Here's the schedule for the next few days:

• Thursday - Santana Domino Effect, Super Bowl Recipies I'm Making
• Thursday Night - Prospect Six Pack - Santana Special
• Friday - The Rangers Report
• Saturday - On The Block - Coco Crisp
• Sunday - No Posting
• Monday - Team Previews Begin (The Hat is ready for action!)

The Astros Report - Offseason Edition

Because I had to settle a bet.

Some Wisdom in Trading Away The Farm

There is some wisdom in what the Astros did during the off-season, in the trades that brought them Miguel Tejada, Jose Valverde, and Michael Bourn.  While Ken Rosenthal can rail against the deals all he wants, there is one thing you need to keep in mind.

None of the players traded was really a superstar.  In fact, many weren't really all that good.

Yes, I know, Chad Qualls and Brad Lidge are plenty badass.  But Lidge was likely gone in a year and Qualls, while solid, isn't a lights out reliever.

And of the prospects, the only one of real note was Troy Patton, who was sent to the Orioles.  Everyone else that was dealt was either a disappointment or wasn't a world beater. 

Overall, the Astros likely looked at their system, didn't like what they saw, and decided to spent what little collateral they had to improve their team.  So long as they draft the best player available from now on, there is every reason that the Astros can replensih the farm in a short period of time.

That's IF they spend money and IF they draft the best player available, not just who will sign.

Koby Clemens Moving To Catcher

After another year of disappointment, the Astros are moving Koby Clemens back to catcher.

Originally drafted as a catcher, the Astros moved Clemens to third base, feeling that he would his stocky frame would allow him to take the abuse of catching, and his arm would be more than adequate from behind the plate.  His bat, which has been disappointing thus far, would also look a lot better from behind the bag as well.

It's clear that there was some pressure on the Astros to draft Koby due to his dad, who was on the staff, but really, the Astros would have been better off spending the six figure bonus on someone else.  Anyhow, Clemens could really provide some value from behind the plate if he's able to be a adequate catcher.  Catching prospects are currently lacking in the majors and if Clemens can turn into at the very least a Gregg Zaun type of player, he's got a lot of value.

Astros Need To Re-Establish International Presence

Okay, one more, because quite frankly, I've had enough.

The Astros need to figure out why their pipeline to Latin America has dried up.

In the past, the Astros were kings of the Venezuelan Talent Market, with them signing player after player that was a serious talent.  Some of the former talent mined from Venezuela:  Bobby Abreu, Richard HIdalgo and Freddy Garcia, all of whom have enjoyed solid big league careers.

The talent has dried up.

Part of it has been Drayton McLane's tightening of the purse strings and refusing to pay up for big money talent in the draft or abroad.  But the other part is that the Astros didn't evolve  They weren't able to adjust for the times and as a result, several other teams now dominate the Venezuelan market and the Domincan, areas where the Astros did relatively well.

Whatever the case, it's time for Houston to re-establish their presence on the International Market.

Because all of the patch jobs, no matter the price, won't keep the franchise stable for much longer.

Well, the national nightmare is over, as it looks like the Twins will trade Johan Santana to the Mets.

But what did they get?

As seen in my last post, Santana Circle Jerk, the Twins in essence are gambling on the upside of Carlos Gomez and Delois Guerra instead of the certainty of a Jon Lester, a Phil Hughes or a Jed Lowrie.

Guerra and Gomez could blossom into superstars.  But both have massive flaws.  Guerra has been pushed hard by the Mets, but is still young and has some projection.  He also has trouble getting out of the high 80's on his fastball, which means the Twins are hoping he'll add velocity as he matures.

As for Gomez, he too has been rushed and needs at least another year and a half of minor league play if he's to live up to his high potential. 

And really, its on Guerra and Gomez that the Twins are pinning their hopes and dreams on, as Phil Humber and Kevin Mulvey are both decent arms, but not aces and don't differ much from the Scott Baker type pitchers the Twins already have in their system.

Really, as I've stated earlier, the Twins could have had a better offer from the Red Sox (Lowrie, Lester, Crisp and likely Justin Masterson) or the Yankees (Hughes, Melky Cabrera and change.) 

But I think that there is another reason why the Twins agreed to this swap.

When something of ours disappears, we as people try to replace it as closely as we can.

And in Guerra and Gomez, the Twins are trying to replace Torii Hunter and Johan Santana as best they could, by trying to find similar players that could become their second comings.

