XII contests in mid-November. By then dare I say they might be 8-1? Probably not, but stranger things have happened.
California (4-0) @ Oregon (4-0): With all due respect to West Virginia-South Florida this is clearly the game of the week. It's a shame it couldn't be played next week to form a triple header with Oklahoma-Texas and LSU-Florida. Truly it is equally important in the Pac-10 even if (unlike those two) it doesn't involve the conference's best team. The winner might be the first team to reach 48 points the way these defenses and offenses are playing. Last year in Berkeley the Bears really manhandled the Ducks. It was ugly. Their defense lost three starters to the NFL and has since lost a step. Their offense is more dangerous than ever even after losing #12 overall pick Marshawn Lynch though. Oregon's fans will be rocking and this should be a close one.
Prospect