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    Prospect

    Interest from A's ownership in MLS team could lead to San Jose Athletics

    Friday, December 23, 2005, 06:54 PM EST [MLS]

    When renting movies at the local video store, which in our electronic based society is surprisingly not yet torn down, the clerk Erik and I engaged in a brief exchange about the owners of the Oakland Athletics having expressed an interest in having an MLS team. This was covered on the AP sports ticker in a brief blurb. During the holidays likely it was read by about seventeen people nationwide. The interest level is probably on par with who won a ping pong match at the local Senior Center.

    WHY DOES THIS MATTER?

    Perhaps I am a little more keen on the ramifications of this interest by Wolff, Crowley and Beane to purchase a team for a city that could not even support a recent champion fresh off leading the MLS in points. In case you are wondering, Wolff does in fact have a second "f", Crowley is probably not named after an Ozzy Osbourne song and Billy Beane is the only person of the three anyone outside the Bay Area has even heard of. That being said, I will get to my point before I lose anyone gracious enough to be reading this.

    Does Beane have a plan up his sleeve?

    The move of the Oakland Athletics has long been rumored. At one time D.C. was a possibility until a certain team from Canada filled that spot. During modifications to the stadium currently referred to as the McAfee Coliseum (I still hear the media call it Network Associates) there were thoughts of taking their act to Las Vegas where I am certain the mascot would have been an Elvis impersonator. That would have been a big stretch at the time although now that the NBA is flirting with the possibility perhaps it is not so far fetched. All signs point to moving because in spite of their talented, winning teams the stadium simply does not draw fans. How does this relate to the ownership group wanting an MLS team?

    DO YOU KNOW THE WAY TO SAN JOSE?

    Quite simply, the biggest push has been for San Jose. The stumbling block is the rights of the San Francisco Giants not to have another professional baseball team in their area. With the mayor of San Jose being censured and MLS team (Quakes) flying off to Houston things are not going very smoothly there. It would seem to be a good time for a group of savvy businessmen to make a seemingly philanthropic maneuver to bring another professional franchise into San Jose, but with a big string attached.

    That string is that after perhaps starting a fresh MLS franchise, running it well and doing a lot of nice things for the community they will have built up some trust. At that time, when the idea of moving the A's to San Jose is brought up there will be considerably more momentum on their side. I do not think I need to draw a picture to those who know a good long term business move when they see one.

    RAIDER NATION

    It will be interesting to see how this situation plays out and if the city does in fact lose the Athletics could the Raiders be far behind? Well, they might be leading the way out of town if you buy into the rumors This is the final season of the dreaded Personal Seat License (PSL) which has been a sore subject of hard working fans since it was implemented upon the team's return from Los Angeles 11 seasons ago.

    The good news for fans is that the Oakland Football Marketing Association (OFMA)  has been abolished. They were rude to fans, disorganized and generally disliked. Making matters worse, the villain that is Al Davis bore the blame for many things that OFMA was actually responsible for. If a new long term ticket solution is reached in the very near future the Raiders might have a long future in Oakland. Should things go sour, the Los Angeles area itch might form again on the back of Al Davis.

    EMPTY COLISEUM?

    In the event that we have the San Jose Athletics and Los Angeles Raiders where does that leave the city of Oakland? At least the Golden State Warriors are playing better of late, but such defections would cast serious doubt on the ability of Oakland to support professional teams. The East Bay may never regain a foothold and fade into oblivion. Heck, the Warriors might even return to San Francisco.

    I suppose one potential solution to saving Oakland's franchises would have to be building a new baseball only facility to draw fans for the winning Athletics, but I sincerely doubt a fancy stadium is the answer. The Coliseum is not a complete dump and we are not talking about a small deficit of fans or a terrible product on the field. This team regularly draws low numbers even in the midst of playoff runs.

    Where the Raiders are concerned, sell-outs are few and far between. The recent contest against the Cleveland Browns was posted at over 40,000 in paid attendance but those who did attend found about half of that actually showing up.

    CHIME IN ANY TIME

    Your solution is as good as mine. As a resident of the East Bay I would hate to see either the Raiders or Athletics leave.