It's a human reaction, albet a flawed one.

It's possible that in three years, both Guerra and Gomez could be superstars, making the Twins look wise in their deal.

It's also just as possible that both are massive busts.

I credit Omar Minaya on this deal, as he was able to get the best pitcher in baseball without giving up his best prospect, centerfielder Fernando Martinez, who also is a rushed, but promising young player.  He gave up nothing that he'll really miss and no one that isn't replaceable, as the Mets could easily go out to the Dominican and sign any remaining young prospects that haven't signed with teams to help replenish the farm.

I would feel pity for the Twins, but really, this is a mess of their own making.  They're choosing the riskier, but more lucrative path of gambling on the upside of some risky prospects.  It's the equivalent of playing Russian Roulette with three of the cylinders loaded for a fortune.  The payoff is huge.  So is the failure...

Grades:

Mets Grade - A
Twins Grade - B

The Rangers Report - Offseason Edition

Commenting On The Marlon Byrd Rumors

There have been a lot of rumors recently about the Cubbies wanting to make a trade for Marlon Byrd, ideally to be their centerfielder and to help push Felix Pie.  Apparently, the deal would be for Matt Murton and possibly for pitching prospect Sean Gallagher.

This deal likely doesn't have much legs on it, if any.

First of all, as good as the Byrdman's seaosn was last year, I doubt he suddenly had a breakout in his early 30's.  More than likely, he'll regress to his usual fourth outfielder status come April.

Second, I wouldn't trade Murton for Byrd straight up if I were the Cubs, but if they are willing to do it, I'd pull the trigger.  Hell, I'd even include a pair of relievers in the deal for Murton and Gallagher, likely Scott Feldman and Robinson Tejeda.  Not only would that give the Cubs more options to sift through, it opens up space on the 40 Man for someone.

However, as promising as the deal seemed, I doubt it will happen. 

Complicating things further are the fact that the Padres want Murton as well, though I'm not sure what they would give up in return.  San Diego usually tries to pass off their crap on other teams (as the Rangers would find out during the infamous Chris Young deal) and their GM is a very smart man.  It's very much likely that somehow or another, Kevin Towers will find a way to make any trade a three trade deal, and in return would somehow find a way to screw over the Rangers by managing to net Murton himself and leaving the Rangers on the short end of the stick.

Possible Draft Pick Compensation?

The Rangers could also find themselves enjoying a beavy of picks in next years draft if all falls right (unlikely, but it's good to hope.)

While none of the Rangers' one year commitments are going to be Type A Picks, there could be several first round sandwich picks, depending on what happens:

• Jason Jennings (RHP) - Recovery from a bad year could result in a Type B pick for Texas if he proves to be healthy.
• Milton Bradley (RF) - Staying sane and healthy could get him a job as a DH somewhere.
• Ben Broussard (1B) - Could be the next Ryan Kelsko, getting the Rangers a solid pick without doing much.

All in all, that's potentially three picks for the Rangers if the rankings fall right, five if somehow or another Jennings and Bradley are able to rate as Type A's.

Since I've still getting emails about why certain farm systems weren't reviewed (you didn't review this system, you ignored this prospect, you suck you Yankee/Red Sox hater, etc), I figured, what the hell, let me just start a regular feature.

Introducing The Prospect Six Pack, where I'll pick six random prospects and post up the mini scouting reports, semi-inspired by Kevin Goldstein.  Enjoy.

Prospect Six Pack

Carlos Gomez (CF) - Mets

• DOB:  12/4/85
• Signed:  2002, Dominican Republic
• 2008 Club:  Birmingham Mets (Double A)
• Height/Weight: 6-2/170
• Bats/Throws:  R/R
• The Skinny:  Gomez has been aggressively promoted by the Mets for quite some time, but when Lastings Milledge, Moises Alou and Shawn Green all got hurt around the same time, the Mets were forced to call up Gomez and put him into service.  The result was predictable, as Gomez was undisciplined, raw and clearly not ready.
• The Good:  Part of the reason why Milledge was dealt was because the Mets feel that ultimately, Gomez will be better.  He's a great athlete with remarkable speed, a solid defender, and good power potential.
• The Bad:  As I said, Gomez was rushed and the result was poor plate disciplined, power potential that is undeveloped and some rawness in the field as well.  The Mets need to have him in the minors, as he shouldn't be on a major league bench. 
• Projection:  Average.  Gomez really had no business playing in the majors last year and the Mets gambled on him not getting his development stagnated by promoting him.  That said, he could still be a quality prospect if the Mets don't do anything stupid.
• What He Can Be:  An above average centerfielder with an exciting speed and power combination.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  Gomez will likely be back in Double A, where regular playing time against appropriate competition should help him continue his development process.  I'm hoping the Mets don't pull a stunt like they did last year again.

