This is my initial attempt at a mock draft. Surely, it is an exercise in futility for several reasons. For instance, the season is barely half over which means determining the order is even a crapshoot and guessing who will even apply for the draft is difficult. That being said, if the draft order were determined by current records, the draft lottery gave the three worst teams the spot in the order they would have received based on performance, and no trades were made between now and the day after the draft, it could play out like this:
1. Charlotte Bobcats - LaMarcus Aldridge - 6'11" C - Texas
For next season, the Bobcats have Raymond Felton and Brevin Knight at point guard, Kareem Rush at shooting guard (probably), Gerald Wallace at small forward, Emeka Okafor and Sean May at power forward, and Primoz Brezec at center. They also have tons of cap space to make runs at free agents. So, getting wing help through free agency is more likely than getting a valuable big man, and Aldridge has the potential to be a great one. Paired with Felton and Okafor, he will be a fantastic base to a bright future for this expansion franchise. A player they should consider is Adam Morrison who would give the team a scoring punch, but the Bobcat front office is incredibly conservative and will likely be hesitant to risk a first overall pick on a white guy with limited athleticism.
2. Chicago Bulls (via New York Knicks) - Andrea Bargnani - 6'11" PF - Italy
The Bulls are stacked in the backcourt with Kirk Hinrich, Ben Gordon, Luol Deng, Chris Duhon, and Andres Nocioni. In the frontcourt they have Tyson Chandler. This team starts Othello Harrington. So, while Rudy Gay is the "best available" player, the Bulls have to get some help up front.
3. Atlanta Hawks - Rajon Rondo - 6'3" PG - Kentucky
Atlanta should probably look to trade down in this scenario. It is too high to take Rondo, but Gay has the same skill set as every other player on the team's roster. The Hawks really need a point guard and Rondo will probably be the best in the draft.
4. Toronto Raptors - Rudy Gay - 6'9" SF - Connecticut
If this scenario plays out, it is a windfall for the Raptors. Many consider Gay the best player in the draft and Toronto needs star power.
5. Portland Trail Blazers - Adam Morrison - 6'8" SF - Gonzaga
The Blazers would have to leap at this. Morrison is likely the best scorer in the draft pool and he is wildly popular in the Pacific Northwest. Of course, taking him means they will have a problem with Darius Miles, but that can be solved with a call to Isiah Thomas. Thomas apparently wants Miles for the Knicks, and is pretty easy to swindle.
6. Boston Celtics - Tyrus Thomas - 6'9" PF - Louisiana State
Many Boston fans, who miss Larry Bird, will be upset that they just missed out on Morrison. Even though Morrison plays the same position as the two players the team is supposedly building around (Paul Pierce/Wally Szerbiak), the Celts would be elated at the chance to draft him. Thomas, though, has had the most buzz of any player lately, and would actually fit into plans to build around their established stars.
7. Seattle Supersonics - Ronnie Brewer - 6'7" SG/PG - Arkansas
For some reason, Brewer has been given a free pass on his failure to lead his teams to victory. Since his arrival, the Razorbacks have been horrid, yet his draft stock keeps rising and rising. The Sonics need a point guard to spell Luke Ridnour, and Brewer gives them that and a large frame that can let the Sonics "go big" on occasion.
8. Houston Rockets - Rodney Carney - 6'7" SF - Memphis
No point guards make sense at this selection, so the Rockets go with the best available non-post player. Carney is probably the most athletic player in the draft and that fills a void the Rockets possess.
9. Orlando Magic - J. J. Redick - 6'4" SG - Duke
There is a lot of talk that Redick's game will not transfer to the pro ranks. I don't buy that. He is too good of a shooter and too great of a competitor not to succeed whereever he plays. The Magic could use someone with that kind of attitude.
10. Chicago Bulls - Tiago Splitter - 6'11" PF - Brazil
If the Bulls knew ahead of time that Splitter would fall this far, maybe they do something different at the two slot. Instead, they get two awfully good big men in a draft that is supposedly weak on post players.
11. Sacramento Kings - Randy Foye - 6'4" SG - Villanova
One thing the Kings lack is a sparkplug scorer. Foye can play that role. He can likely take some of the point guard duties from Mike Bibby, as well.
12. Minnesota Timberwolves - Al Horford - 6'9" PF - Florida
The comparison being made for Horford is Amare Stoudamire. Odds are that is overhype, but if it is not, the T-Wolves cannot pass him up.
13. Golden State Warriors - Mardy Collins - 6'6" PG/SG - Temple
Golden State has stocked up on young players over the years and has made a long term committment to many. The last thing they need is another prospect. Collins could have some trade value for the many teams needing a point guard, but if the Warriors keep him, he provides a taller floor general than what they currently have available.