    3.7 (1 Ratings)

    2005 NFL Pro Bowl selections

    Thursday, December 22, 2005, 01:40 PM EST [General]

    A response to 2005 NFL Pro Bowl selections:

    I find the all-star rosters comical in any sport and the NFL is no exception. There is really no entirely fair way to evaluate talent so perhaps I should go about my business of preparing for Christmas and ignore this announcement entirely.

    The one thing I must comment on is the propensity to reward past accomplishments in lieu of current achievements. If I had the time or desire I could cite several clear examples of this, but suffice it to say that my time analyzing sports is better served elsewhere.

    In closing, Shane Lechler you were robbed.

     

    3.7 (1 Ratings)

    Why do black quarterbacks feel obligated to run in the NFL?

    Tuesday, December 20, 2005, 02:00 AM EST [NFL]

    Perhaps I should start this discussion by asking if quarterbacks who happen to be born black really do think rushing is a necessary aspect of their game in order to be successful. Is every black quarterback measured by their rushing statistics, feeling predisposed to make plays with their legs? If they are then possibly the viewing public is to blame.

    SPEED KILLS

    Joe Six-pack watches the Olympics every four years and when the 100 meter final is aired most of the finalists are black. If they are fast, therefore they should use that speed to run right? This sounds like an argument straight out of the mouth of someone like Jimmy "The Greek" Snyder. I have no intention of making any such assumptions about which race produces the faster athletes. Perhaps the general populous is predisposed to believe black quarterbacks are all fast though. Think about it for a moment. Anyone who watches the New York City marathon highlights knows that runners from Kenya can run 26.2 miles better than anyone in the world. It would seem logical to think the same of black athletes dominating the 100 meters as a reason to associate running fast with their race.

    PASSING THE VICK

    Michael Vick of Atlanta is fast, there is no disputing that. The criticism of him has been that he cannot throw a deep forward pass. Evidence is pretty strong that passing the football is not his strength. In this his fifth year in the NFL he has yet to pass for even 3,000 yards although in fairness he has also missed plenty of playing time due to injury. At press time (through 14 games of 2005) his career spanning 56 games played and 49 started has produced only 8,755 yards passing. Some consider 300 yards to be a successful game throwing the football. I think 250 is at least a solid effort. How many times do you suppose he has reached even 250? That would be five times, including three in the 2002 season. He had a career high 337 during the same campaign and earlier this year had only his second visit into three bill territory at 306. It is worth noting that this year's big effort marked the first time Atlanta lost when he threw for more than 250 yards, leaving them 3-1-1 in such games. Sort of ruins the argument that they are better off if he does not throw the ball a lot huh?

    THE STATUE OF DONOVAN

    Donovan McNabb is another black quarterback who entered the NFL in 1999, but whose perception is the opposite. He used to run a lot more and now recently has been reeled in. His career has spanned 94 games and 88 starts across seven seasons. Already four times he has surpassed 3,200 yards in a season and struck for 134 passing touchdowns. Over the last 24 games he started in 2004 and 2005 he has only run with the football for a gain 2.75 times per start. Contrast that to the previous 4 seasons in which he started 58 games with an average of 5.21 rushes and I think you see my point. We are talking about roughly slicing his carries in half. Clearly the presence of Terrell Owens impacted this decision and helped him to throw for at least 330 yards in an astounding 33% of his starts during that period of time. The interesting fact is comparing the yards per attempt for his career. McNabb stands at 6.60 while Michael Vick's is 6.78. Remind me again who is better at getting the football down the field?

    BYRON IN THE MIDDLE

    The most overlooked and underappreciated black quarterback in the game today is Byron Leftwich. Entering the NFL in 2003 he has had his share of issues staying healthy, but in his rookie year went 5-8 as a starter. If you need a reminder what Peyton Manning did as a rookie, his record was 3-13. He followed it up with an 8-6 season and the team was 8-3 when he went down. If you are running out of fingers to count on that would be a 21-17 record. Since winning is the bottom line for a quarterback and 55% translates to just about 9-7 I consider him a very successful player. His rushing statistics certainly paint him as a pocket passer. Only 95 times has he run with the ball in 40 appearances and 38 total starts. The 323 yards rushing and 6 touchdowns are just about what a scrambling quarterback would accumulate in a single mediocre season. In roughly 25% fewer starts than Vick, Leftwich has double the number of games throwing for at least 250 yards (10) although his team is a mere 5-5 in those contests.