Rick Porcello (RHP) - Tigers

• DOB: 12/27/88
• Drafted:  1st Round, 2007, New Jersey High School
• 2008 Club:  West Michigan Whitecaps (Low A)
• Height/Weight: 6-5/195
• Bats/Throws: R/R
• The Skinny:  Regarded to be the best prep pitcher since Josh Beckett, Porcello certainly looked it at times during his senior year at Seton Hall Prep and was reportedly considered by the Royals at two.  However, what happened was that Porcello's advisor, Scott Boras, demanded Beckett's contract, which was a 4 year Major League Deal, plus a bonus adjusted for inflation.  The result was that Porcello fell until the Tigers picked at 27, where they took the chance on him and gave him what Boras wanted, drawing the ire of Major League Baseball in return.
• The Good: Porcello was described to be the best prep prospect in the class and has drawn Josh Beckett like comparisons.  He throws a fastball that sits around 94-95 mph and hits 96, all with good movement on both his two and four seamer.  He throws a curve in the low 70's and a slider that sits at around 80.  Finishing it all is his changeup, which is already a plus pitch and complements his curve well.  All in all, that's a hell of an arsenal, especially when you consider that most high school prospects only have two pitches when drafted.
• The Bad: Porcello's command and control have been inconsistent.  Many also wonder about his durability, as he hasn't pitched as much because of the weather in the Northeast.  The final flag is that because of his deal, Porcello has four years to develop and get to the Majors, whether he is ready or not.
• Projection:  Very High.  Porcello could be the next Beckett, but he could also be god awful, as the contract is a contract that could stunt his development, especially if he struggles.  So, he had better be what Boras has advertised.  And, to be quite honest, I'm not sure that Porcello is much better than Jarrod Parker, whom the Diamondbacks took higher up and got for a less money than Porcello.
• What He Can Be:  A bonafide Ace.
• 2008 Course Of Action: Like it or not, the clock is ticking and Porcello will likely begin the season with the White Caps, where hopefully he'll be ready for action.

Jay Bruce (CF) - Reds

• DOB: 4/3/87
• Drafted: 1st Round, 2005, Texas High School
• 2008 Club:  Louisville Bats (Triple A)
• Height/Weight: 6-3/195
• Bats/Throws: L/L
• The Skinny:  Drafted by the Reds in the first round, Bruce has been compared by scouts to former major leaguer Larry Walker.  Since coming into the system, Bruce has done nothing but hit for power and play some mean defense and is now on the fast path to the majors for the Reds.  He's already jumped from High A to Triple A and didn't even stay long in Double A because he was so dominant. 
• The Good:  Bruce has great tools all around the board.  He's got 30 home run potential and hits to all fields.  Though he's got only average speed, he's a great base runner.  He's got a strong arm and he has the range to play centerfield.  He does have some issues hitting lefties, but he's improved enough where he shouldn't have many issues with them.
• The Bad:  His swing can get long, resulting in lots of strikeouts.  And, while Bruce is average as a centerfielder now, it's likely that he'll eventually move to right field as his body fills out.
• Projection:  Average.  Bruce has been translating his tools into performance for the past couple of seasons and he's moving faster than expected.  He's moved a lot faster than anyone could have anticipated.  He's also got the potential to get a lot better than he already is, a sobering thought.
• What He Can Be:  An All Star Quality Right Fielder, Like Larry Walker.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  Josh Hamilton was traded to the Rangers to eventually open up a job for Bruce, should he win one in Spring Training.  However, it's more than likely that Bruce will start the season in the minors before being called up at midseason, depending on where the Reds are in the standings as well as when Ken Griffey Jr. makes his inevitable trip to the DL.

