Friday, July 14, 2006, 01:52 AM EST
[
General]
The month of June was one the Atlanta Braves would care to forget rather quickly. July on the other hand? Well now, that is an entirely different matter.
After compiling an abysmal 6-21 record this past June, the Braves found themselves in quite the calamitous predicament. Immediately before the Braves began their horrid month long march to kick off the summer, the club stood just 3.5 games back in the N.L. East and only one game out of the National League Wild Card lead. By the time July finally rolled around, Atlanta was buried 15 games back behind the New York Mets and were 10 games behind the Cincinatti Reds for the N.L. Wild Card. It is the worst record the Braves have registered in a single month since the 1935 season, back when the club still played in Boston. What a difference just one month can make!
However, Atlanta's prospects for success have looked much more promising in the month of July thus far. The struggling club opened the month by winning six of their first nine games, and seven out of its last ten played. That mark was good enough to tie San Diego for the best record compiled in the N.L. during the final ten games before the All-Star break. It goes to reason that if one terrible month can nearly derail a season, one spectacular month can get a season right back on track.
Which is exactly why it is so puzzling that Fox Sports contributing writer Dayn Perry has already dismissed them and ranked them as one of the worst three teams in the N.L. By giving them an "F" grade he put them on the same level as Chicago and Pittsburgh. He awarded higher grades to the Marlins and Nationals despite being lower than Atlanta in the standings. He also gave a "B' to a Cincinnatti club that only had 5 more wins than the Braves at the break and had just dropped 3 of 4 while visiting the Chop Shop immediately before the All-Star festivities began this week. I could see such a disappointing grade being accurate two or three weeks ago, but did Perry bother to pay any attention whatsoever during the team's last ten game homestand?
Atlanta has already managed to match its win total for the month of June and stands ready to embark upon a key road trip against two first place teams before returning home to face three division rivals. If the club can continue to win two games for every one it loses over that stretch (just as Atlanta has done ever since July 1st), then the team will surely be right in the thick of the playoff picture and quite possibly within striking distance of the Mets by the trading deadline. Those expecting Atlanta to cut loose a player like John Smoltz or Andruw Jones by the end of the month have another thing coming. With over two months to play and only being six games back of a playoff berth, Atlanta has no intention of calling it quits just yet.
The Braves are no strangers to July turnarounds. Just last year the Braves trailed the Washington Nationals for first place by 4.5 games on June 31st. The Braves would later reemerge and held a five game lead in the division a month later after going 17-8 (.680 winning percentage) last July. It is a rite of passage that the Braves embark upon year after year. The team's late seasons efforts always yield the same result; one divisional title after another.
However, no team has ever done what the Braves did while still back in Boston in 1914.
After trailing the New York Giants by 15 games on July 4th while sitting in dead last in their division, the Braves went on to win 41 of the club's next 53 games and would finish with a second half record of 68-19. They ended up winning the division by 10.5 games, and are still the only team in the history of MLB to win their division after being in last place on July 4th. The Braves would match that achievement this year if they do indeed manage to win their 15th straight title. For on this past July 4th, the Braves were in last place in the N.L. East.
Providing some much needed inspiration, Marcus Giles and Edgar Renteria have been on a tear recently. Giles is currently on a 11 game hitting streak and is batting .333 for the month. Meanwhile, Renteria has hit safely in 13 straight games and is batting a remarkable .447 this month. The Braves major offseason acquisition has to have Red Sox fans livid. Renteria has already surpassed his homerun mark of 8 homers last year (9) and matched his stolen base total for all of last season (9). More importantly, his .318 season average is up 42 points from last year, while his on-base percentage of .397 is up 62 points from a year ago.
The real show stopper as of late however has been Chipper Jones. Mets fans know him affectionately as "Larry." They are also well aware of just how hot the Braves third baseman can get in the second half of a season (1999). After a brief injury scare caused him to miss a few games, Chipper is ready to stick it to teams in the second half once again. He is 20 for his last 40 and is batting .538 in his last ten games played. He has hit 3 homeruns and batted in 13 runs in that same span. His current 11 game streak with an extra base hit is a franchise record, and has also hit safely in 12 straight. He has a 1.000 SLG% (tied 1st in MLB), .625 OBP% (1st), and .550 avg. (2nd) thus far on the month. The guy has simply been next to unstoppable.
As the fortunes of your top three hitters go, usually goes the fortune of your team.
Add to that the fact that Smoltz is pitching brillianly as of late (2-0, 2.14 ERA, 22 K's, 3 BB's over last three starts), rookie hurler Chuck James has been perfect in his three starts, and Horacio Ramirez has been solid with exception to last Friday's brief outing. The Braves rotation has suddenly begun to greatly resemble one capable of sustaining a winning streak.
Now if Tim Hudson, John Thomson, and the bullpen could just come around; another New York franchise could be in grave danger of squandering a huge mid-season lead by season's end.
In all seriousness, I have every bit of faith the Braves will make the postseason once again. Whether its as a wild card or improbable division winner, Atlanta will play this October. It is a sight I eagerly await, if for no other reason than to make Dayn Perry look clueless yet again when it comes to covering our national past time. Shame on him for not knowing that a six game deficit in early July means absolutely nothing. Doesn't he know that two and a half months is an eternity in baseball?