    THREE'S COMPANY?

    Based on the three marquee black quarterbacks I think I can draw some conclusions. Vick is perceived as a suspect passer in the media, yet his team succeeds more than Leftwich when he does throw for a lot of yards and averages more per attempt than McNabb. Maybe I have yet to answer the question of whether or not they feel it necessary to run in order to succeed. More than 3 rushes per game seems to be the standard for scrambling more than necessary in the general flow of the game plan. Leftwich is 7-0 when he is credited with at least 4 carries. Vick is 30-19-1 and of course rarely plays a game without that many rushes. He also lost his first 6 fitting that criteria and has therefore has won 69% of his "running" games over the past 44. McNabb had won all 9 of his games with 4+ rushes since Owens signed with the team until his team lost a 21-20 heartbreaker to Dallas in his final 2005 appearance. Adding up the recent scrambling games of these three you get 46-20-1 which translated to a single full season of play equals an 11-5 record. I think every team in the NFL would accept that mark so this could explain why general managers are seeking quarterbacks who can move whether they are black or white.  

    PAGING THE GENERAL MANAGER

    Do general managers draft black quarterbacks with the specific intention of having them scramble and gain yards rushing? That argument does not hold much water these days though. Especially after speedy white guy Matt Jones was drafted by the Jacksonville Jaguars out of Arkansas and converted to wide receiver. Oh by the way, they already have three black quarterbacks on their roster, the only such team in the NFL with that distinction. Having a quarterback who can move is probably a good idea. Vick had 90 rushes to lead the NFL through 14 weeks of play this season. His team is 8-6 overall so while they are still treading water in the playoff race at least they are winning. The next highest rushing attempt total is David Carr at 52. That guy is running for his life behind a terrible offensive line, and it brings up a great point. Vick and Carr have an identical number of times that they were either sacked or ran with the football - 116. Vick has 90 rushes for 534 yards while getting sacked 26 for 139. Carr's 52 rushes produced 292 yards, but has gotten sacked 64 times for 392 yards worth of losses. Let's analyze that. Vick moves forward on 77.6% of the plays when he does not hand off or throw the ball, Carr loses yardage 55.2% of the time. On those 116 plays, Vick averages a net gain of 3.41 yards per play whereas Carr loses 0.86. This has to be a clear argument for the value of mobility.

    CHIME IN ANY TIME

    This will be an evolving article and hopefully I have stimulated some thought so far. Feel free to add your own commentary.

    After receiving a few comments I will respond to some of the points brought up.

    RE: Shaneomac

    I think you are generalizing way too much by assuming every GM is driven solely by ticket sales. The three initial quarterbacks I discussed (McNabb, Vick and Leftwich) are all on teams who have had some modicum of success and if you are going to play the "no Super Bowl" card I suggest you sit back down at your keyboard and think about what you have said. Dan Marino was in the NFL for more games than these three quarterbacks combined to this point in their respective careers. Using your argument and terminology, how many Super Bowls does he have to show for it? That's right, none and your argument is completely out the window.

    RE: SportsDude

    No, actually you proved my point regarding Vick's 250+ games. When Vick is successful in his passing pursuits his team was in mathematical terms a 70% winner. Anyone not living on Krypton knows that the Falcons are predominantly a running team. This string of information is intended to prove that while the perceived strength of Vick is in his legs, the few times (5) that he was able to throw the ball successfully to a receiver his team was generally successful. You are also wrong about them being behind in those five games, which they unilaterally were not. Which leads me to ...

    RE: GrayFlay

    ... the opponents in those 5 games. The first was 2002 in Pittsburgh (24/46 294 1/0) and a 34-34 tie. Two weeks later was another road game in Carolina for a 41-0 win (19/24 272 2/0). Another three weeks after that he did it at home, delivering a 36-15 victory over Detroit (20/38 337 2/1). During the 2002 season the Steelers went on to win a playoff game and were a bizarre call away from the AFC Championship Game. The Panthers were 7-7 against the rest of the NFL that year, and the Lions were a week away from wrapping up a 3-13 season. In other words those three games featured a good, average and bad team which is a fair sample by my standards. His 2004 big game was on the road in Denver (18/24 252 2/0) against a team that went to the playoffs, engineering a 41-28 victory. The 2005 defeat I alluded to was 30-27 against a Tampa Bay team that very well might be playoff bound. He was 21/38 for 306 with 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. Speaking of low interception totals in these 5 games his total is 1.