Colby Rasmus (CF) - Cardinals

• DOB: 8/11/86
• Drafted: 1st round, 2005, Alabama High School
• 2008 Club:  Memphis Redbirds (Triple A)
• Height/Weight: 6-2/185
• Bats/Throws: L/L
• The Skinny:  Rasmus, the top prospect in the Cardinals system, enjoyed a breakout year in Double A and has rapidly developed faster than a lot of people may have thought possible, but it really shouldn't be a surprise considering all the excellent prep outfield prospects drafted in 2005 (Jay Bruce, Cameron Maybin, Andrew McCutcheon, just to name a few).
• The Good: Rasmus is one of the most athletic players in the Cardinals system with loads of tools.  He's got a quick bat and solid power potential to make him a 25-homer threat in the majors.  He's got good pitch recognition and should draw a good amount of walks in the majors.  He's also a dynamic centerfield, with good range and a strong arm. 
• The Bad: Rasmus has some problems with lefties and he can be over aggressive, leading to strikeouts and being caught stealing. 
• Projection:  Average.  Rasmus is nearly ready for the show and he'll only get better as time goes on.  Given time, he should be all that and more than what Jim Edmonds was for the Cardinals.  Long term, Rasmus gives the Cardinals another middle of the order bat to plug in behind Albert Pujols, which should help the big man's chances to see some pitches.
• What He Can Be:  A star center fielder.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  In spite of what the Cardinals are saying about Rasmus being in the mix for their starting centerfielder job, that's a hell of a jump to go from Double A to the Majors.  Rasmus is going to be starting for the Redbirds, where he'll get some more seasoning, and could perhaps see some action with the Cardinals come August, as he's not ready yet.

Will Middlebrooks (SS) - Red Sox

• DOB:  9/9/88
• Drafted:  5th Round, 2007, Texas High School
• 2008 Club:  Lowell Spinners (Short Season)
• Height/Weight: 6-4/200
• Bats/Throws: R/R
• The Skinny:  A Top baseball and football prospect (QB), Middlebrooks' two-sport status may have lead to his falling down to the 9th round of the draft.  Boston, never a stranger to taking high ceiling talent in the lower rounds, pulled the trigger and signed him for almost a million dollars.
• The Good: A fantastic athlete with potential on the field and on the mound, Middlebrooks has good power potential and makes good, solid contact with the bat.  He's got good speed and is an excellent baserunner as well.  Middlebrooks also has a strong arm and exceptional hands defensively.
• The Bad:  Middlebrooks lacks range, making a move to third base all but inevitable.  And while his speed is solid now, that could change as he continues to fill out and mature. 
• Projection:  High.  I like Middlebrooks and felt that Boston stolen him in the 5th round, which more than made up for their lack of a first rounder in 2007.  While he didn't make my top 15 of Sox Prospects, he could easily rise up that list, depending on his campaign.
• What He Can Be: A power hitting third baseman in the mold of Troy Glaus.
• 2008 Course Of Action:  I think Middlebrooks will be kept at shortstop for now and will be worked with in extended Spring Training until Lowell starts their season, after which, he'll being the year as the Spinners' starting shortstop.

Daniel Moskos (LHP) - Pirates

• DOB:  4/28/86
• Drafted: 1st round, 2007, Clemson
• 2008 Club:  Hickory Crawdads (High A)
• Height/Weight: 6-1/200
• Bats/Throws: L/L
• The Skinny:  Moskos was one of the top left handed college talents in the country that's money as a closer.  However, there's so much more to Moskos that just that.  There is the potential for more if he gets drafted in the right organization.  Because of the financial concerns that came with the Boras clients, the Pirates shied away from the mass of Boras arms available and instead took Moskos, who was a massive overdraft. 
• The Good:  Moskos has good velocity, throwing in the low 90's while working up as high as the mid 90's as a closer.  His fastball has great movement and he's got a nice delivery.  He compliments this fastball with a filthy slider.  He's also working on a changeup as a third pitch and many feel that he could be an excellent starter.
• The Bad:  The changeup is still a work in progress, so there's no guarantee that he can get it up to a major league level pitch.  Plus, at his size, with a max effort delivery, Moskos is probably best-suited for the bullpen long-term.
• Projection: Low if he's a closer.  He could probably setup in September, similar to what Andrew Miller did.  As a starter, I would say he's going some average projection left.
• What He Can Be: A dominant closer
• 2008 Course Of Action:  Moskos has been told by the Pirates that he will remain as a reliever and he could very well enter the season as the Pirates' closer if they choose to go that route.  It's more likely, however, that he'll begin the season in Hickory.

   

Hope you enjoyed it.  If you want to see anyone in particular, leave a comment or send me a line at the email of FoxMail.