14. Utah Jazz - Shelden Williams - 6'9" PF - Duke
Assuming that Jerry Sloan does not retire, Williams is his kind of player. It does not hurt that the Jazz are in serious need of some post help.
15. Philadelphia 76ers - Paul Davis - 6'10" C - Michigan State
Personally, I think Davis will be worthless as a pro. His ceiling is low, based on his failure to improve since his freshman year as a Spartan, and he really offers very little that is not height. That being said, the 76ers have Shavlik Randolph in their frontcourt rotation, so Davis cannot be a downgrade.
16. New York Knicks (via Toronto via Denver) - Brandon Rush - 6'6" SG - Kansas
A ton of Jayhawk fans are under the delusion that Rush will be back for a sophomore year at Kansas. This is a player who declared for the draft last year and barely withdrew when he could not get a first round guarantee. Then, he nearly went to a prep school this season because he did not want to go to class. The odds of his one (impressive) year in Lawrence convincing him that studying is fun and the millions can wait are not listed in Vegas.
Now, for why the Knicks will take him: They picked up two decent young big men and a promising point guard in last years draft. Adding a promising young point guard would give the Knicks an impressive corps of prospects. Now, if they can only exile Stephon Marbury...
17. Phoenix Suns (via Los Angeles Lakers) - Shawne Williams - 6'9" SF - Memphis
Williams fits coach Mike D'Antoni's preference for versatile players. He has a lot of potential, as well, and no immediate need to produce. It is a good fit for both parties.
18. Washington Wizards - Julian Wright - 6'9" PF - Kansas
With a strong backcourt, the Wizards need more front court help. Wright has been somewhat disappointing at KU, but he has a lot of potential.
19. Oklahoma City Hornets (via Milwaukee) - Josh McRoberts - 6'10" PF - Duke
Pickings are slim late in the draft. McRoberts has (say it with me) potential, and the Hornets need height. McRoberts would be a player who could replace P.J. Brown when he decides to hang them up.
20. Oklahoma City Hornets - Rudy Fernandez - 6'5" SG/PG - Spain
Speedy Claxton has already dropped hints of leaving Oklahoma City, most likely for San Antonio, after the season. That means the Hornets will be in dire need of a back up to Chris Paul.
21. Indina Pacers - Maurice Ager - 6'5" SG - Michigan State
Ager shot up the draft charts when he dominated the Maui Invitational at the beginning of the college season. Since then, he has been awfully quiet, but he is probably the best player available to the Pacer who could use some depth at shooting guard.
22. Memphis Grizzlies - Curtis Stinson - 6'3" PG - Iowa State
The Grizz are in dire need of a back up to Bobby Jackson.
23. New Jersey Nets - Nick Fazekas - 6'11" PF - Nevada
Fazekas is being hurt by Keith Van Horn comparisons. Regardless, the Nets have to get someone with height, especially considering that Cliff Robinson is going to fossilize at some point.
24. Cleveland Cavaliers - Daniel Gibson - 6'3" "PG" - Texas
Someone is going to be convinced that Daniel Gibson can play point guard, and my bet is on the team that thought signing Damon Jones long term was an answer to the point guard position. When (and I said when) Gibson fails as a floor general, the Cavs are finally going to move LeBron to the position full time.
25. Miami Heat - Marcus Williams - 6'2" PG - Connecticut
Gary Payton is going to have to quit sometime, and then the Heat will be stuck with "White Chocolate" as their only option. They need to start grooming a long term running mate for Dwayne Wade.
26. Los Angeles Clippers - Leon Powe - 6'8" PF- California
L.A.'s "other" team has had a great season based on a great corps. They really are not looking for a miracle worker anymore, so they can take a risk on a guy like Powe who has fabulous upside, but knees that could possibly give out at any time.
27. Phoenix Suns - Corey Brewer - 6'8" SG - Florida
The Suns do not need anything, but since they have the pick, Brewer is another versatile player who can contribute.
28. New York Knicks (via San Antonio) - Taj Gray - 6'9" PF - Oklahoma
I took a vow never to say anything positive about an Oklahoma Sooner, to whom I was not related, and I am not going to start now.
29. Dallas Mavericks - Brandon Roy - 6'5" PG - Washington
The kind of combo guard the Mavs have favored since giving up on Steve Nash.
30. Portland Trail Blazers - Hassan Adams - 6'4" SG - Arizona
What the Blazers really need is a shot blocker, but I doubt any of UConn's front court stays in the draft. That means the Blazers will have to settle on taking a chance on Adams. Adams may end up being a better NBA player than college player due to his incredible athleticism, but he has been unable to put it all together at Arizona.