    As for comparing Vick to Carr, how about drawing the comparison now in 2005? Carr has 2,170 yards passing compared to Vick's 2,136 yet is considered a failure at the position even though his touchdown passes are almost identical (12 to Vick's 13) and he has fewer interceptions (10 to Vick's 12) through 14 games worth of action. I forgot to mention, Carr has a higher QB rating (76.0 to 71.8) as well. The reader can surmise their own opinion about how the media treats both players, but it is clear to me that because Vick has the ability to create offense through running the football he is heralded as a much better quarterback than Carr. I think I am overdosed on analyzing Vick so we will move on to ...

    RE: BillyEs

    ... who makes a great point about Warren Moon. I personally was a great fan and admirer of Moon as a passer. He was not mentioned here simply because of the era in which he played and the obvious slant towards passing the ball in the offenses he participated in with the Oilers and Vikings. Speaking of the Vikings ...

    RE: DatSTAR

    ... I have been called out for not bringing up Daunte Culpepper. In this response portion obviously I am being more liberal about dosing out my own opinion. I currently find it difficult to measure Culpepper because in limited 2005 action (only 6 full games) he was clearly a different quarterback without one of the game's elite weapons in the form of Randy Moss. To his credit he passed for at least 233 yards every time out, but his QB rating was 49.2, 36.4 and 50.4 in three of those games while 12 of his passes were intercepted. That being said, running this season did appear to help him because the games he had more than 3 rushes produced his two wins while the other four games were convincing losses. The vibe of your post is that Culpepper is an elite quarterback and assuredly the evidence this season points in the opposite direction. At 37 years old Brad Johnson stepped into the starting role and has gone 6-1.  

    3.7 (1 Ratings)

    Introducing the world to Norcalfella

    Monday, December 19, 2005, 11:44 PM EST [General]

    My real name is not Norcalfella, but when there are 14 people with my birth name hanging around in my home state of California you can understand my desire to distinguish myself.

    If you have a hard time figuring out personalized license plates my nickname is derived from being a male who lives in Northern California. The thought crossed my mind to take on a phony Hollywood name like Luke Logan, but I would rather not be confused with a porn star.

    The purpose of my viewpoints are to rip away the layers of bull and get the core of the issues. Sometimes people will take offense to my abrasive style and if they do that is their problem, not mine. I report the facts as I see them and give opinions that are my own. Hopefully you will learn something when you read my opinion.

    I also attempt to pursue the obscure story that perhaps few others are talking about. Thank you for reading and I appreciate your comments on my work.

    My old bio (for posterity):

    I have waited a long time for an opportunity like this and hopefully the right person will notice me. With the announcement of my inclusion in the Sweet 16 it appears I have succeeded in being noticed. If you would like me to win and start getting paid to give opinions that are insightful and well thought out instead of the same old drab please support my blog.

    Now that I have been blessed with this spot, I promise to devote more time to posting even though I am still not unemployed living in my mother's basement or on break hanging loose in a college dorm. Obviously my 3 original pieces resonated and I will compete hard for everyone who did not advance. Good luck to the other 15. I still enjoy commenting on the work of others and encouraging their development.

    Favorites graveyard (guys I took off for inactivity)

    Joshua's Big Blog of Tricks

    A View from the Sofa

    The West Coast Sports Bias

    The Right Hashmark with Lemon

    Tax Day 2006 cuts....

    Lex Friedman's Eagle Eyes

    You Read My Blog, I'll Read Yours

    The Truth (Possibly)

    motorcity madman's blog

    Dan McGowan's blog

    A Little Bit of NY Bias

    SoCal State of Mind

    Lee's Big Blog

    Father's Day 2006 casualties

    Korey_Becket's Blog

    The View From My Cube

    DaBears85

    It's Gotta Be the Shoes

    The Sports Section

    KP's blog

    Robstylz

    thesportsgurl

    Timeout

    HighKlass

    Mike Harmon's Fantasy Sports

     

    3.7 (1 Ratings)

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